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sthpstm

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Everything posted by sthpstm

  1. This is probably a crazy thought I should keep to myself, but... If the Twins can get good trade value for Kepler or Rosario, any interest in making a trade for Ellsbury if he decides he wants to be traded? Like Liranio's trade to the Bluejays, there would need to be prospects to offset the negative value and probably some money as well. Could Chance Adams be gotten?
  2. I'm not sure if this is true. Some examples of maybe why not: Atlanta traded Garcia, did not eat any of the money on his contract and got a rookie level, high risk pitcher. Kansas City and others had similar playoff hopes and they held on to the players in the last year of contracts rather than trade them. The Yankees and others had $1M+ in international funds but they held on to it rather than trade with Seattle and LAA for more advanced prospects. Additionally, they've made some really interesting coaching decisions that others haven't. Jeff Pickler vs Joe Vavra for "QA Manager"? Garvin Alston or one of many retreads for Pitching Coach? I'm not saying no one else would make this moves, but I don't know that they're exactly typical moves.
  3. And what would $1.9M + $2.5M do?
  4. There hasn't been the complete turnover of the front office that some people originally seemed to have wanted, but I am really impressed by how many moves they have made of internal staff and the number of those that really are interesting meaning they come with solid backgrounds and from solid organizations.
  5. Pearson was a 3rd round pick but he was a mid 2nd round talent who fell. Pre-draft he was rated similarly to Rooker and in some cases, rated above Rooker. A players first partial season results is not a good way to rank them; you have to consider their projections and I think Seth has done so appropriately. Littell had an incredible period with the AA Yankees, but otherwise he has pitched like a 7k-8k per 9 pitcher in the minors and looks like he could be a nice back end arm. He did not dominate with the AA Twins. His stuff just doesn't warrant a higher ranking right now because he looks like a higher floor prospect rather than a high ceiling prospect.
  6. I'm happy to be wrong believing the Twins would have trouble trading to the teams in Ohtani. Mike Berardino has also tweeted that Marte and the Twins have interest in working out a new deal so we may see the rest of the money go back to Marte.
  7. Is there any advantage to starting a pitcher coming off of injury (May - Tommy John surgery) in a warmer climate like Chattanooga or Fort Myers?
  8. And Maitan is now gone to Angels, who may be using their 2018-2019 funds on him. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/12/angels-sign-kevin-maitan-former-braves-prospect.html
  9. I don't think counting his cup of coffee as a rookie in 2014 paints an accurate picture. His 2015 ERA was 4.43 and his FIP was a shiny 3.35. He was sent to the pen because Ervin Santana was coming back from suspension and the old regime had to have Tommy Milone and Mike Pelfrey starting games for them. Tyler Duffey didn't come up until August at which point they weren't going to stretch May back out again. He also bounced back from that poor start and made an excellent start before he was sent to the pen. I definitely would plan on May as a starter. He can be counted on for 8 if not 9 K's per 9 inning and has good stuff to back it up. The Twins don't need a regular 5th starter until the end of April so I'd work him back slowly and give him a few starts in April in AAA. Aaron Slegers or Dietrich Enns can make a spot start or two (assuming we don't sign 2 top starters. By then there will probably be an injury or a poor performer to replace.
  10. Which? You have competition from every team and you won't get all of them. I can't imagine Maitan coming to the Twins. He likely expects to start in low A, and the Twins already have a potential playing time issue at SS with Lewis and Javier.
  11. I'm not convinced the signing team will need any additional money. Keep in mind that the Padres are one of the finalists and they are limited to $300,000 for a signing bonus.
  12. I see a lot of mentions of what the Twins should do with the money from Marte's failed signing. Now that Ohtani is officially out for the Twins, let's discuss. I know Maitan is the big name of the ex-Braves prospects, but I assume he'll cost all of the money remaining. I'd shoot for what seems to be the best pitcher among the group, Year Del Rosario. He held his own as a 17 year old in the GCL and may remain a starter with good upside. I'd also be aiming for recent Cuban defector Julio Pablo Martinez, a 21 year old projected to start at High-A or AA with a good power/speed combination.
