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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    Doesn't this assume that 1) A market exists for Pelfry and 2) This move hasn't been made because the rest of the league has been unaware we would trade him?
  2. tobi0040
    It isn't 100% about young versus old. Milone really isn't old. It is about upside. Milone's is that of a #5 starter. I think May has much better potential.
  3. tobi0040
    The short answer is no. The long answer is in relation to Pelfrey, Mauer has at least proved to be an MLB caliber player and an above average one at that. He has been worth $23M once in his career. But that feedback session should be between Jim Pohlad and Bill Smith rather than Joe Mauer and Terry Ryan. How many people would not sign a bloated contract based upon an out of this world year? I would sign as quickly as possible and ensure that sucker was notarized.
  4. tobi0040
    During that conversation, Joe may remind him that among active players he is second in batting average (cabrera) and third in on base (votto and cabrera). The career obp is over 40 percent.
  5. tobi0040
    My version would go something like yours, but with Terry then asking for his $16 million dollars back.
  6. tobi0040
    I totally agree Gardy cost us games. But 10 a year? Allow me to add 10 wins per season to 2002 to 2010. There have only been 116 instances in history where teams have had 100 wins. The Yankees have 25. But #2 and #3 are Oakland (10) and Atlanta (8). So I don't think a Twins team led by a better manager, or any other manager would have had five in a nine year stretch. 2010 104 wins 2009 97 wins 2008 98 wins 2007 89 wins 2006 106 wins 2005 93 wins 2004 102 wins 2003 100 wins 2002 104 wins http://www.sportingcharts.com/articles/mlb/which-mlb-team-has-the-most-100-plus-win-seasons.aspx
  7. tobi0040
    What if Milone gets 20 starts and May gets 10? It is really the same concept as having your best hitters towards the front of the order. They will bat more than the 8 and 9th hitters. Maybe the need for a veteran like Livan Hernandez and his 5.48 ERA over 140 IP in 2008 helped cause game 163 that we lost? Or maybe similar logic caused us to go on the road in the playoffs versus having an additional home game.
  8. tobi0040
    I never understood this philosophy about it doesn't really matter who makes the team out of spring training because, in May or June out team will be set Are games in April worth less than games in June?
  9. tobi0040
    Who will help is win in April? Who will help win games later this year and beyond? The answer to April is up for debate. I would argue may. May is certainly a better bet in the future
  10. tobi0040
    Which part did I miss? Hicks was accountable and pelfrey acted like the last two years didn't happen. What are the twins supposed to say to pelfrey? You will make the team is 3 guys get hurt? I guess I don't buy "open competition" being the same as lowest era in 10 innings wins the job.
  11. tobi0040
    Good call on the DFA options > Nunez and Robinson. It seems like Twins always worry about covering every defensive four times and never have a single late inning bat. Maybe Pinto....but a pretty weak offensive bench again.
  12. tobi0040
    Let me get this straight. Hicks didn't make the team and acted like a pro and was somewhat accountable. Pelfrey acted like a child.
  13. tobi0040
    Attitude and culture matter. But I have a hard time believing molitor and the pitching coach are worth ten games. I think more like 3.
  14. tobi0040
    Agreed on all fronts.
  15. tobi0040
    Milone is somewhere between a 5th starter and a 7th starter. May's FIP last suggests last year that even though he was shelled in 20% of those starts, he was a 5th starter. He took a step forward and nobody can argue his upside is not higher than Milone's. Let's move north with May and use Milone as he should be, spot starts and as a long reliever. If we have slotted Pelfrey there than we need to make a decision between the two for that role and the loser is AAA depth.
  16. tobi0040
    Gibson could be really good. Brandon Webb was an ace when healthy. His high k per 9 was 7.3 and he had a gb percentage ranging between 62 and 67 percent. The closer Gibson gets to those two numbers the better. I think he had a shot at mid 6's on k's and a 60 percent ground ball rate.
  17. tobi0040
    For those counting at home... Milone 14 IP, 4.50 ERA, 15H, 8K, 4 BB. May 6 IP, 1.50 ERA, 2H, BB, 7 K Hopefully a strong 4-5 innings tomorrow will lock it up for May.
  18. tobi0040
    Todays outing for Milone leaves the door open for May. 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, and 3 K
  19. tobi0040
    All the guys probably had three weeks already with Torii. Between Hicks, Rosario, and Arcia, from April 1 to August I see two of them on the roster almost at all times. And frankly, if Buxton has half the work ethic, talent, and respect for the game he does not need any additional time with Torii Hunter. I don't mean that as a slight to Torii but as a compliment to Buxton. Hicks preparation and results, Arcia's results at times and demeanor, and Rosario's off the field activities tell me those are the guys most in need of mentorship.
  20. tobi0040
    My opinion. Hunter signed here because we offered the most money and it likely was not even close. He gets to check the box, come home, work with the young guys in camp and maybe for some period of time (Hicks, Rosario, and Buxton). If we are on pace for 77 wins in August and young guys are knocking on the door and needs reps, I think it makes sense for all parties if he is moved to a contender for one last hurrah. Just like Jim Thome. I guess I don't know who would object
  21. tobi0040
    I would not be too shocked if a July or August trade to a contender was not part of the discussions between Ryan and Hunter before he signed. If Buxton and Rosario are both ready to play in July or August, I don't see the Twins not giving them reps. Maybe that means Hunter plays in the OF twice a week and plays DH a few times, or maybe that means they move him to a contending team.
  22. tobi0040
    OK. I guess I assumed any extension involves some level of calculation of the odds of different scenario's regarding said players performance
  23. tobi0040
    I read it too. I don't think we trade Hicks if he does not make the team. One way or another I think he gets another shot. Whether that means he makes the team or goes to AAA to start and gets another month or two at some point this year. Regarding Arcia, I think he makes the team but if he continues to put up poor at bats and look really bad in LF he goes down at some point. I think it highlights to an extent how silly it was to put him in LF. Come July-August, I think the OF is Rosario in LF, Buxton in CF, and Arcia in right (Hunter traded). I think that is at least an average OF defense. Which means we see a huge improvement there.
  24. tobi0040
    I think the term "bets" sounds speculative, like blindly betting on red or black. But I would argue professional gamblers put at least as much calculation behind their wagers than many corporations do.
  25. tobi0040
    Agreed spy. Nice discussion as always mike.
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