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alarp33

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Everything posted by alarp33

  1. alarp33
    You are only worried about results but think Stewart is not a prospect? His career era is 2.82. Also, he touches 96 so I'm not sure why Maddux, Milone, Diamond are comparisons
  2. alarp33
    I'm not sure if it is a conscious organizational decision or not, but considering they were dead last in the American League in OBP, I would say the results weren't great.
  3. alarp33
    True - but Gray also was coming from Vanderbilt, one of premier college teams for pitcher development, and was 22 years old at the time. Stewart will pitch THIS year at 21
  4. alarp33
    May has given them absolutely no reason to give up on him as a starter. I think Meyer is a little different case, since with his height its always been a question about whether he could start long term. That being said, if they don't plan on using him in the Major League bullpen early in the year, I hope they let him start for a few months in AAA
  5. alarp33
    I'd be totally fine with trading Dozier when Polanco is ready to take over, and hopefully could get a good prospect for him. That being said, the Mets spend a solid 5 minutes laughing and then hang up the phone if you offered them either of those 2 hypothetical deals
  6. alarp33
    Not sure I'm buying this part. Amateur rankings are all based on projections of the likely scenario - just like prospect lists. The amateur scouting report is likely pretty similar to the professional one thus far. Based on build, stuff, athleticism, command, etc. Just because the results haven't matched up yet does not mean either are wrong. Just like neither are for sure right, since its all just projection at this point.
  7. alarp33
    I don't disagree with you here at all. My initial point was people seem to have written him off as a real prospect. Is he a slam dunk ace? Far from it... but the potential is still there.
  8. alarp33
    Dallas Kuechel had a 5.0 K/9 rate in 2011, 4.9 in AAA in 2012, Sonny Gray's was 5.9 in 2012. I don't have time to look for more examples, but yes he can be a successful ML pitcher even though he had low K rates his 1st 2 years in the minors. Do I think he's going to be a K per inning guy in the majors? Doesn't appear that way, but I don't think him bumping his rate up to 7 is out of the question, and he can absolutely be a good major league pitcher
  9. alarp33
    Stewart is not a sinkerballer!
  10. alarp33
    Gotcha, anyone who has low A-ball K totals = Nick Blackburn. We should look nothing into their stuff, pitching style, delivery, frame etc.
  11. alarp33
    "Stewart came into pro ball as a football player who was just learning how to pitch, and in that context, it's impressive how far he has come already just two years into his career with the Twins." You and I are looking at A-ball stats, the person who has seen Stewart pitch, and does prospect evaluation for a living disagrees with you.
  12. alarp33
    Stewart doesn't throw a sinker - so what are the comparisons to Blackburn other than being RH pitchers for the Twins org.
  13. alarp33
    Of course he has plenty of experience, played much better HS competition than Buxton, but many of these kids are working full time on their craft, lots of mechanics go into being a major league player. At the very least, he was as focused on football as baseball, and that does put him slightly behind the learning curve.
  14. alarp33
    I've seen someone compare him to Nick Blackburn on this board. To use your analogy - if I've built a house before (played in college or at the least didn't spend half my time in HS playing football), I may be quicker to reach the end goal. If you've never built a house, but have better tools, are stronger, taller, etc... I bet there's a pretty good chance in the end your house turns out better than mine
  15. alarp33
    I won't go into much detail since its his content; Berrios - few too many long balls potentially Kepler - finally stayed healthy, nothing about tweener. 5 tools Polanco - good defender at 2b or 3b You can usually find ESPN the Mag (and Insider) for like ~$15-20 for a year, it is so worth it for Keith Law's content alone, and then you throw in all the other stuff and it is a steal
  16. alarp33
    It's why I don't put a ton of stock into minor league stats, pitchers especially. Is he working on mechanics, the change-up, command, etc? If his only goal was to rear back and blow it past everyone, I bet his strikeout total would be a bit higher, but would that make him better in the long term? I just think its so premature to write off this type of athlete, who has such great stuff, a little more than two years into his pro career (and 2+ years removed from being a QB)
  17. alarp33
    Which stats? He keeps the ball in the park and had an absurd 59% ground ball rate. I'll take the professional scouts opinion on his stuff over the numbers (which aren't even that bad other than the low K rate) for someone who has only been in pro ball for 2+ years, and spent much of his time in high school working on a different sport
  18. alarp33
    Fans who underrate him are solely looking at his strikeout total. Not a whole lot of guys throw 96+ and have the size/athleticism to throw 100 pitches a game. To paraphrase the write-up, Klaw says even if the strikeout totals don't improve a ton, he has an extremely high ceiling
  19. alarp33
    Buxton 2 Berrios 26 Kepler 33 Stewart 53 Jay 61 Polanco 66 Gordon 98
  20. alarp33
    Sooo - around the time the Twins had a terrible farm system people thought Klaw hated the Twins. But since their farm system has been good, he's fine?
  21. alarp33
    He had Berrios #97... maybe you mean in the mid-season update?
  22. alarp33
    Predictions on the 7, in order? I'll go with Buxton Kepler Berrios Gordon Jay Stewart Polanco I can't remember in the past if he's ranked International rookies, but I highly doubt he includes Park either way
  23. alarp33
    Ha, I posted nearly the same thing before seeing this. Not sure when the "many successful seasons" from Hughes were
  24. alarp33
    Several years of success as a starter? Can you tell me which years those are? ERA+ By Year; 2007 - 102 2008 - 67 2009 - 152 (reliever) 2010 - 103 2011 - 74 2012 - 101 2013 - 77 2014 - 111 2015 - 94 FIP has not been below 4.50 in 4 of the past 5 years 2014 is pretty clearly the outlier
  25. alarp33
    If Phil Hughes wasn't given that nonsensical extension 1 year into a 3 year deal, wouldn't the logical decision be to move him to the bullpen, and let May start? Hughes has been a good reliever in the past, and has far less upside in the rotation
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