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kenbuddha

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Everything posted by kenbuddha

  1. I agree with you about the secondary money stuff. But what part of "Wheeler turned down a higher offer in order to sign with Philadelphia and stay in the NL East" and "Bumgarner turned down a higher offer in order to sign with Arizona and stay in the NL West" are you choosing to ignore? With these two, it wasn't going to happen. Ryu? Look at his age (33) and history (1 season with over 130 IP in the last 4). You have a FO that uses analytics, do you seriously think they would value Ryu all that much? Even if you don't use analytics much, why would you put any sort of long term value on Ryu?
  2. Okay, let's go beyond the top 5, who would you have signed Mike from FG's top 30? I'm sorry if you've already posted this but given 12 pages of comments it's a bit hard to wade through them all. I see lots of names on there that probably aren't possibilities (Wainwright will die a Cardinal for instance), but who realistically would we truly want because we think they're going to be better than our rookies?
  3. So much panic. Cole - too expensive and not coming here.Strasburg - too expensive and not coming here.Wheeler - turned down more money in order to sign with Philadelphia (near his wife's home town) and stay in the NL East.Bumgarner - turned down more money in order to sign with Arizona and stay in NL West.Ryu - moved to Toronto where there's a much larger Asian population than Minneapolis. Plus our history with Asian players is limited and ... poor. Plus given his injury history I'm not sure about him. Which of those top 5 were realistic signings for the Twins? Would have been nice, but I'm not so sure we had much control over it. Moving on...
  4. I don't recall reading that in this thread. What I recall reading (over and over) is while it would have been a "really good thing" to sign an expensive FA (which we didn't), it isn't time to panic yet. I may be wrong, please point out who said that?
  5. Mitch Garver will be 29 by Opening Day. He seems to have found some new angles this past season by working with a new coaching staff. Unfortunately, the catching coach was hired away, but the philosophy is still around, so one never knows what a 28 year picks up.
  6. As everyone has said, I like Rosario. But we have some holes on the team and our position of strength is in HR. Would it seriously hurt the Twins if they only had 4 30 HR hitters this season? Or 7 20 HR hitters? Not appreciably. And I wouldn't expect his replacement to cover his raw numbers. So, if we trade from a position of strength, then my vote would be to move Rosario. I don't like his lapses in the field nor on the basepaths. I don't like that too many of his at-bats are not quality (too few pitches and swinging at non-strikes too often). And even though he was playing through injury this season the above issues aren't attributable to an injury, it's just who he is and the previous seasons reveal it. He's fun and I root for him, but if the Twins front office feels the need to address holes via trade from the major league roster, my choice would be to trade Eddie.
  7. Right on all counts. He pauses to watch it before even getting out of the box, then 3/4 speeds it around 1st, and he only starts going full speed about 1/2 way to 2nd. And Stone is right, he has been doing it the whole series. Rosario has to tighten his game up.
  8. And yet, no one got them. And there were plenty of teams that wanted pitching. I'm not sure what the reasons were, but someone was offering something for them (most likely) and here they are all still on the same teams. I'm just saying maybe it isn't the Twins FO that is to blame. Maybe it's the sellers miscalculating player values? Curioser and curioser.
  9. I'm not sure that's true. If you believe in Run Expectancy (which you may not), there's a lower probability of scoring from 3rd with 1 out than there is from 2nd with 0 outs. In fact, one could make a claim that an outfield single with Buxton on 2nd scores him easily. Similar to having a Trout at abat, you have an elite baserunner on 2nd.
  10. Cruz can still hit. Based on last seasons statistics he'd rank 2nd in owar behind Rosario. He may be worth signing just for the fact that he's Dominican. Sano is Dominican. I would think that Cruz may be looked upon as somewhat of a hero of Sano's due to backgrounds? Cruz could be a positive influence on Sano and that has to be worth something.
  11. I hope(!) Kepler will have a Tom Brunansky type of career. I think that's his ceiling. Which wouldn't be bad.
  12. I want the Twins to be lumped in with the Astros, Yankees and Jays. I want them to be a team that can work with a guy like Kepler. I still have hope.
  13. Agreed. Too much sloppy play both on the field and the base paths. The manager who did neither of those things while a player, didn't seem to be able to translate that information to his players. It's not the only reason, but it's definitely a big one, in my opinion. Maybe he'd have been a good manager for the Twins in 2008-2010, but not with who the Twins are today.
  14. Plus, we never got specifics as to what Terry Ryan and his team were doing. Why expect it from this front office. If any front office speaks to specifics, it gives information to other organizations that they'd rather not give.
