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bird

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Everything posted by bird

  1. bird
    Ask her to go birdwatching.
  2. bird
    Not sure how to answer this. Chief?
  3. bird
    So, Ryan calls down to the dugout to make the pitching changes? Gee, that's kinda stupid.
  4. bird
    I almost feel guilty, but I have a very long list of Twins players I hope perform well for the sole reason that I want them to be traded for good value as soon as possible. Nolasco and Milone are at the top of my list, but there are so many! I mean, so so many!
  5. bird
    I understand the issue and more or less agree with you, but with three caveats: first, they weren't using early first-round picks, and once we get down to the 40-50 overall selections, where virtually every prospect has flaws to overcome, it's arguable that picking the occasional flamethrower is a good idea; second, the jury is still out on a lot of these prospects; and third, the KC success story might be telling us that these prospects have been under-valued in the draft.
  6. bird
    I agree with this, and with ashburyjohn's thoughts about weighting the scores dramatically to factor in the reality of how few, and how important, those handful of elite prospects become to the success of their clubs. There aren't a dozen truly elite prospects available in any given draft. Draft order is by far the largest determinant of the eventual success, IMO. Additionally, the league has taken considerable steps to level the playing field via the allocation system, and more clubs have recently decided to commit to the draft and development process rather than spending in FA or attempting to outsmart other teams via trades. There just aren't many teams who are "bad at drafting" anymore, but still, playing catch-up with a depleted system is harder than ever. The ticket is drafting in one of the half-dozen top slots for consecutive drafts. And BTW, contrary to some opinions, the Twins have been really good at drafting for a decade or so now. A person holding to the belief that they are bad at drafting would be hard-pressed to maintain credibility if forced to present the complete facts, which would require a comparison of the results of teams who drafted each year within a few slots of where the Twins drafted.
  7. bird
    I buy it for the pictures.
  8. bird
    Don't bring up the Twins. Just go with the birdwatching. Tell her I saw a Brown Creeper today.
  9. bird
    I don't know, whad'ya think, jaimedude2, wholesale lineup changes?
  10. bird
    Get her number. Then PM me.
  11. bird
    No, trust me, that's in violation of TD policy.
  12. bird
    I don't know, jaimedude2, do we DFA him?
  13. bird
    A veritable choke chain.
  14. bird
    Apparently, in at least PECOTA's case, wildass projections.
  15. bird
    Based on this arithmetic, what are your projections regarding PECOTA's accuracy for 2016?
  16. bird
    There are a lot of reasons that this is a nice list. For one, it's just a nice list. Every one of these prospects appears to have a real chance. For another, it's an additional group to get excited about beyond the half-dozen names we're hearing most often: Burdi, Chargois, Reed, Meyer, etc. And for another, it excludes some sleepers who have a chance to arrive as contributors yet in 2016, guys like Graham, Rogers, Wimmers, etc. I wonder if there are any other organizations who can rattle off the names of twenty relief pitching prospects of similar quality.
  17. bird
    Nah, the pen would be just fine. We'd coax Randy Choate out of retirement.
  18. bird
    83 wins, and still 4th place. I see the difference between the Twins and the other teams in the division kind of like this: if two or three things go wrong for Detroit, Chicago, and KC, and Cleveland on offense, the fortunes of those teams can change dramatically because of the lack of depth. But for the Twins, if a larger number of things go right for them, they might surprise in a big way. Not everything that could go right will go right, but there are a ton of possibilities for upside stories, and I still believe people are under-estimating the impact Buxton will have. The two reasons I'm not more optimistic are 1) the starting rotation, and 2) the lack of experience of the young ones
  19. bird
    Liriano was pretty lousy at the time, and you know, with the Twin's "win now" attitude.....
  20. bird
    Over, but barely. Like with very other competitor in the division, KC will suffer with injuries to any two pitchers in the rotation, and that's more likely than not. I see about one win separating each of KC, Cleveland, Detroit, and about two wins then separating the Twins and finally Chicago. And injuries could easily reverse the standings, it's that close.
  21. bird
    And I'll take the under by a game. But agreed, it's a reasonable enough line. They improved over the winter, but lack of rotation depth might haunt them unless they miraculously avoid injuries.
  22. bird
    Over but barely, 85 wins in a brutally competitive division race. They have both quality and depth in the rotation, and the lineup will be a little better.
  23. bird
    Actually, maybe the absurdity here is thinking that spring training game results is all the Twins field staff has to go by when assessing a guy's readiness. It's all WE have to go by, and yes, it's absurd to think we have much of a clue based on a few spring training innings. I'm not convinced that Berrios would have come north with the club had he shown Allen and Molitor that he was ready to step right in and be lights out, but it's not beyond a reasonable doubt either. We don't know how much weight they might be putting on the question of service time. But it doesn't matter now.
  24. bird
    I'm risking my entire savings and am in the "one last gasp" camp, so over. 84 wins. Their #6, #7, and #8 starters are Daniel Norris, Matt Boyd, and Michael Fulmer, not too shabby, and they'll probably need all three very very badly, because at least one of Verlander, Sanchez, and Zimmerman is bound to go down, and Pelfrey and Shane Greene are weak at the back of the rotation. If they suffer two lineup injuries of any duration? The under by a few games.
  25. bird
    Yeah, I just don't get why this is so rare, because it would seem to be a good idea in practice as well. Sure wish someone would ask the question some time....
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