I would also be curious to know how you arrive at that figure. Don't get me wrong, I want to believe you, but last year at this time we had a similar discussion about the "true talent" of the 2015 Twins, and how that value should guide their offseason plans. I definitely thought this team was on the upswing but in retrospect, shouldn't have put such blind confidence in youth to pull the "true talent" value upwards. Or at least, shouldn't have been confident that the upward pull of youth would overpower the downward pull of vets like Plouffe, Hughes, Perkins, etc.