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Willihammer

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Everything posted by Willihammer

  1. Willihammer
    I tend to agree. The Twins have a fair amount of those pitchers in the system already. We are a lot thinner at C and SS IMO. I wonder if the Braves could be a sneaky trade partner though. They are opening a new park and will have to put together a competitive team somewise somehow. They do have some middle infielders already but maybe they would listen on Dozier for the star power he offers. He's also a southerner so maybe there'd be a one of us angle. I wonder if they'd part with an Ozzie Albies for him.
  2. Willihammer
    Earnings mostly good so far. Apple, Google and others reporting next week. At 1pm the Fed is scheduled to release its "Beige Book," a summation of anecdotal data from contacts around the various Fed districts. I doubt the market will react much but could have some interesting nuggets in it.
  3. Willihammer
    It is what it is. It's a crude measure but over a large enough sample seems to line up with zone-based stats. Which we don't have for minor leaguers. not that I'm aware of anyway. Do you know any zone-based range stats for Nick Gordon?
  4. Willihammer
    Yes, and with more range than these other guys, Gordon was likely fielding a higher difficulty of batted ball, on average. If we are trying to get a bead on Gordon's defense, that half of the equation needs to be factored in too. The classic counterexample is Derek Jeter, who never made an error because he only got to the balls hit right at him.
  5. Willihammer
    As for 2017-2018, I think Cosart would be a fine get. Someone with 1-2 years of control remaining to help bridge the gap. Preferably an above average glove.
  6. Willihammer
    I think you have to give at least a passing look at range in conjunction with FP when it comes to infield defense in the minors. Gordon's RF/9 was 4.88 last year. That is from a sample of 503 chances. By comparison Frank Lindor had a .952 FP and 4.59 RF/9 at the same level. Bogaerts, .958 and 4.28.
  7. Willihammer
    It'll never happen, but I'd keep him as a first inning (on the road) bat at the top of the lineup. Take him out in the bottom half of the inning for a defensive replacement. Yeah you blow your bench early but so what? He had .100 points of OBP over Rosario and Rosario had about 100 points of UZR over Grossman. At least, I think it would be fun to see happen. In home games, when you're down 2+ and need baserunners late, there's another spot for him. Then the ocassional day after night / spot start. That's 200 or so PAs without exposing his defense too badly.
  8. Willihammer
    The fact that hockey and baseball are being played at the same time is kinda sad. MLB maybe has gotten a little greedy with the number of games and the growing playoffs. It could trim down the schedule, wrap things up by hockey season, and avoid conflicting so much with NHL and NFL.
  9. Willihammer
    I think its pretty well established that previous-season win totals are the best predictor of season ticket sales. So I doubt much can be done about next year's season ticket sales even if Falvey builds a postseason team over the winter. I'm guessing Jim Pohlad has already accounted for a further decline in 2017 season ticket sales and is looking at an improvement starting in 2018, based on a better W-L in 2017.
  10. Willihammer
    How did we ever score 99 runs in that August series in Cle? Wow that was some pitching last night. Jays hitters didn't have a chance.
  11. Willihammer
    "Mauer is not part of the solution" is a bad excuse for rebuilding. The Nats and Jays reached the Championship series with Justin Smoak and Ryan Zimmerman as primary 1Bs. Adrian Gonzalez was more or less the same player as Mauer last year. A .750 batting 1B isn't an automatic dealbreaker in today's game. Sure as heck don't punt two seasons because of that guy. Find a way to make it work, other teams did.
  12. Willihammer
    Cautiously optimistic about Gordon. He's got some things going for him, but his biggest weakness by a mile is the total lack of power. I hope Dwyer found some time to work on that too.
  13. Willihammer
    I think Cubs-Jays would be a great WS. Also want Falvey to get started asap.
  14. Willihammer
    If a decent SS, SP, or C is out there for Dozier, trade him and move Polanco to 2B. If that trade isn't there, then non-tender Escobar and give Polanco the backup inf. job.
  15. Willihammer
    You can make marginal improvements, see Ben Revere cca 2012, but basically you get what you got in terms of arm strength.
  16. Willihammer
    Don't get hung up on the word "replace." Its not a seamless transition out of one job into another, obviously. It can be painful. But the fact is, on average, people have more job opportunities than they've ever had, in part thanks to innovation and cost-cutting. Anyway I was trying to make a point about trade. Trump blames bad deals and Chinese cheating for manufacturing woes. I would argue he's half-right about that. But the answer to manufacturing unemployment isn't to back out of agreements or raise tariffs. All that does is invite the same action by other countries and then everyone loses. We tried tariffs in 1930, but unemployment rose, and exports tanked because former trading partners responded with their own tariffs. Its pretty simple to see why. And of course when you start picking and choosing who you'll trade what goods and services to, you very quickly piss off certain groups and before you know it there's war. Its such a hamfisted approach, the GOP needs to attack Trump on this. It needs to offer specific, market friendly solutions for small towns and manufacturing towns that appeal to their need for self-sufficiency. At the same time people need to udnerstand the days of there being a job at the ole factory out of high school and a union pension 40 years later are gone and they're never coming back.
  17. Willihammer
    ... and replacing them with new ones. This has gone on since the invention of the wheel.
  18. Willihammer
    That's not the whole story. The reason steel and energy companies in the US are suffering, to take two examples, is because of interventionist policies by China and Saudi Arabia. Inteverntion is the opposite of the free market. Trump is not completely wrong when he blames China for the trouble people are having. And its not some kind of proof that the free market failed. What the GOP has to do is explain why Trump's answer, neo-mercantilism, is a bad idea long-term.
  19. Willihammer
    Could add Garza too. And a bunch more HS arms. I do think the Twins recent history of drafting college relievers, with the intent of converting them into starters is... bold. Sort of like they're saying "all you college programs, you're doing it wrong." When you look at the higher picks- Melotakis, Cederoth, Duffey, culminating in Tyler Jay, the early returns seem to be, at best, mixed. The other thing is, in a season where a rental closer traded for multiple top 100 prospects, is that maybe there's not such a gap in value between starters and high end relievers in the first place. Granted it was Chapman, but you wonder are the Twins thinking about what tomorrows markets are going to look like? The game keeps changing...
  20. Willihammer
    It just, leaves, a little, to be desired IMO. 25 HR / 600 for a plodding, strikeout-prone, wrong-way split DH. Yes he could unload for a 40 HR season, that wouldn't surprise anyone. But is he more likely to have that kind of breakout than Park? IMO, the answer is probably no.
  21. Willihammer
    +.09 UZR, assist to Sano!
  22. Willihammer
    http://mlb.mlb.com/images/0/5/0/187004050/062916_sano_med_ok9rqg9t.gif ..............
  23. Willihammer
    I suppose there's nothing stopping them feeling around beforehand (except perhaps the absence of a VP), but the tender deadline is usually first week of December, before the winter meetings. I think they'll have to decide on tendering before they can really shop either of them.
  24. Willihammer
    I think baseball is closeminded about 2-way players. It could be worked out in some fashion. Its a hell of a boon to the roster if it works. If not, then you have a backup plan that doesn't have to start over from square one. Of course, by pitching you add some TJS risk etc. But as far as drafting 1-1 goes, I hope they just take the Golden Spikes winner. Bryce Harper, David Price, Buster Posey, Kris Bryant, etc. are recent winners. That'd do.
  25. Willihammer
    Nice job. Very tantalizing player. The power is legit, he showed that plenty in spring training (and all season). Sure wish there was a strikeout whisperer out there who could help some of these guys.
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