  15. Because Buxton has shown an ability to eventually play above his peers at every level vs Cave's 163 at bats. Because if you can get Buxton on track he could deliver another WAR greater than 5 as he did in 2017. Because Buxton's defense is better than Cave's. If the Twins were in the thick of a pennant race, then no, it wouldn't be a good time to give Buxton at bats over Cave. But that's not the reality of where they are. Obviously Buxton isn't there yet (if ever), but what do the Twins have to lose by trying to get Buxton more comfortable and productive at the major league level? The upside of Buxton is higher than Cave, if things go well. If things don't go well, at least we tried. If the Twins give up on every young player when they stumble, the long term outlook isn't going to be very good.
  16. I don't know how to look up a team record while a particular player played for them, but I'd be interested to see what HOF Bert Blyleven's teams record was while he played for them. Once again, someone trying to attribute a team's statistic for an individual player. A team record has a lot to do with the players that are on the team. Put Mauer on the same teams as Puckett and have him do what he's done, somehow your impression of him improves? Sheesh. Didn't people move beyond this sort of ridiculous type of correlation a long time ago? And as to the second point above, Mauer "never made an effort in the off season" and "winning was never a priority" care to prove that? Or is that just unprovable speculation on your part? I'm on the fence about Mauer and the HOF. If he had retired immediately after the brain injury (ala Puckett and the eye injury), he'd be in the HOF already in my opinion. He was just that good. (Plus I wouldn't have to read the above types of tripe. He decided to continue on though and that hasn't helped his HOF chances, but I'm guessing he's fine with it.) Whatever decision is made, I hope he enjoys himself.
  17. The only way they sign Kershaw or Harper or Machado is if Falvey hits them over the head with a bat and Levine forges their signature. Guys like that aren't going to sign with the Twins just like Lebron James doesn't sign with the Timberwolves, there are better places for them to ply their services. First we need to start winning, then (and only then) will top free agents seriously consider Minnesota.
  18. I don't think Molitor is gone because I don't think the FO gets to decide. Just like they really didn't get a choice in bringing him back after his MOY award. The owner wanted him and continues to want him. Once this contract is done maybe then the FO will get to decide, but not before. Overall, we're picking at the edges when this season has come down to a core failure. The Garver/LaMarre/Belisle/Cave decisions are not the core of the problem. Santana and Polanco started us off. Then the off-season signings didn't figure things out. Then Sano and Buxton forgot what they already knew. Add in Dozier's walk season failure and I don't see how all of that is the FO's fault. Personally I think the FO did their job well overall in the offseason. And sure, I'll question some of the moves during the season, but I don't believe for a minute that the previous FO would have made the moves that this FO has made. The previous office would be looking for a 2nd and 3rd Belisle. So, not a good season at all. But I'd still rather have this FO around for a few more years. How many years did the previous one get?
  19. Exactly. 2017 is a year of evaluating what is here. The players are probably known quantities so what Falvey/Levine are evaluating are the non-players. Front office, coaching staff, managers at all levels of the organization. If there are individuals already here willing and able to go in a new organizational direction there's a good chance they'll be retained. For instance, they don't want to be the bad guys that got rid of Molitor. If Molitor can adapt his style to theirs I'm sure that works in his favor and will be taken into account for 2018.
  20. Intermittent would have been okay, but constant... yeah, that's a deal breaker.
  21. While I don't disagree with your article, I think it's an article that articulates where the Twins went wrong, not where they are currently going wrong. Your first sentence seems to imply that this article will articulate what is wrong with their plan. If it is an article about what is wrong, I think it is premature. The Twins are in a holding pattern right now until they hire someone to create a plan. Since they had intended that Terry Ryan finish the year as GM, I assume they didn't plan on making that hire until the season was over. So, in the mean time, Antony fills in and while several players have gone through waivers, I doubt they make any major moves without a new Head of Baseball Operations in place.
  22. From a team perspective, and we all know we're a bad team, after 84 games... To end up at .500, the Twins would need to play .667 ball the rest of the way. If the Twins play .550 ball the rest of the way, they’ll end up with 90 losses. If they play .500 ball the rest of the way, 94 losses. If they play .400 ball the rest of the way, 102 losses. If they play .370 (their best monthly % this year = June), 104 losses. I can’t help but think that somebody is going to lose their job. Knowing this franchise though, it will probably be me.
  23. An issue I see with playing Sano in RF is that by doing so, Molitor will feel he needs a late inning defensive replacement. Which means he takes Sano's bat out of the lineup. If a late inning defensive replacement is necessary, it's a close game, and if it's a close game there's a realistic chance that our bullpen blows it and we now go into extra innings where Sano's spot in the lineup bats again. It's already happened once this season. You take your best hitter, you make him comfortable and you leave him alone. Yes, even at the expense of a veteran player.
  24. Believe me, I understand what you are saying and agree he'll get plenty of atbats. As of now though, he's not a starter. Regarding Beltran's situation, the Twins used Torii Hunter for 567 at bats last season after he had a -18 Rfield the season before. Teams do crazy things sometimes and the Yankees aren't immune to crazy.
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