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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    Uh-oh. LENIII has a "Twins pitching plan A might have to change" article up in the STrib. Someone's laying some groundwork for the big disappointment?
  2. USAFChief
    No, it's been a standing statement from the franchise going back well into the dome days. Here's just one source, you can find others http://www.startribune.com/should-you-be-mad-at-the-twins-for-their-decreased-payroll/505032412/ And that ignores the fact the Twins made the same claim in the dome, when revenues were way lower. Which begs the question...if ~$65M was enough for "other expenses" besides payroll in 2009, why then did the team suddenly need ~$120M for "other expenses" when they moved into TF? Why'd the "50% to payroll" stay the same?
  3. USAFChief
    No...the premise here is that sometimes the Twins could take a very modest financial sacrifice too. Settling for a few break even years, or modest losses even, in light of near constant profit, and $1.2 billion in franchise appreciation, doesn't seem unrealistic. Particularly in light of taxpayer built operating facilities.
  4. USAFChief
  5. USAFChief
    ‘Bet the Pohlads had a balloon payment due to Mauer Mauer sells balloons? I thought he had a used car lot.
  6. USAFChief
    Pretty nice complement to Garver. But get ready for lots of K's. He'll walk some though, too.
  7. USAFChief
    At this point we have three fifths of a rotation (for the last three fourths of 2020.) Pineda didn't pitch down the stretch last year.
  8. USAFChief
    Good signing, but it helps return the Twins to "competitive in the ALC." And even that isn't assured, at this point. If the goal is to win a WS, there's work to be done yet.
  9. USAFChief
    beer, too. That's why they invented the 7th inning stretch.
  10. USAFChief
    I'd forgotten about that. UP THE BID!!!
  11. USAFChief
    Wait...the lack of a payroll cap makes it harder for the Twins to compete for free agents??
  12. USAFChief
    So...they've been enormously profitable. Thanks for helping demonstrate they can afford a much, much larger payroll.
  13. USAFChief
    You're leaving out the value of the franchise. Carl Pohlad bought the Twins in 1984 for approximately $44M. Forbes lists the Twins 2019 franchise value at $1.2B.
  14. USAFChief
    But does he feature all four pitches? Can he reach that balance point?
  15. USAFChief
    Recently? Or in general?
  16. USAFChief
    Approves.
  17. USAFChief
    In which ALDS did get swept with both Santana and Liriano in the rotation?
  18. USAFChief
    Sadly, we won't have many such disagreements prior to the 2020 season, I fear.
  19. USAFChief
    I agree. The problem is, you need to name them before the 2020 season, not after.
  20. USAFChief
    And didn't have Liriano.
  21. USAFChief
    The analogy was from the post I responded to, in your post to me... I've acknowledged elsewhere Bumgarner is still available, but they'll need to overpay for him, just as they would have Wheeler. Perhaps by more, since supply has now dwindled. Also, IMO, Bumgarner is riskier than Wheeler, but again I acknowledge that's just my opinion. Ryu has pitched only 740 innings across 6 MLB seasons. He certainly pitched well last year, but I struggle to consider him "impact pitching," given his inability to stay on the field. YMMV, of course.
  22. USAFChief
    From the above example, if you've already stated you need a house, you value the house at $375K, but the bidding reaches $472K, and there are limited houses for sale, you either pay the $472, or you sleep on the street. Perhaps it's not the bidding that's out of line, it's your valuation. Or your aversion to sleeping on the street isn't as strong as you imagined.
  23. USAFChief
    Are you arguing the Twins couldn't afford Wheeler? If so, I disagree. If not, what's your point?
  24. USAFChief
    The Twins stated goal for this winter was adding "impact pitching." How do you propose they do that, at this point? There's two FA impact pitchers left...Cole and Strassburg...and one maybe, Bumgarner. Cole/Strassburg are pipe dreams. By your argument, the Twins shouldn't overpay Bumgarner either, but somebody will. So the Twins will have failed to meet their stated offseason goal.
  25. USAFChief
    By the front office's own declaration, the Twins will target "impact pitching" this winter. There were 2 pretty sure thing "impact pitchers" on the free agent market to start the winter, Cole and Strassburg. Both are still there, but I'm pretty doubtful either end up in Minnesota. There was one guy who has one season of what's probably "impact pitching" (2018), and the stuff to think he has a good chance of becoming consistently well above average. That's Wheeler, who's gone. And there was one guy who certainly was an impact pitcher, but hasn't been recently. He possibly will be again...2019 was encouraging, from a peripheral standpoint, but there's a lot of miles on that arm, and he's no sure thing. That's Bumgarner. I don't consider Keuchel an impact pitcher. At all. And i don't think there's much reason to believe he'll become one in the coming years. He'd be no better than third on the current Twins staff, and the current Twins staff is two deep. So Falvine are down to one candidate. One. By their own standards for offseason needs. There is a possibility a trade could occur, but I can't even think of any "impact pitching" that might be for sale. And if it is, there'll be a line of teams bidding for it, just like the free agents. Plan on spending 2 of the Twins top 4 prospects, minimum, including one of Graterol or Balazovic. So the only realistic chance, at this point, is signing Bumgarner, and hoping he performs like he's 5 years younger. I'm not optimistic.
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