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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. I can understand why someone could disagree with projecting how many runs it is worth. But why would it have to account for quality of pitching? It is simply measuring something that factually happened- a pitch that factually missed the zone being called a strike, and vice versa.
  2. I guess I'm a Tonkin bobo. K and bb rates stabilize much quicker than HR rates, which can be fluky in small sample sizes. People say that nobody in MLB is fooled by his straight fastball, but if that is the case, how has he kept his k rate up in the majors? I expect a pretty good season from Tonkin.
  3. He lives in Florida. How is he going to be an asset to the community after he retires?
  4. Good hitters shouldn't be moving runners over, ever. If Buxton is such a crappy hitter that he's being asked to move runners over, then we have bigger problems than his bunting ability.
  5. What if tomorrow is a 12-3 blowout? I'm not a fan of saving guys for a situation that may never arise. Win the game that you are in, worry about tomorrow's game tomorrow.
  6. Haley's ST line doesn't look too bad to me so far. 11 k's and 3 bb's isn't so bad in 10.2 innings. I'm really not concerned about the hits or ERA over such a small sample size. I wasn't a fan of the selection, but I like the k rate so far.
  7. You can't give a SB the same weight as a walk though. A walk can advance runners, a stolen base cannot. I think we'd have to find out what percentage of time, league wide, a walk advances another runner a base, and adjust accordingly. For example, if it is 20%, then a SB should only be worth .8 total bases.
  8. There is going to be an adjustment period when a guy comes up, no matter how long you leave him in the minors. Leaving Sano in the minors another 2 years wouldn't have changed his mlb performance much, aside from pushing everything back 2 years.
  9. So how many closers in waiting are we up to now? At least 3 by my count. Are we going to rotate them, or give them each one out in the 9th?
  10. You need to be careful bringing too many guys north for their veteran leadership. There are only 25 roster spots, at some point there aren't enough young guys around to mentor.
  11. Yes, in any given game anything can happen. But when the results are 3-19, there is a cause somewhere.
  12. 3-19 is not random. In fact, it's so one sided that it almost disproves a claim of randomness all on its own. If it were just random, the expected result would be right around .500.
  13. This is all true. But, on the other side of the coin is the fact that it's not impossible that there is something in the organization that is contributing to the injuries. I'm not suggesting that something is, I'm nowhere near a position to know either way. But, I don't think the Twins would be doing their job if they don't consider that possibility.
  14. Yeah, I wonder if we'd get the same comments about distractions if he was spending his free time reading classic literature, or volunteering with orphans? As an able minded adult, I'm going to go ahead and give him the benefit of the doubt that he can manage his work and free times until he shows otherwise.
  15. It's not newness for me, can't speak for others. I wasn't a fan when we acquired him. Still, the 12 to 15 starts he's going to see in 2 months is far too small of a sample size to tell us anything at all. If the plan is to give JRM another shot, then I think you need to give him a minimum of 200 plate appearances before deciding anything. Again, I'd rather give those to Garver, but if the plan is giving Murphy a shot first, then I hope he at least gets a real shot, not 50 or 60 plate appearances.
  16. Well someone aside from Castro is going to get 45 to 50 starts. I would give those to Garver. Murphy does nothing for me, neither does another year of service time for a guy already at an age where he will already be controlled through all of his likely productive years. What does the data say for 33+ year old catchers who weren't elite in their prime?
  17. Given the contract we just gave to Castro, how old will Garver be when we are able to give him 2 of 3 nights catching in MLB? Catcher is the one spot where there is plenty of playing time available for the backup. I'd be fine with a 60/40 split with Castro and Garver. That would give Garver about 65 starts, which is only about 20 or 25 less than he'd likely get as the primary at Rochester.
  18. The fact that Rule V picks are so likely to be swings and misses anyway is precisely why I would take the player with the highest ceiling every time.
  19. Correct. The Twins April 2017 games will be just as meaningless as their September 2017 games.
  20. Yeah I get that. But that's not what I'm talking about. I'm annoyed when a pitcher intends to throw it over the strike zone on 0-2. I understand that sometimes you miss your spot.
  21. Isn't there a middle ground between wasting one pitch on 0-2, and wasting 3 to get to a full count. Nothing annoys me more than a pitcher throwing it over the plate on 0-2. The whole advantage of getting up 0-2 is that you don't have to throw the hitter a strike.
  22. IMO Granite's ceiling is a 4th OF'er, so I don't think it matters how soon he takes that role.
  23. If he was "easily a number 1", he'd be the concensus #1 prospect in all of baseball. Unless you meant that is his ceiling, of which most would agree. Very few prospects ever reach their ceiling though.
  24. Right, I'm not suggesting they promote based on that. Just saying it's OK to be disappointed that he hasn't sniffed mlb yet, unlike a more raw draft pick.
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