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cmathewson

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Everything posted by cmathewson

  1. cmathewson
    Sanchez, anyway. Not sure about Grienke.
  2. cmathewson
    I like this list. I'd prioritize in reverse order. Realistically, if we can sign Arroyo and Kazmir, I'd be ecstatic.
  3. cmathewson
    That starts with a couple of guys who can get people out into the seventh inning consistently. Puck was a leader, but he couldn't throw the ball over the plate.
  4. cmathewson
    I just lost a lot of respect for Billy Bean.
  5. cmathewson
    I would question the Eddy's not even mentioning Stewart when he mentions far-away arms. He is the top-ranked pitcher in the system in my book.
  6. cmathewson
    Pedro Hernandez has a great change-up. He got outrighted today, meaning no other team claimed him on waivers. Why? Because he has a below-average fastball. What made Johan so spectacular was the 94-mph fastball with sink, combined with the 78-mph change-up. Also, he had three major-league pitches. When the blister made the slider impossible, he became ordinary. When he had all three going, he dominated. I know Sulburan throws harder than Hernandez. But he needs to have a three-pitch mix to be mentioned in the same discussion with Santana. And he needs to add a foot or movement or both to his fastball as well. He's young, so there's some hope. But if he had those things, he would be a top 10 prospect.
  7. cmathewson
    It's about upside. By my rating system, Gonsalves was the top high school lefthander in the 2013 draft, who only slipped because his coach was a dick and told scouts not to draft him. He also has the body of a future front-line starter. None of the E-Town guys do.
  8. cmathewson
    I think the Twins were just being super cautious with him. He's too valuable of an asset to let him pitch with shoulder soreness at this stage.
  9. cmathewson
    Radke was a great pitcher for the Twins. Blyleven and Kaat were great pitchers for the Twins and handful of other franchises. Maybe if his shoulder had not disintegrated at age 33 and he were able to pitch another seven years...
  10. cmathewson
    They retired Bert's number only after he was admitted to the Hall of Fame. That is what it will take for Radke. I.e. the number will not be retired.
  11. cmathewson
    I definitely don't think you give up on the guy because he struggled this year. I think the best comp is Torii Hunter, who struggled mightily when he first came up, but eventually adapted. That said, 2014 is a make or break year for him in this organization. We need to see him thrive at the major league level at some point next year.
  12. cmathewson
    The time to trade him was last spring. Now his value is at a low ebb.
  13. cmathewson
    Can we sign someone not named Suk?
  14. cmathewson
    I'd amend this to say, "Outside of Stewart, Thorpe and Berrios give me the most hope..." Stewart is the only pitcher we've drafted in more than a decade with true #1 upside.
  15. cmathewson
    Number of Twins fans depressed after reading this thread +1.
  16. cmathewson
    We can do statistical analyses, as the Chief has done numerous times here. But there are a lot of variables unaccounted for in all those studies. And NikVik has a point: the larger the sample, the less relevant it is to the economics of today's game. To me, there is one irrefutable fact: There are very few Verlanders to go around. The law of supply and demand implies that they will be very expensive. Only the top-tier teams can afford them as a matter of course. Lower-tier teams can get them prior to their big payouts (Johan, e.g.). But not afterwards. So lower-tier teams will have to content themselves with having perhaps a chance in a decade at a championship and otherwise shooting for the playoffs, and only if they do everything else right. Upper-tier teams have a shot at a championship each year, if they do everything else right.
  17. cmathewson
    I read stuff in this article I had not heard him say before. He did say that if a scout told him to overpay for a guy, he would. That belies the impression that he won't overpay for anything. He also reiterated that he won't spend money if the market is weak. But I think the market is stronger this year, so perhaps he'll be more active. We can only hope. Not that I expect a Baltimore-like turnaround next year, because starting pitching is only one of a handful of issues that need to get resolved, albeit the most glaring one. But I have some hope that a four-year deal will make success in more likely when Buxton, Sano, Meyer, and others are ready.
  18. cmathewson
    I agree with the overall sentiment of this post, except in special circumstances. For example, when you are missing that one piece for a championship. But I'm not worried. Ryan rarely trades prospects. The last time he did, I believe, was when he traded a couple of relief prospects for Castillo. That was a good trade because it solidified a position of need and the prospects didn't ever do anything. But I remember some members of the community complained about it at the time. The last time we traded a prospect for an established player (under BS), it was a total disaster. Considering how far away this team is from contention, I don't see it happening.
  19. cmathewson
    That is all I needed to read. On a scale of 1 to 100, my confidence in Ryan spending for other than his typical blue light specials this offseason is about 2. It could happen. But I would be shocked. He just hates getting into bidding wars for guys. He hates spending more than he thinks they're worth right now. In other words, he hates doing his job. Unless and until he starts doing his job, he will end his career a failure. The game has changed. You just can't win consistently if you refuse to use one of the primary talent acquisition methods. But Ryan can't or won't adapt to the evolving game. He'll sign Pelfrey. He'll get another bargain. But if he upgrades the front of the rotation, I would be shocked and elated. Without upgrading the front of the rotation, we are in for another 90-loss season.
  20. cmathewson
    That is all I needed to read. On a scale of 1 to 100, my confidence in Ryan spending for other than his typical blue light specials this offseason is about 2. It could happen. But I would be shocked. He just hates getting into bidding wars for guys. He hates spending more than he thinks they're worth right now. In other words, he hates doing his job. Unless and until he starts doing his job, he will end his career a failure. The game has changed. You just can't win consistently if you refuse to use one of the primary talent acquisition methods. But Ryan can't or won't adapt to the evolving game. He'll sign Pelfrey. He'll get another bargain. But if he upgrades the front of the rotation, I would be shocked and elated. Without upgrading the front of the rotation, we are in for another 90-loss season.
  21. cmathewson
    Gardy can't make mediocre guys good. But he can assess talent and avoid putting it into positions that ultimately hurt the team. Parmelee was given the starting job out of spring training. That was a mistake, and Gardy deserves some of the blame for it. We can't say developing guys is his strong suit. He can manage guys who have already developed. In rare cases, he has assisted in their development. Most of the time, he's slowed it or stunted it. I could go into a litany of players, but the poster child is Michael Cuddyer. Parmelee is not at that level, but he's in the same ballpark.
  22. cmathewson
    I do think he should get credit for Dozier and Florimon, though I wouldn't call Florimon's season "strong". It was a little better than what you'd expect. Dozier strongly exceeded expectations. He was the only player who needed to take the next step and did. Aaron Hicks, Chris Parmelee, and Kyle Gibson were notable failures. Add Scott Diamond, Trevor Plouffe, and Vance Worely to the list of guys who seriously underperformed their projections. When you have that many guys who fail, a couple of better than expected seasons don't overcome that.
  23. cmathewson
    At the All-Star break, we all thought this was only a matter of time. But another epic collapse makes it an almost tragic irony. If Gardy loses his job, it will be because the team seemed to get worse as the year went along, not better. Some of that was about injuries, as TR says. But some younger players just struggle to develop under him. Plouffe, for example.
  24. cmathewson
    I have long been an apologist for TR. But that stance is becoming untenable. I think he's not only out of touch with his team, he's out of touch with the game. The game has changed to the point where you can't grind out wins with mediocre talent. My confidence in the Twins future is at a new low.
  25. cmathewson
    I don't know what they will do with Gardy, but I would be surprised if Anderson is still with the team after this year. Three years with under performing staffs is about the limit for pitching coaches.
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