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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    You know, the articles I read where the players said that the Twins haven't made an offer also came with a comment that no one has. The free agent market starts moving during winter meetings. That's a fact that has been true with baseball for as long as I can remember it. You won't see much movement until then, especially with the holiday next week. I will be upset if they walk away from winter meetings with nothing, but until then, there's absolutely no reason to get worked up. John is right about that.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    bit surprised on Achter. Guess the Twins didn't want to risk losking Kepler and Polanco.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    Why is Adam Walker the point of consternation here? No one is saying he's a bad prospect. No one is saying he's an exceptional one either. He put up great stats in Cedar Rapids at age 22 and showed he improved over his rookie league stats. Are they ideal? No. If they were, he'd be higher up on these lists. The potential is there. That was said when he was drafted. That still hasn't change except that we've seen evidence he's improving. One of my beefs with the stats only type arguments is that people aren't really asking why his K/BB rate is where it is. If he's striking out a 20% clip b/c he cannot hit breaking pitches, we have a problem. He's going to get exposed at higher levels as the pitchers get better. If he's not walking right now simply b/c he excels at hitting bad pitches, we might have a problem. He won't get nearly as many bad pitches as he advances. Perhaps it's because he's a very good hitter of pitches in the zone and his K rate has more to do with swinging at bad pitches out of the zone. Again, we don't know. The last one might be the best tihng as he's shown improvement in that area... and if that's the case, the walks will come too. Walker is a nice prospect. He'd be much higher up on a lot of other team's lists, and he's no sure thing. That, to me, is the most impressive take away. Our 11-20 guys are better than some team's 1-10 guys, and our 21-30 guys would make the top 20 on quite a few team's lists. That bodes well for the Twins long term.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    Wait, we are talking about Phil Humber here? The same Phil Humber who spent most of his age 30 season in the PCL? The guy whose career ERA is north of 5.3? How is he a success story. Catching lightening in a bottle is not something a coach can teach. If Humber's 3 month surprise was due to coaching, then it should have lasted a lot longer than that.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd add to this. If Thrylos' report is right and he can hit 94 now, switching him to the pen at one point means he might be able to add a few ticks to that if he fails (likely) as a starter. I'm not terribly worked up about this. I'll be a bit more upset if he's suddenly a candidate for the rotation and no real help is added. He's a wild card, and the odds of him being useful are very low.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    Yeah, I don't see Kepler being protected. That will happen next year I'd imagine, but given the time taken to develop him and the fact that he's only played at CR, I don't see it happening. I could be wrong though. The pitchers most definitely. I think Polanco is in the same boat as Kepler.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    My guess is he's up in June/July timeframe. I'm fine with that. He could use some AAA seasoning and by then someone will have faultered or gotten hurt. I just hope they really do get some decent names to augment that starting 5. I have no problems starting Correia, Gibson, and Worley, but there needs to be two other guys who are currently not Twins on that list.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    He was pretty good in AA in 2011, which is why he got to skip AAA in 2012. I don't think he hit as many HRs, but he did have an OPS north of .800.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    There's got to be more to this story.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    You know, I seem to remember the fan backlash at the Dickey thing because it was one of those typical Twins picks that we all hated... and yes, guys like Nelson said "Why not?" but that was about as faint of praise as you can get. I agree with Brock here, this is nothing short of revisionist history. No one predicted he was going to win a Cy Young, why else did the Mets get him for dirt cheap?
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    Typically, things don't get rolling until winter meetings. There may be a small handful of signings before then, but most of the signings start then. I'll be bothered if they come home there empty handed.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    I was listening to this... Interesting comment that Parks made that is debated here often is that he doesn't believe that they try to make players into an "organizational mold". He says they develop guys to be the best guy that this type of player can grow into... Interesting.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    I get your point, but it takes 2 to trade, and it's quite possible that those options weren't on the table.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    ok, do we really think that Chicago was going to give up something more for Liriano? Do we think that he was going to stay had he not been traded? I'm skeptical either way.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't think you are being fair comparing Nolasco to Correia. When exactly did Correia last strike out more than 7/9? They are different pitchers, and the more I look at Nolasco, the more I think this might be a guy that outperforms his contract. In the last four years where he has been solely in the majors, his K/9 has been pretty good (except 2012). His BB/9 has held steady around 2.1. His WHIP has dropped each year as well, as has his HR/9. His ERA has also dropped steadily. I don't expect him to suddenly turn into an ace, but I think there's good reason to think he could pitch like a 2/3 for the duration of a 4 year contract.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    I think you are forgetting that Stewart lost time due to a nasty blister and then went to Japan to play some WBC baseball. I think he would have been on the Berrios path otherwise. He's going to start in Cedar Rapids, and if he gets off to a great start, then he's likely going to move up quicker. A number of scouts said that they thought he could be in the majors as fast as a guy like Manaea. As long as he's pitching well, he'll move up.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    Replace the like button with a mehhhh button? Or perhaps have them both?
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    I think they are (rightly) counting on Gibson to improve. I'd expect a positive WAR from him next season and I think he could improve again in another year as well. If they sign two pitchers, they are replacing Pelfrey's 2.1 and the disastrous Hendriks/Diamond combo. I think they can add a few WAR to that total pretty easily, and if Gibson goes positive you are looking at a team that could win more than 70 games. I think the big key will be a resurgence from guys with a disappointing offensive seasons. Willingham and Doumit need to look like the 2012 version. Parmelee and Plouffe need to find what was lost, and Arcia needs to click. His minor league career says that he's going to be significantly improved this year.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    I need the like button back Last year the Twins weren't really rumored to be in on anyone. Ryan mentioned not being able to give money away and the only big signing was KC, who supposedly had more money on the table. The Twins appear, at the very least, to be more prepared this year. Perhaps they are taking the fans advance and actually leaking some of this stuff out this year that they normally did not.... who knows, but right now, I tend to think the are going to walk away with one decent pitcher this offseason, perhaps two.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    There's upside with Nolasco too. He gets Ks quite well and his peripherals scream number 2. Results on the other hand have said otherwise. I'm not sure the advanced metrics are right in calling this bad luck, but I do think that he's maybe one or to "ah ha" moments from suddenly meeting that potential.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't get the consternation here. Even if Liriano had resigned here, I highly doubt that the season he had in 2013 would have been the one he had here. He needed a change of scenery. That said, given the year he had and the fact that Escobar may actually have some sort of role with this team, I think the Twins won the deal.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    Nolasco is a maddenly frustrating guy. Like you said, FIP of a 2 and results much worse. The fact that he can consistently do this tells me that some of these advanced stats need some tweaking, because something other than random distribution is going on here. That said, the potential is there, so perhaps this is a worthwhile signing... But that means Rick Anderson has to fix him. Number 4 results and number 2 potential... wants number 3 money.... at his age someone will give it to him.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    Don't see the Cubs doing this, but it's a good idea if the Twins can get him cheaply. Problem as I see it is that Theo would be very much aware of the same issues you cite.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm still trying to figure out how Sabean is still employed. Also wondering if he just blocks all calls from Ryan.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    keep in mind that Mauer's contract was being renegotiated after teh 2009 season. In this case, that extra year likely burned the Twins bad.
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