John Bonnes

Palmer, Thorn and their computer gave us 24 numbers that challenged (and verified) many of baseball's tenets. What were they? John Bonnes explains from Fort Myers. Palmer, Thorn and their computer gave us 24 numbers that challenged (and verified) many of baseball's tenets. What were they? John Bonnes explains from Fort Myers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P4eMQ5MqFGY View full article

Aaron and John talk about the return of 10,000 fans to Target Field, Randy Dobnak's new slider, Jake Odorizzi's deal with the Astros, some Tyler Duffey worries, and the latest on Josh Donaldson, Andrelton Simmons, and J.A. Happ. YYou can listen by downloading us from iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher, iHeartRadio or find it at GleemanAndTheGeek.com. Or just click this link. Listen Here Now View full article

A one-minute history lesson on sabermetrics and the development of the Run Expectancy Matrix. A one-minute history lesson on sabermetrics and the development of the Run Expectancy Matrix. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bBvlgAAH2eg View full article

Now that we know fans can go to games, how do you get your hands on some tickets? Following today's press conference with the Twins, John tells you the latest details. Now that we know fans can go to games, how do you get your hands on some tickets? Following today's press conference with the Twins, John tells you the latest details. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kI40CrT7ULc View full article

We've got live baseball again. Today Governor Tim Walz announced an easing of restrictions around live events and shortly thereafter, the Twins announced the "safe return of our fans to Target Field" starting with April 8th's home opener. Image courtesy of © Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports We've got live baseball again. Today Governor Tim Walz announced an easing of restrictions around live events and shortly thereafter, the Twins announced the "safe return of our fans to Target Field" starting with April 8th's home opener. Specifics have not been announced, but you can expect crowd management to look a lot like it does at Twins' games in spring training, with about 25% capacity. We also don't know now how many tickets, if any, will be available to the general public, since season ticket holders will likely get the first opportunity for tickets. In spring training, some tickets were available to the general public, but they sold out within hours of going on sale. Yesterday, John Bonnes provided this one-minute captioned video from Fort Myers, previewing what fan attendance looks like in Hammond Stadium for Twins games right now. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R5pg6Cwihio Here is the full announcement from the Twins: MINNESOTA TWINS STATEMENT ON NEW STATE GUIDELINES MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL, MN – The Minnesota Twins today released the following statement regarding new state guidelines for large venues, as announced by Governor Tim Walz and the Minnesota Department of Health: “The Minnesota Twins organization is thrilled that the new state guidelines announced today by Governor Tim Walz and the Minnesota Department of Health (MDH) pave the way for the safe return of our fans to Target Field for the upcoming 2021 season, beginning with our April 8 home opener. “Our singular focus remains on the health, safety and well-being of every person that enters Target Field; to that end, we are currently reviewing the new guidance to ensure our comprehensive re-opening plan adheres to all MDH and Minneapolis Health Department directives. We will announce next steps, including our full ballpark protocols and ticket plans, in the very near future. “We appreciate the continued partnership and dialogue with Governor Walz, MDH and City of Minneapolis officials throughout this process, and cannot wait to safely welcome Major League Baseball’s best fans back into Target Field. Win Twins!” View full article

FORT MYERS - With Governor Walz lifting restrictions on live events on Friday, John Bonnes provides a one-minute report from spring training about watching live Twins games, and what it means for attending games in Target Field in 2021. FORT MYERS - With Governor Walz lifting restrictions on live events on Friday, John Bonnes provides a one-minute report from spring training about watching live Twins games, and what it means for attending games in Target Field in 2021. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R5pg6Cwihio MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email View full article

FORT MYERS - It's the eternal question, so let's take a minute to talk about how the Twins improved their pitching in a sneaky way. FORT MYERS - It's the eternal question, so let's take a minute to talk about how the Twins improved their pitching in a sneaky way. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hftmYccGqyw View full article