  13. This is just beyond ridiculous. He wants to play on the west coast; but let's blame Falvey and Levine for the location of Minneapolis. Or maybe it's because the Pohlads are cheap. The only blame here is on Ohtani and his representatives. How can you make every team put in time and effort (aka money) to give you a presentation when 2/3 or the teams have no chance regardless of that presentation?
  14. If Trevor May can reestablish himself as a starter, I don't think it's too much to believe he could offer 8+ strikeouts per 9 innings.
  15. He didn't pick them as his dark horse. He chose the Phillies as his dark horse where Olney chose the Twins. But when Law spoke about the Twins possibility, his thoughts were pretty similar - open DH spot, could play some outfield, future payroll space, big impact on the pitching, etc.
  16. Jon Morosi at mlb.com has the Twins listed as a dark horse among 8 potential spots for Ohtani... http://m.mlb.com/news/article/262478194/scouting-top-contenders-to-sign-shohei-ohtani/
  17. Melotakis. I don't think we'll lose him and if we did, I think he's easily replaced by a minor league contract signing. I also expect some trades from this FO that will include one or two of the AAA starting pitching prospects. I'm not saying they're of tremendous value outside of Gonsalves and may Littell, but I think they could be 2nd or 3rd pieces depending on the deal.
  18. I realize Slegers will likely never light the world on fire, but I think he has real value as a 2018 up and down arm that will allow the greater prospects to not be pushed too fast and that could pitch as a league average starter, which is fine for your 6th starter. He could also start a game or two as the 5th starter until the Twins start a fuller schedule at the end of April to give May an extra month to get ready.
  19. I've been assuming the twins would call and wondering if in their conversations Homer Bailey might come up as a way to lower the prospect cost...
  20. I thinks it a great move for him, and the Twins. How interesting that 5 teams there were interested in acquiring him. It seems like he should be very effective in that league. I'm on board with a hat purchase as well - it is a great name!
  21. Completely agree with your thoughts. Before they moved him out of the rotation in 2015, he had a 3.25 FIP. He had a .341 BABIP and a 69.5% LOB. Even assuming he couldn't have made any sort of adjustment to improve himself (pitch usage, sequencing, etc.), he still likely would have improved those numbers enough to drive his ERA into the low 4's if not lower thanks to improved defense and pitch framing.
  22. Am I the only person here who would strongly consider a Frazier/Sano/Mauer trio at 1B/3B/DH?
  23. Oh yeah, i'm clearly making some gut calls on premise. I don't deny this. It was interesting to follow the Adrian Gonzalez story and to read the players comments. Players were obviously upset but no one would really say it. Would a player taking the the Brian Dozier route which he took after the Garcia and Kintzler trades (I'm mad as hell, I don't care who knows, and I'm not going to take it any more/get on my back - I'll carry us), have had a positive effect that would have equated to a WS ring? I have no idea, but I think it has to be considered.
  24. As a Dodgers fan (Twins fan first, but live in southern California for 6 years), I thought at the time it was a huge mistake to not give up more to get Dozier and I certainly feel that way now. They obviously have a lot of position player talent, but the players were all a little bland. I know Puig isn't, but I wouldn't call Puig's energy infectious. Dozier's energy has seemed to be that. He doesn't back down and he brings others with him. I thought and am more convinced, the Dodger's were missing that, but the intensely analytical Dodgers FO didn't value that.
  25. For me, Nick Gordon being a top prospect revolves obviously around how he performs defensively as a SS, but offensively will he continue to develop plate discipline. His brother only walks around 5% of the time. To be a top performer, Nick needs to maintain the 9% he discovered this year, or preferably improve it while cutting down his strikeouts. He might improve his doubles power but he'll never be a slugger so he needs to get on base with solid contact and walks.
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