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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    It's early but I'd be happy with any of Beede, Rodon, Hoffman or Kolek falling to us at #5. It'll be fun to watch the draft boards develop as the HS seasons get going more.
  2. gunnarthor
    Great article. I wonder, if he wasn't an all around tool guy, if he was enough of a pitching prospect to get drafted. Anyone know?
  3. gunnarthor
    I believe TJ surgery for players is a faster recovery time. He might be able to play in Sept or early the AFL (if he were eligible).
  4. gunnarthor
    Damn.
  5. gunnarthor
    BA had a write up on him today complete with some nice video of him crushing the ball in Ft Myers. http://www.baseballamerica.com/international/twins-sign-australian-first-baseman-jack-barrie/
  6. gunnarthor
    Maybe but you're also forgetting that some no name prospects will deliver pretty big. None of these guys were ever ranked by BA - Koskie, Santana, Radke, Mays, Baker, AJ Piersznski (sp), Dougie baseball, Jacque Jones, Valencia, Dozier, Duensing, Ford and they all gave the team at least one pretty darn good season. And Buxton and Sano are both fairly safe bets. Both are extremely young for their levels. Both have shown strong understanding of the strike zone - that's what killed high ranked prospects like Young, Wood, Marte, Francouer. Ben Badler and Keith Law both recently wrote that Buxton, in particular, is extremely safe since he's shown no flaw in his game. And the Twins do have real depth, as Parks noted. And a few really nice lottery tickets in the low minors. Not all will pan out but some will.
  7. gunnarthor
    Posted today at BP - the top farm system list. Twins #1 (and Cleveland, Det and Chicago in bottom 10). Jason Parks, BP's prospect guru, loves the Twins. He had a podcast about the Twins org a while back when he did the teams top 10 and was really complementary. "No team in baseball can boast the same level of top tier talent on both sides of the ball and impressive depth at every level." http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22906#commentMessage
  8. gunnarthor
    I think the best way to end this is to simply say that BPA takes both into account. After that, we're just talking past each other.
  9. gunnarthor
    The other way of viewing that was that the Rangers were unwilling to trade the #1 prospect in baseball for Justin Upton. I get that there is some positional scarcity for real shortstops (which seems to be reflected in rankings - about 5 short stops were consistently ranked in the top 12 on most ranking systems). But my point when this started was that the Twins should take the BPA and worry about positions later. If Kolek is available at #5 and the Twins have him ranked above Turner, they shouldn't take Turner just b/c he represents a positional need.
  10. gunnarthor
    Brady Aiken sorta sounds like Lewis Thorpe - potential for 3 above avg pitches, lefty with deception.
  11. gunnarthor
    His write up at mlb.com reads a lot like Kyle Gibson. Not a bad thing even though TJ has slowed Gibson down. I wouldn't be against it but I think the Twins are pretty reliable BPA and I don't think Nola will be that. He could be this years Shipley - sorta wanted him but a bit of a reach and then someone else takes him and I'm like "dang, nice pick."
  12. gunnarthor
    But the original point was that good shortstops weren't available in a trade and I was just pointing out that they were. (And Bauer already had substantial doubters - esp in his own org - at the time of the trade). So it still makes sense to take BPA and trade for a position of weakness rather than take a lesser player for your teams needs now.
  13. gunnarthor
    Two reasons - first, their owner is a pretty cheap guy who is always looking to save a buck. Second, they have three picks between 32 and 42 as well so it might make some sense to take a guy at #2 who might be a top 10 talent but would save them a few million to use on those three picks. (For example, Miami brass might really like local HS arm Toussaint, who has some potential but probably is a reach at 2. Take him and save 3million there and then nab some falling talent in the supplemental draft). And, after I wrote that, I realized you said "who" not "why". Oh well.
  14. gunnarthor
    This is just great news for us even if he doesn't fall to us. Anything to make this draft deeper helps. And I really, really hope Miami goes the cheap route at #2.
