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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    The problem is using projections predictively
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    Nothing against Haley, as I haven't seen him pitch, but if those things happen, then we are going to be pining for the days of a 103 loss team...
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    Nothing if he can hit... I guess the question at hand is what is 'hitting'. I think I'd want an impact bat, not a .800 OPS guy with great defense in the corner. I realize .800 OPS is pretty good, but this is the top pick in the draft, and .800 with good defense isn't going to be the BPA (in my opinion) if there's a guy who is a potential ace.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    Slowey's problem wasn't the Twins changing him, it was a line drive to his wrist.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    Fun topic. I suspect Park will force his way on to the 25 man. I think the Twins would like Palka to push Grossman. Not sure though if Palka would be better off getting at bats every day and bringing that K rate down a bit. I like Hildenberger though as a darkhorse to make the pen.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    Bat girl.... the TD owners need to figure out a way to get her to do the occasional guest article. There's a name I haven't read in some time...
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    wow.. mocks are up already... Not sure I like our pick here unless Kendell is going to play good CF and hit like Kris Bryant. http://www.mymlbdraft.com/MLB-Mock-Draft This one has us taking one of his teammates... http://www.fueledbysports.com/2017-mlb-mock-draft/
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    I didn't realize the keys was a college town for people well past their college years... My only picture of it is from bloodlines (Netflix). Never been there.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd strongly suggest carefully wording titles in the future. On the forums section, this is shortened to... Article: Dozier staying with Tw... Let's just say that was a surprise when I saw it yesterday
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not sure how much leverage the deadline gives them. The Twins want the final offer. If they aren't happy with said offer, they keep Dozier. I'm sure LA can come back and offer them De Leon, Alvarez, Stewart, and Bellinger (they won't, it's an example) and the Twins will without question jump if that's the case. But... they need to do other things this offseason. I get that too. What this really means is that the price will most definitely be higher in a month if they don't pony up what it takes to get him now.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    I beg to differ here. I'm not against acquiring guys like the ones I suggested, but I do think the Twins need pitchers right now. The hitting core is here. The pitching... well it isn't. In terms of pitchers on the roster that could be future contributors to the next winning team you have Berrios, May, and maybe Gibson... None of these are sure things, that's not up for debate. 2017 needs to be a time where we have these guys in the rotation taking some lumps. If we acquire a guy who doesn't sniff MLB until 2018 or later, he's taking lumps in 2018 or later when guys like Sano and Buxton are established. By the time the pitching is ready, Sano is a free agent. That I don't think is good. The Twins need guys now. That's where De Leon and Stewart in particular fit the Twins' need. Yeah, I want more than that, but with those two in uniform, I'd have no problems trading Santana and Santiago for more prospects and rolling with Gibson, De Leon, Berrios, Stewart, and May opening day. That leaves Mejia, Gonsalves, and maybe Duffey in AAA as depth (unless Duffey goes to the pen). At least then you're seeing which pitching sticks, and if the hitting really steps forward, we can look at FA options for 2018 given how good the pitching FA class looks to be. I don't think you can do that if we get pitching that won't show up until 2018 or later.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    I just don't see much in terms of upside here personally. Feel free to prove me wrong, but dealing Dozier for young cost controlled guys that cannot get Ks in the NL strikes me as a way to not fix our pitching problem.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    Are you saying Newcomb is too much? Because a power lefty in AA that hits an occasional 97 and racks up the Ks is a pretty good prospect. I wouldn't mind Albies, but given the org needs, if Newcomb and Allard were on the table with a couple of lotto tickets, I'd be very VERY interested. As for Wisler, he doesn't excite me. He has some value though in that he can possibly out perform a guy like Santiago in 2017, but he's probably a 3 at best.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    19 in AAA sure implies he could be pretty good. He put up an .800+ OPS in AA though as a 19 year old before his promotion. Yeah, not tons of power as it was mostly OBP, but at that age, it's still quite possible it develops. Not sure the projections on him, but 10-20 as a major leaguer wouldn't be out of the question. I would think. He wouldn't have an A- if that wasn't a real possibility. I don't think the Braves would get much attention unless Kolby Allard was included. A package around Allard and Sean Newcomb would have my attention. Only real problem is that Newcomb will be starting in AAA and Allard in A+. Not really ML ready now type guys. I don't see a whole lot of major league ready arms in their system. But they have more than enough guys to get it done. Not many teams can say they have 20 guys B- and above on John's scale.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd probably want one more piece. I'm pretty high on Ruiz to be honest, so I love that idea, but I'd want Stewart or Alvarez, especially if Kintzler is being added... now to be clear, I'd trade Kintzler in a heart beat if that was the difference between no trade and De Leon, Stewart or Alvarez, Ruiz, and Sheffield.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    So just a question for the Dodger fans... I'm really curious what package(s) you would offer up for Dozier. Instead of criticizing his value, let's have a fun exercise and see what you are willing to throw out.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    Remove the first 6 weeks of Dozier's seasons and his comp is some guy named Ruth... that's a bit of a joke, but at bats did happen (in both cases). I get what you're saying about WAR. I've said the same, but if the argument is that Dozier is worth just De Leon and some change, I don't buy it. The Dodgers need Dozier just as much as the Twins need those prospects. I get that that they will likely be a playoff team regardless, but having a 4-6 WAR 2B instead of the black hole that is there now gives them a much bigger margin for error and much better odds of a WS if things go right.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    It seems as though it as just as much fun to trash Dozier... and I don't get that. He's a pretty darn good player, and he will most definitely be an upgrade in LA. The question is what he's worth. He's worth than De Leon, that's for sure.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    They were basically unimpressed with the group following. Lots of 'personal cheeseballs' so to speak, but a lack of sure fire good talent. That was the context behind guys like Jay, Stewart, etc... They could step forward (Jay in particular) but the odds are against guys like Stewart doing it at this point. They weren't terribly high on Gonsalves either for the record. I'm fine with that... I hope he listens to it. That kid always seems to pitch well with a chip on his shoulder.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    Nice shout out to TD without mentioning TD. Big thing is the lack of sure things, but that doesn't really say anything we didn't already know. Lots of guys that could amount to something, but it's lacking sure things. They are also pretty clear that they don't think there's enough starting pitching in the high minors to complement the core in the majors. Definitely listen knowing it won't be rosy.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    because their farm system is (to put it nicely) awful.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not disagreeing, but I do think drjim is right here in that at one point it factors into things, especially if the return for Dozier isn't what we want.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    I've got to think this is it. Depth wise right now, they have the following: Santana, Santiago, Gibson, May, Hughes?????, Berrios, Duffey. Gonsalves needs time in AAA. Jay, Stewart, and Jorge need more time in AA. Throw JDL and Stewart into it, and suddenly Santiago and Santana are very expendable.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    I suspect Friedman is testing the waters. He got quite a bit from MN in the Young trade and likely wants to see what he can get again. I suppose it's good that he's hesitant to pull the trigger... Last time he pulled the trigger on a trade with MN, we ended up with a big hot mess in Exchange for a pretty decent young arm.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    I suspect that to be true as well Spy. I hope Dave's source is right in that I'd rather have Alvarez, but a De Leon/Stewart trade, while I'm warming up to it (I think both are decent bets to be above average arms), is lacking in my opinion. We absorb too much risk in that piece. If they tossed in a couple of lower guys like Ruiz and Verdugo (sp?), I'd take that as well... but Stewart/De Leon straight up isn't reasonable. Heck, while Alvarez has a much higher season, Alvarez/De Leon is too much of a question mark.
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