FORT MYERS - It was a picture perfect day at Hammond Stadium today. The weather was pretty good, too. Image courtesy of © Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports FORT MYERS - It was a picture perfect day at Hammond Stadium today. The weather was pretty good, too. Rain (Man), Then Thunder Josh Donaldson made his spring debut today and turned an 89 mph fastball into a 110 mph home run. The 3-run blast not only cleared the center field wall, it did so against the wind. “He's doing really well,” commented Twins manager Rocco Baldelli after the game. “He's in a good spot physically and he's got his plan put together and he's out there executing it every day.” Baldelli also said that Donaldson will be back in the lineup soon, probably right after the Twins off-day tomorrow. Thorpe Continues to Impress Lewis Thorpe continued to impress this spring. Starting the game, he struck out all three batters he faced on a total of 13 pitches. “His fastball life was exceptional,” said Baldelli. “Commanded the ball well throughout the inning. I mean, that’s just a really nice day of work. He should feel really good about himself.” In sort of an odd development, after that one inning, he went to the bullpen to get more work in and get his pitch count up. There was a good reason: https://twitter.com/twinsdaily/status/1368629113632792588 Thorpe was granted an additional option this offseason, and there are five veterans in front of him for the starting rotation, so he’s on the outside looking in for the 26-man roster. But he’s certainly positioning himself to be near the front of the line if an opportunity arises. The Twins seem to view his future is that of a starting pitcher, more than an occasional bullpen swingman. Lineup Obsessing The Twins have played 8 games this spring and Max Kepler has hit leadoff for four of them and Luis Arraez for the other four. So that question has certainly not been settled. Yesterday it was Arraez’s turn, and he got on base in two of his three at-bats, with a diamond-cutter single and a walk. There was one mild surprise at the top of the order. This is the first game that Donaldson and Nelson Cruz have shared a lineup card, and Donaldson batted second (which is not unusual), but Cruz batted cleanup. You’ll recall that Cruz has mostly batted third with the Twins, but last Cruz batted cleanup in six of the first seven games, before going back to third in the lineup again. Batting between the two big right-handed bats was Jorge Polanco, who could be poised to have a big year, especially hitting left-handed. That’s something to keep an eye on for the rest of camp. Quick Hits Shortstop Andrelton Simmons had his first day in Twins camp today after getting past his visa challenges in Curacao. He got in some work, but also got to tour the complex and get to know his new teammates. Baldelli plans to get him into his first spring training game sooner rather than later. Outfielder Keon Broxton also had a 110-mph home run today. He’s also had a good camp, and provides and interesting option as a bench player. He brings a right-handed bat and can play center field too. But the 30-year-old isn’t on the 40-man roster, so he’s got an uphill climb compared to Jake Cave, Brent Rooker and even Kyle Garlick. The Twins 8-4 win was closed out by fireball prospects Matt Canterino (Twins Daily’s #9 prospect) and Josh Winder (an Honorable Mention candidate). Both had a chance to show off their 97 mph fastball. Former first round pick and shortstop prospect Nick Gordon talked to the media today. After missing last year battling Covid and having limited playing time in 2019 battling gastrointestinal problems, his main goal this year is to stay healthy. “I feel like this year is special for me in the sense of just being back on the field,” he admitted, “and I'll take that with open arms.” MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email View full article

Aaron and John talk about potential Byron Buxton and Jose Berrios contract extensions, Jake Odorizzi signing with the Astros, Trevor Larnach as an underrated prospect, Andrelton Simmons reporting to camp, and the Twins' late-inning bullpen plan. You can listen by downloading us from iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher, iHeartRadio or find it at GleemanAndTheGeek.com. Or just click this link. Play Gleeman and the Geek Now View full article

FORT MYERS - Today, Byron Buxton revealed his agent discussed a contract extension with the Twins earlier this week. What would a deal with Buxton look like and can it make sense for both sides? Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports FORT MYERS - Today, Byron Buxton revealed his agent discussed a contract extension with the Twins earlier this week. What would a deal with Buxton look like and can it make sense for both sides? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zTl-92iewFQ View full article

FORT MYERS - There are some positive signs for Mitch Garver this spring. FORT MYERS - There are some positive signs for Mitch Garver this spring. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2OS6IneyWs4 View full article

FORT MYERS - Jorge Polanco knows something you don’t know. Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports FORT MYERS - Jorge Polanco knows something you don’t know. Every thrust is countered by a parry. For every style change, there is an answer. The Man in Black is winning this duel, and so there is no point in not admitting it. “You are better than I am,” concedes Inigo Montoya. “Then why are you smiling,” asks the Man in Black, quizzically. “Because I know something you don’t know,” replies Montoya, slyly. “I am not left-handed.” You knew something was wrong with Jorge Polanco. Why was he swinging with only his arms? Why was he trying to slap the ball the other way? Where was the guy who hit 22 home runs the year before? Now he’s Ben Revere – with less power? Something was, indeed, wrong. The right ankle on which he had surgery following the 2019 season hadn’t healed, or at least the surgery had not taken care of the problem that slowed him over the latter half of the season. “After the first surgery, I did my rehab stuff and we got into the season and I felt, right away, during the season, that I wasn't feeling good on my ankle in games,” Polanco revealed last week. “I knew it, and when I went to see the doctor again a couple of months before the season was over, he said they'd require a second surgery." A couple months before the season was over? Uh, the 2020 season was only two months long. Meaning Polanco knew for most of the season that he would require surgery. Until then, he would have to deal with it impacting one very specific aspect of his game. “It didn't feel good, hitting left-handed”, Polanco says. “I think that was one of my problems last year - that I couldn't get good at-bats hitting left-handed. But this year, it's feeling pretty good." Polanco is a switch-hitter, but like Inigo Montoya in The Princess Bride, he has a dominant side at the plate. Unlike Inigo Montoya, it’s his left side: It’s not been close. From 2017-2019, Polanco’s OPS averaged 150 points higher on the left than the right. Better batting average, better patience, and a boatload more power. But last year, while you focused on overall numbers that scared you into thinking his early performance in 2019 was a fluke, there was a positive trend. Polanco actually hit better right-handed then he did the year before. In fact, you see a pretty clear trend in Polanco’s OPS over his career on both sides of the plate: it keeps going up. except for the injury-marred at-bats from the left side last year. That overall trend makes further sense because Polanco enters the season as a 27-year-old. He’s on the right side of the aging curve. You might think it’s always a convenient narrative to blame an unproductive year on an injury. You’re right, but his manager has also noticed a difference. “His right-handed swing felt fine. His left-handed swing did not”, says Twins manager Rocco Baldelli about Polanco last year. And Baldelli also notices a difference in camp this year, too. “Right now we don't have to worry about any of that.” But let’s step out of the fairy tale for a moment. Polanco’s first half of 2019 was certainly a bit surprising, and some regression could be expected. However, the data supports a compelling narrative: that Polanco is a player trending upwards who was anklecapped (Is that a word? We’re going with it.) by an injury that affected 75% of his at-bats in a shortened season. Of course, there could be another surprise still to come. You’ll recall that the Man in Black revealed a little later that he was also not left-handed, defeated Montoya, and continued his quest to save Princess Buttercup from the inconceivably ruthless Vizinni. Still, the underestimated Montoya, after preparing for 20 years, ultimately had his day. Polanco may not get his revenge against the six-fingered man, but maybe he’ll rebound from a injured 2020 to once again be a productive major leaguer, as you dare to hope. Or maybe he’ll be much more than that - as you wish. Don’t rule out him living happily ever after. View full article

