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NYCTK

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  1. NYCTK
    This is the big thing people are ignoring though. The vaunted "best bullpen in baseball" '24-'25 Twins WERE middle of the pack, and arguably bottom half of the league. FIP/WAR is nice to look at but you have to also look at the results eventually. And a season and a half of results said the Twins were a pretty mediocre to poor bullpen despite how shiny some of those arms looked.
  2. NYCTK
    What if we once again tried to have the world's richest man cut more programs and kill more poor people? Would that help?
  3. NYCTK
    Ha, true. I am not advocating for Falvey at all. Nor Rocco. That man should have obviously been fired last offseason.
  4. NYCTK
    I decided to scale it down, since most players in the league are not paid full wages. Maybe doubling the sale and looking at 80 and 40 instead (7.75 vs 5.20). So that's about 50% more instead of the 100%. So, the point remains but less dramatically.
  5. NYCTK
    FURTHER sharing media revenue. They share about half right now. People act as though there's no revenue sharing at all. If your core is mostly failed SP then you failed and you should start over.
  6. NYCTK
    I simply don't agree and don't think anyone inside baseball does either. Just looking at the contracts of players we can see how much more the 40th highest paid SP is paid than the 20th highest paid RP. Feel like that's a pretty fair assessment. $17 Million vs $8.7 Million. Baseball front offices value SP more than RP and no team has prioritized money building up a super bullpen when that money can be spent elsewhere. RP are almost always failed SP.
  7. NYCTK
    Billionaires are well known welfare queens. Thankfully they just received another tax cut at our expense 🙏
  8. NYCTK
    Look at the bench. They have an IF that's making DaShawn's bat look good, and Straw who has a 640 OPS. France may very well be DFAd once their starters start to come back off the IL, namely when Santander is healthy. Not that he's been any good this season anyways.
  9. NYCTK
    It's simply that Varland is a bullpen arm. Bullpen arms are gettable. Case in point, I think I read that 45 relief pitchers were traded in the last couple of days. Many teams had ONE reliable arm leading into the trade deadline and were able to completely bolster their bullpen by trading away some mid tier prospects. The bullpen is the last thing you build on a competitor, not the first. Cleveland did well last year with a bullpen and little else, but they're really an anomaly, and the vaunted Twins bullpen had nowhere near the results of Cleveland's bullpen. The trade of Varland tells me that there IS a plan, or at least a semblance of an organizational philosophy.
  10. NYCTK
    I do not believe this will happen. There is no reason for the MLBPA to give the owners this. I can instead see even more aggressive luxury taxes and drastically increased revenue sharing (47% up to 80%?). If something like a salary cap DID happen, I think the trade off is pre-arbitration is a dead idea and players are going to start to become expensive right away. And I don't think that really helps smaller market teams.
  11. NYCTK
    France wasn't what Toronto wanted, I promise you that trade wasn't being held up if the Twins said no to trading France.
  12. NYCTK
    They AREN'T lottery tickets. They're legit prospects/players. Varland isn't going to be become the best closer of all time, so I'm truly not concerned about him leaving. Bullpen arm huggers are the new prospect huggers apparently.
  13. NYCTK
    You all are way underestimating the return for Varland. Kendry Rojas had really good numbers in A+ and only has a handful of appearances in high minors as a 22 year old. "He looks like a backend starter right now and has a chance to develop into more of a true no. 4 type if he can find a more enticing breaking ball." And Roden isn't a bad piece either. I'd trade Larnach for him, straight up. "Roden’s on-base skill and underrated baserunning give him a high floor as a corner outfielder." "he’s a good, big league-ready hitter with plus contact and plate skills."
  14. NYCTK
    Because his upside is RP and they got a legit pitching prospect and potential starting LF. It was a pretty good trade.
  15. NYCTK
    I see a payroll of about $90 Million right now for '27, but that's including all 3 of the expensive starting pitchers and only includes 10 players total. So approximately another $25 million to fill out the roster with league mins, and cheap bullpen arms brings the payroll to $115 Million. This roster has a lot of shaking up to do yet. Matt Wallner and Trevor Larnach will not both be contributors in '27. The likes of Austin Martin and Kody Clemens, not going to be a part of the '27 roster. In the event the young crop of talent in Wichita looks like they're ready to compete, they can fill in holes with that $40 Million, and maybe add another $20 M to that pool if Lopez/Ryan are traded away. It's going to be a challenge. But this organization is not in a terrible spot.
