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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    No one's trading for a corner outfielder with a sub 100 OPS+ that plays mediocre defense. Everyone, including the Twins, have someone in AAA that can produce at his level.
  2. NYCTK
    You started with an assumption, and it wasn't true. Louisville isn't a horrendous staff. Simple as that.
  3. NYCTK
    We'll agree to disagree then, but what's the harm in trying? A) If Jax actually wants to do it, allowing him to try helps build the relationship with the player B) If he succeeds, he could be Seth Lugo, a good #2 or #3 starter C) If he fails, we can throw him back into the bullpen and he's still Griffin Jax There's only upside and no visible downside to it unless you're concerned about injury. I don't know if there's any evidence of increased injury risk from someone going to bullpen to starting in the offseason.
  4. NYCTK
    This is what I'm going back to.
  5. NYCTK
    I don't know how high of value a bat only prospect with a sub 850 OPS can be...
  6. NYCTK
    HRs and Ks against Toledo aren't any less or more important than Louisville. If you're parsing data to a granular level in order to support your conclusion, you're cherry picking. And when that starts with the idea that Louisville are some pitiful staff, which is why we should discount the results, it should at least be true. And it simply isn't. Again, I think your conclusion is valid, but let's not pretend as if HRs against Louisville don't matter.
  7. NYCTK
    There are plenty. And the reason is straight forward. A mediocre starting pitcher is still way more valuable than a set up man. The twins are quite fortunate SWR has worked out as well as he has. There was no indication he was going to come up and be a decent starter and if it failed we'd have a massive hole.
  8. NYCTK
    I largely agree with you, but you are absolutely cherry picking. The Louisville Bats aren't even close to the worst pitching staff in AAA so why are you removing his production there? Because you're cherry picking to match your preconceived conclusion. I agree, let's let him stay there for a bit longer but let's not be a hater.
  9. NYCTK
    This is all just next level cherry picking. You've decided he's not ready, which is fine, but are trying so hard to discount his successes. The Louisville Bats aren't some Colorado Rockies pitching staff in the IL. They're in fact right in the middle of the pack in basically every statistic. If they were any where near as pitiful as you'd said we should see them bottom of the league in K rate (14/20), HR rate (7/20), RA (8/20), etc. I am with you, that I don't know know that I believe he's actually made improvements, but you gotta show some level of optimism my dude. Don't just default to being a hater.
  10. NYCTK
    There are a lot of examples of it working extremely well just in the last couple seasons. And not just elite stuff guys like Hicks, but from non-dominant relievers too, like Seth Lugo. If he wants to give it a go the Twins should 100% encourage him to stretch out and worst case scenario, we're one year from today and he's sitting on a 5.50 ERA and they decide to throw him back in the pen. There's obviously no way they would ever consider doing this right now in the middle of the season.
  11. NYCTK
    Fair about Wallner, but I'm really excited to see he's cut down his K rate by 10 points. Makes me optimistic that he can come back up and basically be the guy he was last year.
  12. NYCTK
    You can see splits under minor league game logs. Large splits in favor of RHP in 23 and 24 but not in larger samples in 22 or 21.
  13. NYCTK
    Because of the Mets payroll, their QO compensation if he walks is only a 4th round pick, right? I honestly don't think it would take a whole lot to get Pete. Gonzalez and one other lottery ticket. If you told me we could get a half season of Alonso for trading Jorge Polanco, I'd be ecstatic so I'm in.
  14. NYCTK
    Matt was bad but his contract was nothing. Carlos Santana is arguably a worse signing. I wouldn't argue it, but someone could.
  15. NYCTK
    Look to Pete. There's no way the Twins want to add 23 million for Vlad Jr to next year's budget.
  16. NYCTK
    He's been pretty bad from my eye test. Not a butcher, but his defense opened the flood gates in a tie game against Seattle.
  17. NYCTK
    This makes sense if we had a DH option we had to get ABs. But Vazquez at C and Jeffers at DH is as valuable as Jeffers at C and Kiriloff at DH. If not more.
  18. NYCTK
    Manuel Margot has been the most disappointing pickup in my memory. They sold him to us as a defense first substitute for those inevitable days Buxton wouldn't be able to play the field. Maybe they were hoodwinked and truly believed this, but there's really nothing he can do to earn his spot on the roster in my mind.
  19. NYCTK
    He's not even a lottery ticket. Sure he's no Jenkins but top 100 prospects have value. And losing Polanco didn't hurt the team. Like everyone else said, you're not getting a top end Major League ready arm in exchange for one season of a recently hurt 2 WAR upside player holding a 2 WAR salary. That was basically a Win-Win trade.
  20. NYCTK
    Mets aren't getting more than a top 100 and a fringe. Gabriel and someone like Schobel is basically all they're getting for Pete. You're probably right, the top 100 will likely be more advanced than A+ but the point stands, Gonzalez isn't nothing. He's an asset.
  21. NYCTK
    That's just nonsense. Even if the Twins don't wait to see if he matures to a legitimate major leaguer, they could turn around and trade Gonzalez this deadline for someone like Pete Alonso, or at least the primary piece in such a trade. He's a top 100 prospect that is going to be in AA before the end of the season. Those are valuable assets.
  22. NYCTK
    Fans always underestimate how much it takes to trade for a piece like Montgomery. Are you ok with the Twins trading Marco Raya, Zebby Matthews and Kody Funderburk for 3 months of a Starting Pitcher that would slot in as the Twins #3? That's still probably underestimating what the Rangers traded for Jordan.
  23. NYCTK
    Why even pretend the Twins had a chance at Burnes? Were we seriously going to trade Brooks Lee for a season of Corbin Burnes, because that's the only prospect that stacks up to Joey Ortiz in terms of talent and major league readiness. I still think they screwed up by not signing someone like Lorenzen, but not because he'd be better than our internal options, but because he's better than internal option C, or D. And that lack of depth might turn out to be pretty crucial.
  24. NYCTK
    Quite honestly, the umpiring these days is so much better than it was 20 years ago, which was so much better than it was 20 years before that. Check out the strike zone in Game 5 of the 1997 World Series and imagine if that happened today. The worst umpires we see in the game are the leftovers from generations ago. Wendelstedt is a nepo baby that entered the league in '98. CB Bucknor debuted in '96. Angel Hernandez '91. Conversely, the newer umps we see have been trained with the same pitch data as the hitters and pitchers in the league and have been able to improve as they made their way into the Bigs. That Yankees strike zone? That's pretty consistent if not large, and Aaron Judge was rightfully tossed. Every big leaguer knows you can respectfully disagree with a call but if you call the ump ******** you're gone. Bichette, a bit of a gray area. Equipment violations are subject to being tossed. That being said, a Ball/Strikes challenge system IS coming as we see it being tested in the minors. It's not going to be robo-umps and frankly, I don't want that.
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