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alarp33

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Everything posted by alarp33

  1. alarp33
    I guess it depends what your expectations are. If his MLB ops is .870 he's a superstar. I think the best case scenario is a McCutcheon with better defense and slightly less power. McCutcheon had a minor league OPS almost .100 points less than Buxton fwiw. Also, McCutcheon hadn't even reached the majors by the age Buxton is today. FYI, his ops in low A was .990 so your numbers are a little off.
  2. alarp33
    I know you're point, and I strongly disagree. You think it is reasonable to lower expectations for Buxton because of his ML at bats thus far. We don't really need to go any further, I'm not going to change my mind that 180 PA at age 21/22 are fairly meaningless in the scheme of things.
  3. alarp33
    Sure, they might point back to that... but I think the only meaningful thing people will talk about in 5-10 years is how it was pretty clear Buxton wasn't ready in 2015.
  4. alarp33
    Would it make you feel better if say, the DBacks had immediately sent Paul Goldschmidt at 21 after signing him out of College to the Majors, and he struck out a bunch, instead of sending him to Rookie ball which they did? I think its safe to say at this point Buxton was rushed... Just a guess, but if he spent all of last season, and half of this season in the minors his "1st 180 plate appearances" might look a little different, as a 22 year old (still younger than many "elite hitters") debuting in the Majors. I'm not really seeing in anyway how giving a baseline 1st 180 Major league PA test to players is in anyway meaningful. Kris Bryant, Paul Goldschmidt, and many others were in college at 21... Byron Buxton came from rural GA where he faced poor competition, spent most of his Age 20 season not playing, had ~250 PA's above A ball, and struck out a bunch in the Majors
  5. alarp33
    Kris Bryant was swinging a metal bat at 21 and Byron Buxton's career was already over at that age, pretty sad!
  6. alarp33
    I'll reiterate - if he becomes one of the 5-10 best hitters in MLB will anyone care what his 1st 187 at bats looked like? He wasn't ready at 21 off an injury plagued, throw away season, oh well. To the 2nd question. No... again, many of the best hitters in MLB aren't even sniffing the majors at 21.
  7. alarp33
    You're listing 5 guys... a few of which are under 25 and practically locks for the Hall of Fame already. No, he did not start as well as them... throw in Ken Griffey Jr and A-Rod as well. That's as meaningful of sample size as posting his OPS+ (which someone else did above) in 50 plate appearances this year. The sample size of players making the Major leagues at ages 23 or 24 and becoming super stars is pretty damn big. He's been terrible in his ~180 major league plate appearances which have been spread out over 2 seasons (most at 21 yo), with a DL stint mixed in there as well. Josh Donaldson just won the American League MVP and was just getting his feet wet in low-A ball at 21. R-E-L-A-X
  8. alarp33
    It's a neat conclusion you have drawn, but fairly meaningless. How many "elite hitters" have even had ML at bats at 21, let alone productive ones? Recent history; Trout, Machado, Harper... and...? Buxton might not have the offensive upside of these once in a generation talents... oh well. Looking at some of last years Batting Leaders Donaldson? 26 his rookie year Goldschmidt? 23 Nelson Cruz? 25 AJ Pollock? 25 McCutcheon? 22 Kris Bryant? 23
  9. alarp33
    Of course not. But picking at 15 you damn well better get a Top 50 BPA. Reaching for a local kid with the ceiling of a 4/5 starter at 15 would be crazy. If you're picking in the mid 30s or something it might be a different story.
  10. alarp33
    Speaking of local guys, does anyone know if Austin Athmann (JR), C at the U is considered a prospect at all? Good size (6'2" 210lbs) and is hitting .393/.463/.710 with 11 home runs and 13 doubles in 38 games.
  11. alarp33
    The fact that he might be gone at 56 is not a reason to draft him 15th. He will be nowhere near the BPA at 15. I admittedly get most of my scouting notes from ESPN as I'm an insider there, but Keith Law has said Shore is nowhere near a 1st round talent.. not even close to his top 50 draft prospects
  12. alarp33
    Taking a 3rd round talent at 15 because he went to high school here would be the most Twins move ever
  13. alarp33
    FIFY
  14. alarp33
    Correct. Some of the moves he makes if taken completely alone, make sense. When put in context with everything else he does... not so much. Kevin Jepsen was great last year, but he was never going to single handidly get that team to the playoffs. Why even try
  15. alarp33
    I think I would have offered Berrios to Milw last July for Lucroy, at this point trading for him makes little sense. Like you said, only 1 year left on his deal after this season, which is already a lost one for the Twins
  16. alarp33
    You realize Nolasco and Hughes have negative trade value? The Twins would likely have to throw in a real prospect along with Nolasco or Hughes just to get the other team to take on the contract.
  17. alarp33
    Ding ding ding C- Hitting like a back-up catcher that he should be, only slightly off from 2015 numbers. 32 years old with a lot of games caught likely catching up to someone who wasn't all that good in the 1st place 2B - Dozier struggled for 3 solid months to end last season, I for one am not surprised at all with his numbers thus far. I think they will improve, but I don't think this can be counted as a shock SS - Escobar has never been a full time starter, the lack of extra base hits is hurting... but maybe there was a reason he had never been a starter? 3B - I said multiple times they should trade Plouffe not just to fit Sano in at 3B, but because it could be a better lineup w/o Plouffe. Get whatever you can. Low obp, ok power LF - Rosario is a 4th OFer, why are people surprised that someone with his lack of plate discipline, who had a .290obp last season is worse this year? CF - Buxton is going to be fine, but who's really surprised he couldn't hit the 1st 3 weeks of April? Was given ~15 games to prove himself.
  18. alarp33
    Would anyone be surprised if Brunansky lost his job in the next week or two? I don't have a strong feeling on him one way or the other, but that seems like the easiest scapegoat for a team unwilling to change management.
  19. alarp33
    Good thing Sano is in RF so that 3b defense remains top notch
  20. alarp33
    Umm, besides being terrible? I'm sure he's a nice guy?
  21. alarp33
    That damn lack of professionalism from Arcia is KILLING this team right now. What good is a 2 run homer down 4??!?!
  22. alarp33
    http://www.1500espn.com/news/2016/05/zulgad-talk-about-a-total-system-failure-pohlads-message-is-latest-blunder-by-twins/ I don't particularly care for Zulgad, but I thought he hit the nail on the head here... in case anyone is looking for a non- these comments from Pohlad were great! angle
  23. alarp33
    Pretty sad we are at this point on May 6th where people are defending call-ups with "he's a guy who can sit on the bench"... just what every 8-20 team needs!!
  24. alarp33
    After reading more... no. Milone and Fien were put on waivers, they are still on the 25 man roster. They are on waivers, not DFA'd. So I guess who knows what the intention with them is. I think in the original report Berardino confused waivers and DFA Maybe someone can clarify, but why put them on waivers if you intend to send them to AAA, wouldn't you just DFA them?
  25. alarp33
    Add Ryan O'Rourke to the list... holy cow
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