  15. gunnarthor
    From Callis' inbox: http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article//pipeline-inbox-wholl-be-top-prospect-at-each-level?ymd=20140221&content_id=68046312 "Of the current top 15 Draft prospects, who can make the biggest jump based on what they show this year? -- Tory J., Tampa, Fla. Gainesville (Ga.) High School outfielder Michael Gettys immediately jumps to mind. For the third straight year, the most electric high school talent is a prep outfielder from the Peach State, with Gettys following Buxton (2012), Frazier and Meadows (2013). Gettys posted some eye-popping numbers at the Perfect Game National Showcase last June, running the 60-yard dash in 6.43 seconds, uncorking a throw clocked at 100 mph from the outfield and working at 91-94 mph off the mound. If he were solely a pitcher, he'd be an early-round prospect, but he'll get drafted as an outfielder. The big question is how much Gettys will hit. He has a lot of bat speed and raw power, but he swings and misses more than he should and has struggled against quality breaking pitches. We rated Gettys as the 10th-best Draft prospect coming into the year. If he were to somehow answer all of the questions about his bat, he'd go near the very top of the Draft and likely would be the first high school player drafted." Big, toolsy OF from GA. Seems like a Twins type.
  16. gunnarthor
    I think the best scenario goes something like this - Astros - Rodon, Marlins - to save money take someone like Toussant. White Sox take Hoffman. Cubs take Beede and lets the Twins grab Kolek. I don't think this draft will produce 4 #1 college pitchers and no college bat is exciting enough to take that early. So the Twins best case is getting the top HS arm (again). But the HS season will certainly change some perceptions.
  17. gunnarthor
    That would be a heck of an argument. Buxton got a 70 grade hit tool from Callis/Mayo and BA ranked him the best hit tool in the system. Rosario might be a 55-60 hit but he might be less. And if he can't stick at second, his bat might be a bit weak for a corner OF spot because he isn't a power hitter. I suspect that the rankers that are down on him - as the BA chat alluded to - see him as a 'tweener' without a position. Hopefully he can stick at second but he's not a sure thing.
  18. gunnarthor
    Thanks for posting that, cmb.
  19. gunnarthor
    I think this is probably right - Carew, Killer, Puck/Mauer, Oliva, Blyleven, Santana, Radke, Hrbek, Knoblauch or Alison. That said, if you were growing up in MN in the 80s, no one is better than Puck. Still my favorite player.
  20. gunnarthor
    Agreed. That could be a real fun rotation to watch.
  21. gunnarthor
    I don't think he's a big time prospect. He's a nice prospect but has legitimate question marks. He might end up a utility guy who backs up several positions.
  22. gunnarthor
    Hi guys, This website made a composite of all prospect rankings - http://mlbcpi.blogspot.com/ Based on 10 different sites, the Twins prospects are Buxton - 1 Sano - 7 Meyer - 28 Stewart - 39 Rosario - 79 Berrios - 106 Pinto -119 Thorpe - 144
  23. gunnarthor
    Bummer.
  24. gunnarthor
    I sorta agree with CMB. Callis' move really helps MLB.com's list (and I was already a fan of Mayo - he had to have one). Cooper and the others at BA are going to need some time to get up to speed and make their list solid again. But, on the other hand, maybe they are trying to be a bit unconventional? They were the only ones who ranked Tanaka and Abreu, I believe. Not completely sure. As to the Twins not making the list - Rosario's drug suspension has to have hurt him some and there still is legit questions about his position. Berrios is probably in the 100-120 region. Pinto, I thought, might make it as his floor - avg ML starting catcher - is fairly safe but his ceiling is limited. His omission was the biggest surprise to me. Thorpe will (hopefully) be on it next year. Will there be a chat about it? And if someone could start a thread (or put it in this one) of where the various rankings - BA, BP, ESPN, fangraphs, etc had some guys, I'd like to see that.
  25. gunnarthor
    I guess I'm not sure what you're getting at. If you want to have talent to trade for talent, you draft the BPA and then you can move him for the shortstop you don't have - like the Twins added three pitchers for Span and Revere. If Jackson turns out to be the BPA at #5 then the Twins should take him and, if he's blocked by Hicks, Buxton, Arcia, Kepler, Walker or whomever, they can make a trade. Shortstop prospects are traded all the time. Elite shortstop prospects are rarer trades but that's true because they are elite, not b/c they are shortstops (now, being a shortstop might make a player better in people's eyes simply based on positional scarcity and such - like the Gigi/Bauer trade). If the Twins continue to stockpile talent in the farm system they can make moves to fix areas they are deficient in, if needed.
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