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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    Makes a lot of sense to me.
  2. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, but (1) you have to also value whatever we get back in return for Plouffe, such as a catching upgrade and (2) you have to value what happens after Plouffe would likely be gone in 2018. Plouffe has two more years of team control and Sano has six. If Sano doesn't play 3B the next year or two, it may very well make it more difficult to move him there in 2018, (or if Sano still does move there in 2018, it will mean his defense there is mediocre in 2018 when we are more likely to be a contender versus mediocre next year when we are less likely to be a contender and then improving so that he is decent by 2018) thus losing the option of a DH for up to six years. That is a lot of lost value.
  3. nytwinsfan
    Vargas' career OPS is .717 and Plouffe's is .727. That is already very close. BUT, Vargas did that during his age 23 and 24 seasons. Plouffe didn't have an OPS above .700 until he was 26. That by itself is not a reason to trade Plouffe (the reason is the value you could get in return), obviously, but it is also not a reason to NOT trade Plouffe.
  4. nytwinsfan
    Rochester is going against the International League's weakest offensive team, the Pawtucket Red Sox. Not that Berrios needs any helpf, but he should be able to dominate them.
  5. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, Berrios, Tonkin, Achter, Vargas, and Kepler should all be coming up. Polanco too. Dozier looks exhausted, and who can blame him. He could use a game a week off down the stretch. Even Danny Santana, if only as a pinch runner.
  6. nytwinsfan
    Definitely the Yankees pitching is really good. I'm just saying relative to the Blue Jays lineup, and given our respective lineup/pitching, I'll take my chances with the Yankees pitching.
  7. nytwinsfan
    It sure would be nice to have some MLB data on him by now. Agree with you there. Although he has struggled a little bit at a new level before, so even if he comes up Sept. 1 and has one or two bad outings, I'd want to see him longer than that before I'd downgrade his value. I would consider trading Kepler plus more for Swihart, and I LOVE Kepler. I just think Berrios has outperformed expectations at every level, and clearly has a fantastic makeup. That doesn't guarantee anything, but I think it gives him as good of a shot as any pitching prospect of reaching and possibly exceeding his expectations.
  8. nytwinsfan
    I'd rather play NY. I have more faith that the Twins' hitters can handle the Yankees pitching than I do that the Twins' pitching can handle the Blue Jays lineup.
  9. nytwinsfan
    Why do you think/assume that anyone doesn't like Swihart? He has awesome potential and will quite possibly be a star. I'd trade basically anyone not named Sano, Buxton or Berrios for him. But that's just the point. Any trade has two sides of the ledger, so asking about just one half is kind of pointless. I am guessing that for almost everyone here who wouldn't do this deal, it has very little to do with holes in Swihart's game, and everything to do with not giving up the first Twins pitching prospect since at least Liriano who has routinely dominated the minors and has the chance (and yes, of course it is only a chance) to be a #1 or #2 starter.
  10. nytwinsfan
    NO.
  11. nytwinsfan
    100% agree with all of this. Took the words out of my mouth.
  12. nytwinsfan
    Pretty much agree with everything. Only things I would add is that Kepler should be in the picture for OF, at least by mid-season next year, if not before and that Turner is certainly a possibility, but his bat has not shown enough YET to be anything more than a backup, even with his plus defense.
  13. nytwinsfan
    I don't know who should start, but Trevor May should be pitching at least 2 or 3 innings during the game, that's for sure. Sorry, T.C., just noticed your post above. I agree, except I might save him to start pitching during a high leverage situation.
  14. nytwinsfan
    You have to further break fly balls into line drives and fly balls. The former have a much higher BABIP for obvious reason.
  15. nytwinsfan
    I read somewhere that his hit profile (line drives/fly balls/grounders, hit speed) was pretty similar to Stanton's. Edit*, here it is: http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2015/8/23/9191183/miguel-sano-twins-giancarlo-stanton-lite Seems like they are pretty close, with Sano having more line drives but fewer fly balls and grounders. The very high % of line drives suggests Sano will have a higher BABIP than average, although given his average (at best) speed, certainly not an above .400 BABIP.
  16. nytwinsfan
    Define worry. Yes, a little. But (1) his line drive rate is through the roof, which is partly responsible for the high BABIP, and could be somewhat sustainable, and (2) hopefully as his BaBIP comes down so will his strikeouts a little, as he figures out major league breaking balls. Worse case scenario he ends up a .250/.350/525 hitter, which is still fantastic.
  17. nytwinsfan
    I didn't see the game until the 9th, but if that is the case, I'm pretty worried. Whether physical or mental, that's kind of worrisome. Hopefully it is just the pressure of a rookie with high expectations (to put it mildly) batting leadoff in a meaningful big league game in late August. That would at least be understandable, even if it isn't encouraging.
  18. nytwinsfan
    Agreed that I would not read too much into the August numbers, especially because there were a lot of RHP he faced. The real difference is not by months, but by handedness of the pitcher. Despite all the talk that he has figured out how to be decent against RHP, his OPS on the year is still .634 against them. At most it has gone from disastrous to poor. That might cut it as a split against RHP for a CF with good defense on a different team (one without Byron Buxton), but it won't cut it for this current team. Aaron Hicks plays good defense and destroys LHP. And for that, he will probably always have a spot on a major league team. But it is questionable whether he has a future with the Twins unless it is as at least a partial platoon player. Sure, there is some chance he will figure out RHP enough to have a .670 to .700 OPS, in which case he might be able to be a plus defense, below average hitting corner outfielder. But I think that is unlikely. He's been in the majors three years now, and still hasn't figured out RHP.
  19. nytwinsfan
    Not worried about Kepler. Hasn't been striking out at all. Just bad luck and his Babip coming a little back to earth. I do agree that the bullpen is probably the best route for Berrios. Keeps his innings down while still allowing him to contribute.
  20. nytwinsfan
    So because Kennys Vargas would be twice as bad at SS as Joe Mauer, does that mean we should move Mauer to SS?
  21. nytwinsfan
    Arcia is not an outfielder. Sorry, but he will never be anything other than an emergency OF for the Twins again, and thank goodness for that. (he might be a DH though).
  22. nytwinsfan
    The "problem" is that the Twins (1) don't like to platoon, (2) have at least three other good to great young outfielders, and (3) have Mauer and Sano at 1B and DH (with Vargas probably taking over DH or 1B if Plouffe is traded and Sano takes over 3b). So unless the Twins decide to Platoon, one of Rosario, Hicks, Buxton is traded, or Plouffe is traded and the Twins make Kepler a 1B, I don't see a spot for Kepler. Sure, there could be injuries next year, but you can't count on that and you have to hope it doesn't happen. It would be good to see him this September so that if trades happen this offseason the Twins have some (albeit still limited) sense of his ability.
  23. nytwinsfan
    Ohhh, I know!
  24. nytwinsfan
    Plus 4 inches, but otherwise, yeah.
  25. nytwinsfan
    Great, long overdue article. Kepler really isn't being talked about as much as he should. If you combine the fact that he just turned 22 in April, with the fact (mentioned by the article) that he didn't play highly competitive ball until 16, and that he has been hampered by injuries, his dominant performance this year is really incredible and hasn't gotten enough attention, especially from national prospect watchers, but even from local Twins ones. Unfortunately, those quotes from Radcliff make it sounds like Kepler won't be a Sept. 1 call up.
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