  16. NYCTK
    And he's not due real money until 2028. With no team able to fully commit to Buxton as their CF, it's not the dumbest idea to just have the perennial 4th OF on the roster. It's a bit weird, but I get the reasoning.
  17. NYCTK
    100% agree. I understand how sad it is to see 5 players that you thought would be part of the team for many years depart. But 4 of those 5 are bullpen arms. Like you said, the starting pitch depth is now actually really deep with 8 Major League ready, and a few bubbling under. A handful of pitchers like Morris and Raya that have some intrigue but probably more suited to a future in the bullpen. Let's say they do continue the selloff, punt '26 and sell Ryan and Jeffers. That's going to bring in some great return as well. So, just assuming they're able to patch together a competent bullpen, and the SP remains strong, they have a roster: IF: Royce, Lee, Culpepper, Schobel, Eeles, Keaschall OF: Buxton, Jenkins, Roden, Rodriguez, Mendez, Gonzalez Not the best batch of prospects, will leave some holes, but enticing for sure. Get to spend a season and a half seeing who works and who doesn't. Bring in some athleticism. And can fill holes with the Ryan return, Jeffers swap, or even free agency given the $50+ million in savings come 2027 by moving those five players. I'm really, really not concerned about the long term health of the Twins bullpen. It'd actually be pretty sweet if the Twins could make this part of their identity, do this every 3 years. Creating reliable bullpen arms and then shipping them off if they're not showing themselves as a contender come the end of July.
  18. NYCTK
    This drastically overstates MLB rebuilds. As long as you have a middle tier farm system and a clear vision, you can turnover a roster and compete pretty quickly. It just takes bold management. Don't think Falvey is the guy that is going to be able to do that, happy to see him fired, but there's at least now a path. Is 2027 overly ambitious? A bit, but that's about the end of Buxton's shelf-life so I see them really trying to build towards that.
  19. NYCTK
    Well, France was the player that didn't need to be a part of that deal. Blue Jays just probably asked for him as a little treat. This was Varland in return for a very good pitching prospect and a pretty interesting LF (that I instantly like more than Larnach).
  20. NYCTK
    The motivation is pretty obvious though. This team is bad. And this team would continue to be bad in 2026. So they decided to mix things up. Trading from the talented yet volatile and underperforming bullpen to try to build up the team elsewhere. And getting rid of a bad contract of an aging former star. The Varland move itself is also easy to understand even if you disagree with it. They got a great pitching prospect and a major league ready LF that's younger (and more encouraging) than Larnach. For a failed starter that has had a pretty good season as a RP but whose upside we know is limited.
  21. NYCTK
    Yeah, France actually has a little bit of value to the Blue Jays. Their roster is really thin offensively and a veteran bat, albeit a weak one, provides SOME value to them.
  22. NYCTK
    The way I see it, this team wasn't competing in 2026 regardless. This team was so poorly constructed that any idea that they could be a contender this year was always delusional. They started the season with Mickey Gasper and DaShawn Keirsey on the 26 man roster. Now, they at least recognize their short comings and are actually trying to build towards something as opposed to just standing pat and crossing their fingers. Will they succeed? Probably not. Anything short of a pennant is a failure in my mind. Long-term speaking. Seasons like the Twins 2023 are great, fun seasons. But that's not the end goal.
  23. NYCTK
    Well there was zero chance they were winning in 2026 either way, and I think they stand a much better chance of winning in 2027 now. And how much worse do you expect the bullpen to be than the approximate 20-25th best bullpen they've been over the last couple seasons? With all those great arms, why weren't they any good?
  24. NYCTK
    I wouldn't break the bank either. Just think he's somewhat stable and not bad to have around. But not married to him. Fine with trading him in the off-season too.
  25. NYCTK
    Is he really that bad? I thought I looked recently and he graded out as bang on average, if slightly below.
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