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Willihammer

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Everything posted by Willihammer

  1. Willihammer
    Mauer is the most athletic player on the team. Swap him and Sano across the diamond. This improves the defense (probably) and keeps Sano off the bench in NL parks. Dozier- listen to offers but with an oversupply of good 2Bs and an undersupply of starting pitching the market doesn't look great. Unless something surprising / creative can be worked out, just hold him and keep the door open next deadline and next winter. Or depending on the new CBA rules, keep him through 2018 and take the comp pick (or equivalent) and p[ackage Polanco instead. Plouffe- Just seems wasteful to non-tender him a year before FA. What options will the new CBA open up? But the health is a huge concern. I don't know, Mauer got over his oblique, can Plouffe too? It is a very close call IMO. Santana- the pitching market is screaming "sell." Gotta at least see what his price is.
  2. Willihammer
    Hard pass on Kintzler. He has absolutely nothing to offer besides that 94 mph sinker. 15% k-rate? No that won't cut it in consecutive seasons. Milone could do better than that out of the pen, at least he has something resembling a major league repertoire. I'd sooner tender him as a reliever.
  3. Willihammer
    Pressly for sure. Molitor ran him into the ground a bit last season, but he's a solid 4/5th option on a bullpen depth chart.
  4. Willihammer
    Up til September I was defending Plouffe's spot on the roster. Reasonable contract, best defensive option by a mile, professional PAs with acceptable pop. But, the 2nd DL stint with the intercostal / oblique is troubling. Will this be a *thing* from now on? I don't know anymore.
  5. Willihammer
    I think we could offer him a chance to hit as we move out of the Mauer era, assuming he has the bat for it. I'm a lot more confident in his 100 mph fastball personally. But maybe he could fill a double role as a LH bench bat long term? Another possibility is if the bat is better than the stuff, he DH's and then closes games. I haven't heard much lately either. But if I were him, I'd definitely post this year with such a lousy FA class.
  6. Willihammer
    1. Get Otani 2. Employ the Peter Principle in reverse- Gibson, Duffey, Milone, Hughes to the pen 3. trade from 2B and corner OF prospect depth- Polanco, Arraez, Blankenhorn, Palka, Walker, etc. 4. Trade Santana to whoever is most likely to outbid us for Otani, acquire non-40 prospects. 5. Trade Dozier only if blown away 6. Try to find a 1/2 year deal for older FA with upside - Colon, Hill, De La Rosa, etc 7. Be ready to add and promote Gonsalves and Jay if they start strong in AA/AAA.
  7. Willihammer
    Well Falvey didn't draft him. Maybe a new VP who isn't personally invested in Stewart would be willing to move him for a fair price. There are a big and growing red flags with Stewart's peripherals but at the same time when have we had a prospect whose stats have so badly mismatched the scouting reports? 94-95, plus slider, decent command. That guy should be striking out A ball hitters at a higher rate. Is he being failed by the Twins minor leagues somehow? Are the reports just false? Something doesn't add up.
  8. Willihammer
    I think you're in the ballpark with Mejia but to be fair he was a mid-season trade, from a team in the wild card race. That may have skewed the price in the Twins favor. I appreciate any attempt to assign net present value to prospects. Fans grow so attached to them but when you look at actual trades, including offseason trades, its pretty clear that GMs don't attach as much value as fans do, generally.
  9. Willihammer
    According to the Twins, Falvey “will be responsible for establishing the vision and related strategies for the club’s baseball operation. Specifically, he will oversee all aspects of the department including: major league team, coaches, and support staff, contract negotiations, player development, scouting, research and development, medical and communications.” I wonder how the GM position will change?
  10. Willihammer
    Yeah I'm thinking Dee's career might be biasing scouts on Nick. Routine errors were the knock on Dee but Nick has been quite a bit better by comparison, even including that run of games. Through 270 games he is right where middle of the road SSs like Marcus Semien and Xander Bogaerts were, from an errors and RF/9 standpoint anyway.
  11. Willihammer
    There is no need to overthink it IMO. Just go with the Golden Spikes winner.
  12. Willihammer
    I'd have Dozier second behind Molitor. An average manager would have lost 110-112 games with this group.
  13. Willihammer
    What exactly is the knock on Gordon's glove? If I never looked at the stats I'd have Jay and Romero ahead of Gonsalves. Both look nastier and Jay has a lot more deception. Gonsalves' stuff looks vanilla by comparison IMO. There is no denying the production though.
  14. Willihammer
    The Twins sure have depth at 2B. Dozier, Polanco, Arraez, Blankenhorn, am I forgetting anyone?
  15. Willihammer
    Ya
  16. Willihammer
    Stuart Turner batted .686 in AA as a 24 year old. As a (cherry-picked) comparison Pedro Florimon batted .741 at the same level at the same age. Garver has done better but he's awfully old. I would be shocked if the next mainstay at catcher is in the Twins system right now.
  17. Willihammer
    Wow what a game. Connor Gillaspie lol. Stealing Nunez's thunder.
  18. Willihammer
    Not sure about Cora or Kapler. Neither has much coaching experience, right? After two years of Mollie, I'd like us not to go with another noob. Maybe Alomar? I like Dave Martinez personally.
  19. Willihammer
    If they can get Cozart for a guy who stands a very good chance of being a 40 man casualty then they should absolutely pull the trigger IMO.
  20. Willihammer
    Another thing you sometimes hear from managers is the player vs. player matchup. In this case, As of today, Encarnacion had a .23/.373/.452 line with 5 ks against Jimenez in 51 PAs. Against Britton, .286/.373/.357 with 3 ks in 16 PAs. So that wasn't it.
  21. Willihammer
    I suspect with Vargas we'll find the L-R split he has holds up over a larger sample. His swing looks so much more natural from the right side IMO.
  22. Willihammer
    Not sure if relevant to the 2016 race but I was thinking of the 2012 season when Cabrera won the triple crown and Trout had him beat by multiple WARs, and the MVP went to Cabrera, and everyone was outraged, but then a few weeks after the vote an Oakland A's official somewhat quietly said their internal calculation of value gave Cabrera the edge? Any guesses as to where the A's found the additional value?
  23. Willihammer
    I completely agree that the easiest way to clean up wins is playing guys in spots where their skills aren't stretched. Can the POBO make sure that happens? The title suggests he's even further from making field decisions than the GM.
  24. Willihammer
    Looks like the S&P is up 35% since Apr 2013 but the Nasdaq is up 60.86%. Nasdaq has been going crazy for a while now. Can it continue to outperform the S&P? Both figures don't account for dividends.
  25. Willihammer
    Yeah my gains aren't that good. I made some rookie mistakes when I first started ~2 years ago, leveraged ETFs and penny stocks, stuff like that. Watched my hard earned cash turn to dust. But have built a base of some index funds that more or less mirror the S&P since then. If you don't track your portfolio on google finance, I suggest you start. You can always compare to the SPX to see how your stockpicking compares to throwing darts at the market with a blindfold on (which is surprisingly hard to beat). Of course a 3 year sample of, I'm guessing, 5-10 stocks isnt' going to be a very statistically strong case one way or the other.
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