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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Note that I said, "less impressive", not necessarily bad.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    I think if there is money going from the Twins to the Angels, it makes that deal look far less impressive.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Interestingly, Hector Santiago is actually a FIP over-performer.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    That's fine. I agree. I guess I was more irked about Seth's earlier comment, that the Nunez trade goes in the "plus" column in judging Antony's case for the permanent GM job. I read his "2-for-2" comment here as another "plus" in making that case. Which I think is going way too far -- I think they can be good trades without making a significant difference in Antony's GM bid.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm not criticizing anything -- I think this and the Nunez trades are fine moves. But they are pretty much bog standard moves in terms of evaluating an MLB GM or FO. Expendable veteran role players, swapped to contenders at or just before the deadline for modest 40-man roster prospects. Before I break out the applause for Antony or this Twins FO in general, I'd like to see some more creativity. A trade for a non-40 man prospect might have been more creative; an Ervin Santana trade would almost certainly be creative; so would dealing Suzuki given the rest of our catching situation. Now, there's nothing wrong with not accomplishing anything creative in the limited time frame that Antony has been at the GM desk. So he won't get any demerits or criticism from me. But he also won't get "bonus points" or the "perfect score" implied by Seth's "2-for-2" comment.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    If May was performing like 2015, definitely. But I doubt there would be anything there with his current numbers.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Yeah, I don't think a failure to move Suzuki at this point suggests ineptitude, not like it did back in 2014. Although I think there is a window to get something done -- Milwaukee is apparently asking for a lot on Lucroy, Norris is having a poor season, and McCann will be out of many team's financial range even if the Yankees eat some cash. I think they might be holding back a Suzuki trade because of our lack of viable alternatives at the position, which is defensible but merely shifts the front office ineptitude to a different area...
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    That's not really a useful way of looking at it. First of all, by your definition, he almost can't go 0-for-1 on a player until the trade deadline actually passes (and even then, we'll probably hear how it wasn't really his fault that he couldn't move such-and-such player). And it's not really a hit/no-hit situation -- there are tons of outcomes between going "0-for-1" and "1-for-1" on a trade. I'd say getting an interesting 40-man depth piece for an obvious trade candidate is something like a "league average" performance in terms of trades -- not bad, but short of the perfection implied by "2-for-2".
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Maybe, but the Yankees have kinda been at the forefront of the relief pitcher explosion. They gave Miller a big contract with a limited track record. Then they traded for Chapman when he seemed like a toxic asset. I guess they're really just "lucky" that they have lost a few games to put them out of the race this year, but even then they probably deserve some credit for pulling the plug around 4-5 games out of the wild card.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Nah, I don't think that was Lucroy's real reason for rejecting the deal. He must get along pretty well with Milwaukee management, after all he signed the deal and hasn't really complained that I can recall. The Brewers have to plan for a life after Lucroy, though, and Susac isn't really a threat to Lucroy for the next year anyway.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    That's a nice return, even though Tate isn't exactly setting the pro game on fire. He dropped off of MLB's midseason top 100 (had been #36 preseason). But he was the 4th overall pick just a year ago, and Beltran is of course 2 months of a 39 year old DH (although a pretty darn reliable one, with some big postseason experience too).
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think a respected search firm will bring in "filler." Antony may only be a candidate if the Twins want him to be, he likely would not be one of the recommended candidates from the search firm.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Some have speculated Marlins, but I have no idea. I think the bigger risk for players is a surprise trade FROM the Marlins. I think Cot's / Baseball Prospectus has the best contract data, although you'd probably have to comb through team pages manually to find that information -- Lucroy, for example, on the Brewers page: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/national-league-central/milwaukee-brewers/
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    I'd consider that a Simon & Garfunkel reference, though.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    The clock doesn't wind down on adding Nolasco this season until August 31st...
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think those are the best numbers to evaluate a reliever. Here are their career numbers in relief: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2016&month=0&season1=2008&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=4994,8048 I'm most interested in that K rate.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    Question: what Billy Joel song would work well as a reliever's entrance music? "We Didn't Start the Fire" with runners on base, obviously -- but what about the start of an inning?
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    "Only the Good Die Young" was from the 1977 album, "The Stranger." If he starts quoting "River of Dreams", we're in trouble. I'll grant minor references to "Uptown Girl" and "We Didn't Start the Fire".
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    That's probably the least of their differences. Smith had a 12.2 K/9 over the last 3 years. Only 9.0 this year so far, but it has been climbing since his return.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    I could see that he's a bit overrated. But Bickford is still a nice prospect, though, shooting up to #65 on MLB's list. He would have represented good return on Santana (assuming the Giants picked up most of the salary). And Bickford plus an MLB ready catcher in Susac looks like a fantastic haul for Will Smith.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Not necessarily. Susac has been in AAA, and might just be Lucroy insurance for an offseason or 2017 trade.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Jim Pohlad is currently checking that media guide as we speak...
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Jeremy just retweeted Bickford and Susac for the Brewers' Will Smith. EDIT: And MLBTR confirms: http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/08/giants-acquire-will-smith.html Still makes you wonder what was out there for Perkins a few years ago...
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    I thought something like that happened in recent years (an injured player was exchanged?), but I'm not sure I've ever seen a healthy player returned to offset the injured player...
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    I will withhold my analysis of the trade until I find out Pat Light's opinions on Billy Joel's 1980s-era output...
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