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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Name the time Ryan signed a legit free agent...that path is closed right now.
  2. Question, if you need five starters, and they fail at a high rate, isn't that an argument for taking even more pitching early? I mean, you need a ton of prospects to fill in the roster, right?
  3. How long before a guy does not need to play everyday, and he is a bench guy?
  4. Sorry Seth, I will try again. Numbers matter more than bad numbers but good character guy.....if he is trying to justifying signing a guy, and his numbers suck, but the interviews are all about makeup and character and hustle, well, numbers are what matter. Or did I misunderstand you?
  5. Easy for law to say keep hicks down, he is not a fan wanting to be entertained. He is not paying for tickets. It amazes me people are so worried about the pollards money and control, and less worried about the actual entertainment value on the field.
  6. lots of snark in this thread, and I was going to avoid posting......but I hope everyone reads this from Seth, and remembers it next time Ryan talks about what a great clubhouse some guy is.
  7. One article on prime ages refutes your belief of 32: Baseball Prospectus | How Do Baseball Players Age?
  8. I'd rather watch a random guy pitch, than a predictably bad guy pitch. I'd rather have a guy give me one great game, on ok game, and two bad games, than a guy give me 4 below average to bad game. At least with the first guy, you win 1 game, maybe three.....I don't get how predictability is a good thing, if the prediction is a 5+ERA....
  9. I never said at the ML level.....nor did I say Sano would move this year. This guy holds down first at AA / AAA until Sano is moved to first, which I still think happens. I get that other people don't think that. I do.
  10. Filler until they move Sano to first, imo.
  11. Under, I see a major regression here.
  12. Over, and I'd actually make this bet.....but man, Vegas is good at this.
  13. There are other ways, but we know some things, right? They will not sign expensive free agents They will not trade for expensive players (David Price, for example) Most teams will not trade inexpensive great players You also said "best fit for their organization", and fit needs to be considered not in a vaccuum, imo. So if you have shut off several avenues to getting very good/great pitchers, don't you need to use the one you are still willing to use?
  14. The money is a sunk cost.......the delta in ptiching May or Meyer, and sending down Correia is $500K. If they feel obligated to keep him up because they are paying him, they should be fired. This concept has been understood and taught in business school since the 80s.....
  15. To be clear, I'm not defending either the signing or the 2nd year, both of which I HATE. I am arguing that the 2nd year does not matter in the grand scheme of TR's approach to building a cheap roster.
  16. great post, diehard.....much more clear than some of mine....
  17. You really think $5MM, on top of all those guys making the minumum, is going to matter? IF (and I do not think this is true, btw) you are right, and they are willing to spend money to clsoe a hole, and if all those guys are on the roster making the minimum, you think $5MM is going to matter? Not if your premise is true, that they are willing to spend money (which, imo, is not true, and we saw it again this year, and every previous year Ryan was GM).
  18. I am 100% certain this will not help you on this board......not many here believe that 30+ year old pitchers with long track records "are better than their numbers".....people are what they are, that's the beauty of number, they remove all the emotional BS like "great teammate" "good makeup".....none of that matters if it does not produce good numbers. None of it. As has been stated, he basically, with that quote, proved everyone right that they are scouts 99%, and numbers people 1%, and that he's betting he is smarter than all the teams that use numbers and science and computers and stuff* *note, that last part was a bit sarcastic, but largely true, imo
  19. Five extra million for Correia is irrelevant if you won't sign any legit FAs anyway.....seriously, at this point, it does not matter if they waste $5MM, if they won't spend money elsewhere.
  20. gunn....how good would a hitter ahve to be to be up with the Twins in a year, but I do get your point....as for the best Twins teams, they were good teams, not great teams, imo. And what would have made them great was even very good starting pitching. again, I'm not going to change your minds, and you aren't going to change mine....as long as we are all cool having a conversation, I'm cool continuing, I just don't want to push so hard people start getting mad....
  21. You left off the whole part of context before that, where they system, imo, is barren of number 1/2 starters....in a vaccuum, the OFer is better....but they don't live in a vacuum.
  22. That's my point, we don't know.....but if you never draft pitching early, you are unlikely to have good pitching. Otherwise, people are arguing that early picks are not more likely to be good than later picks, and I don't think anyone really means to argue that. But I can promise you, if a SP is ranked number 8 ovearall, that people think they are a number 2/3 type pitcher in the future....right? If you literally have no number 1 or 2 in your entire system, and maybe have 3 number threes, in your entire system, what is more valuable, a future number 2/3, or a future really good OFer?
  23. Why would it be a mistake automatically? What if that 8th best player is a number 2 pitcher, or even a number 3 pitcher? That is a bad thing? Because while you might think the hitter is going to be awesome, you don't really know that for sure. We don't know the future for sure at all..... As for last year's arms, I think everyone is jumping to a lot of conclusions after zero innings in A ball for a starter so far.
  24. over, but man, Vegas is good at this.....I'm tempted to go under, because the Indians added a legit pitcher, and KC added two probably.....but man, if healthy, the Tigers look pretty good.....ok, under. But I would not bet my house on this at all....
  25. Fangrpahs has them as the 17th best 1B group.....they are not bullish on Morneau. Also, even if he is back, he's potentially past his prime. That said, I think he's going to have a very, very good year, and be traded. If not traded, I think he signs someplace else. I think this is our last shot to see him, which bums me out. He's a great player, and a great asset in the community.
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