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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. Doomtints
    Getting into a debate about what SLG is might be the most pointless thing in the history of man. Look it up on Fangraphs if you have questions.
  2. Doomtints
    SLG = power. He hit for more power than Dozier.
  3. Doomtints
    Daniel Murphy hit for more power than Dozier, and with only 25 home runs. I would take Murphy's 2016 over Dozier's any time.
  4. Doomtints
    If we're back on this again, I don't think any of the assets on the table have "no value." You could argue with a straight face that they have LESS value, but no value?
  5. Doomtints
    Good question. Keeping Dozier delays the long term plans, I should think.
  6. Doomtints
    You laid this out perfectly.
  7. Doomtints
    Impasse: When things are so hopeless, you have to start speaking in French.
  8. Doomtints
    I have to say that reading that the Twins were about to start a press conference to make a very big announcement and this being it was pretty lame.
  9. Doomtints
    The Twins have done more than turn to prospects. They also resumed signing geriatrics, or players past their prime if you want to be kind. It will be fun watching Santana, Hughes, Gibson, Vogelsong, and rotating green guy in 2017. I guess.
  10. Doomtints
    I never thought of him as a power bat. I considered him a complete package, very good at many things but not excellent at any. I wrote that mostly for me, since I'm surprised to figure that out I bet others are too.
  11. Doomtints
    Dozier's 2016 SLG is a full 100 points above his previous career high -- not his average, his career high. I don't think there is any way he repeats 2016. You say he's a .770 OPS guy but he's not even that even if you include last year. Before last year he was just under a .750 OPS guy. Assuming he has a couple of good, peak years ahead of him, I can see him doing .790 OPS over the next few years, on average. For what it's worth, Torii Hunter hit with more power than Dozier has consistently shown and I don't know how many of us think of Hunter as a key power bat.
  12. Doomtints
    He seems like a perfect fit for the As. Over/under on how many dingers he will hit v. Twins pitchers over the rest of his career?
  13. Doomtints
    Well, I would say that even if Bautista's personality has some warts, Sano could still learn something from him. At times Sano seems more concerned with his entourage than baseball. If Sano shifts more of his focus to baseball he will be an MVP. Say what you want about Bautista, his focus is on baseball. Maybe all Sano needs is a buddy in the clubhouse, maybe if that buddy is a bit crazy too the bond might actually happen.
  14. Doomtints
    I don't see Bautista going for $20M. Max would be $15M, but I'm guessing he signs in the $10M-$12M range unless a bottom feeder team wants to pay the $15M. Maybe someone gives him $20M for two years, but I doubt that too.
  15. Doomtints
    T-Minus 48 hours until epic Bautista deal! http://www.dvrbs.com/camden-ethnic/SJB-2003-01.jpg
  16. Doomtints
    Woo!
  17. Doomtints
    Small quibbles. At the end of the day, we are all human. Chemistry is a real thing in all human activities and relationships. History is full of leaders who bring good things out of mediocre people. This can't be measured, but we can usually spot it and we certainly feel it when we are in such an environment. (And we feel it even more when we are in an environment with the opposite.) Also, and I'm sure you know this too, batter v. pitcher is romanticized and overblown. Certainly there are epic at bats that happen but it's typically batter v. the other team's entire defense. Much of what we think of as "pitching" is really defense. Sure, the best pitchers induce a lot of weak infield grounders, but that's little consolation if you have someone out there with the yips.
  18. Doomtints
    Forgetting about Dozier a minute, it really seems like there is a lot of bad blood going on between the Twins and the Dodgers. They are refusing to talk to one another. This is a terrible start for Falvey and Levine. They should have walked away three weeks ago if they weren't getting what they wanted. Let's hope they treat their players better than they treat their trading partners.
  19. Doomtints
    Um, no. They took 5 different systems and added them together. They simply gave slightly more weight to DRS and RED than the others. The formula is right there in front of you. If they added them all together without the weighting, it would look like this: 20% TZ + 20% DRS + 20% RED + 20% UZR + 20% DRA I think the percentages might be throwing you off. The percentages do not indicate "blending" it's actually "weighting." A blend would not count the same events multiple times, the algorithm would account for that with a "blend." And none of this changes my point. Most of these systems count the same events. By adding them together, whether you choose to emphasize a couple of the systems or not, the result can only be obtuse and in the case of SDI, grotesque. SDI creates the opposite of a bell curve for players that are good or bad at whichever traits are counted the most in the 5 systems. As for stumbling around in the dark, everyone knows why SDI was created and it was not to create a new defensive algorithm to supplant the others. Considering "the dark" is five other systems that they borrow from, there's not much need to flip on the light.
  20. Doomtints
    I am 100% familiar with what SABR has to say about SDI, being a SABR member myself. If you dig around enough on those pages you will find the SDI formula. It is exactly as i described it. "Aggregator" is a misleading term, but one of the meanings of "aggregator" is "Index." So they are not lying by using that term, but nevertheless the term misleads people. Look up what an Index is if I did not explain it adequately.
  21. Doomtints
    Well, he already has SoCal hair. Beyond that, I'm sure he can start throwing "Duuuude" into conversations and fit right into the LA market. Would the Dodgers feel more comfortable if the Twins threw in a surfboard for him to use? Anyway, it's true that he strikes out a lot. He strikes out more than Eddie Rosario, and we all read constantly about Rosario's terrible patience. At the same time, I really doubt the Dodgers truly care about Dozier's K rate (though I have no doubt that the Dodgers pretended that this was a concern.)
  22. Doomtints
    Untrue. The initial reports had a giant blank going back to the Twins. After a few days that blank was filled in. For the most part, journalists updated their reports and moved on. However, Ryan was asked about it in the interim and, yes, as the trade was originally submitted the Twins were getting nothing out of it other than the cash dump associated with getting rid of a veteran player that they no longer wanted.
  23. Doomtints
    Viola was first drafted in the 16th round but opted to go to college instead. The Twins then later drafted him in the 2nd round. The man of the hour (Dozier) was drafted in the 8th. Joe Nathan was drafted in the 6th. There are countless examples of good players drafted late, just as there are countless examples of bad players drafted early.
  24. Doomtints
    Rodriguez looks somewhat interesting. It looks like he can defend 3B, 1B, and LF/RF and his bat isn't an embarrassment. He has also pitched and earned a save. As a longshot he might be the late innings defensive stand-in the Twins are lacking.
  25. Doomtints
    I think he will be traded too.
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