FORT MYERS - There aren’t a lot of meaningful spring training battle in Twins' camp on the field, but there may be one in the lineup. Image courtesy of © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports FORT MYERS - There aren’t a lot of meaningful spring training battle in Twins' camp on the field, but there may be one in the lineup. The pivot point in the Twins' lineup comes early, very early. It’s the leadoff hitter. Go one direction, and the lineup looks one way. Go the other, and it looks very different. For the last two years, that leadoff hitter has mostly been Max Kepler, but coming into the season, there were two significant challenges to that status quo: Luis Arraez Is Healthy Arraez is expected to get a lot of at-bats as a multi-positional player. Arraez isn’t exactly a prototypical leadoff hitter because he doesn’t walk a ton, and doesn’t bring a lot of speed to the bases. But he battles and he gets on base: at a .390 clip in his 487 career plate appearances. Arraez is fearless, and an asset almost anywhere except the heart of the lineup. “He's an on-base machine, a line-drive machine," gushed Twins manager Rocco Baldelli this week. “He's a throwback. You don't see a lot of guys with the skills he does with the bat in his hands.” An on-base machine would be a logical fit for the top spot in the lineup. Especially when the left-handed hitting 23-year-old would likely bat right in front of right-handed hitting Josh Donaldson and Nelson Cruz. Eddie Rosario Is Gone The Twins have a hole to fill in the middle of their lineup with the departure of left-handed hitting Eddie Rosario. Rosario batted fourth for the vast majority of his plate appearances the last two years. He’ll likely be replaced in the outfield with left-handed hitting Alex Kirilloff, but odds are the Twins would thrust cleanup on a rookie making his (regular season) debut this year. With Rosario gone, the best left-handed hitting Twins' batter is Kepler. (He probably was before Rosario left, too.) So he makes a lot of sense to bat cleanup, but – follow me here – he’s not allowed to do that if he’s batting leadoff. I know, it’s a silly rule. In the Twins first four spring training games, Kepler has lead off twice and Arraez has lead off twice. Baldelli is notorious for not tipping his hand when it comes to lineups, and this year is no different. But it’s clear he recognizes the luxury having both affords him. “Two different hitters, but two guys that can certainly be productive at the top of the order, Baldelli said, talking about Arraez and Kepler. “One thing they both do well is they both see the ball well. They are hitters that see the ball and then react. They're not in swing-first mode like a lot of guys can get into that mode.” There is not bad answer. Some might wonder since Arraez is slated for a utility role, whether the decision takes care of itself? But Kepler has played in 89% of all the Twins games since 2017, and Baldelli is vowing to make sure that Arraez will get as much run as any other regular. So odds are there is going to be significant overlap in the playing time of the two. It should also be mentioned that theoretically, Kepler and Arraez are not the only options. Mitch Garver and Jorge Polanco have both been in the leadoff spot over the last two years, and it’s possible that would be the case against some pitchers. Byron Buxton, if he ever raises his ability to get on base, would certainly be electric out of that spot. But Kepler and Arraez seem to be the top options, and they’re the only two we’ve seen lead off so far in spring training. So if you’re looking to track a spring training battle from afar this spring, here’s your chance. Arraez and Kepler haven’t been in the same lineup yet, but one would think that would certainly give a clue to what Baldelli is thinking. Until then, build your lineup, maybe starting in the comments below, and see if you can settle this leading question. View full article