Nick Nelson

I can still vividly recall writing up this Prospect Rundown late in the 2011 season. The article recapped the campaigns of each of my Top 10 Twins prospects, and the results were... depressing. While the big-league club was wrapping up one of its worst seasons ever, the farm system was in a state of disarray, with the top name fresh off Tommy John surgery and many of the other prominent prospects saddled by poor performance or injury. With a few exceptions (most notably Miguel Sano's explosive season in Elizabethton), finding glimmers of positivity anywhere within the system around this time was a challenge. It was about the lowest I had ever been on the franchise in my years as a writer. What a difference a couple years can make. Today, Minnesota's system stands out as the finest in the game. Not only does it shine at the top end, where Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano were recently ranked by Baseball America as two of the three best prospects in baseball, but the depth of this organization's minor-league success is pretty incredible. I've been even more struck by it after researching the systems of other teams for our Trade Talk series; when you look through the top 10-20 for other organizations, invariably you find numerous cases where stocks have dropped. That is, of course, the volatile nature of prospects. But it hasn't been true for the Twins this year. Checking in on Twins Daily's preseason Top 10 Prospects, we find that -- from top to bottom -- almost everything is pointing in the right direction. With the club in Minnesota on its way to a third straight 90-plus loss season, the unrivaled success of this group could not be more important. 10. Max Kepler, OF 2013 Stats (A): 81 PA, .288/.358/.521, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 9 R, 0/0 SB Kepler missed most of the first half with an elbow injury, but since joining the Cedar Rapids Kernels in mid-June he has made up for lost time with a red-hot start. After flashing minimal power in his first two seasons at rookie ball, the athletic German exploded with 31 extra-base hits in 59 games at Elizabethton last year and he has carried that forward with 10 XBH through his first 18 contests at Low-A. 9. Trevor May, RHP 2013 Stats (AA): 95 IP, 3.98 ERA, 93/41 K/BB, 1.42 WHIP May led the Eastern League in strikeouts last year, and has unsurprisingly racked up the whiffs at a similar rate this year. The biggest hurdle for the right-hander was always going to be improving his spotty command, and he's made progress in that department. His 3.9 BB/9 rate -- while far from great -- is the lowest of his career, and he's been getting better and better of late with only nine walks in 37 innings since the start of June (2.2 BB/9). 8. J.O. Berrios, RHP 2013 Stats (A): 63.2 IP, 3.53 ERA, 72/20 K/BB, 1.41 WHIP There are only a handful of teenagers pitching in the Midwest League, and the 19-year-old Berrios stands out from that group with a 10.2 K/9 rate that ranks in the top five overall. He's given up a few more hits than you'd like to see thanks to a .374 BABIP, but the shiny K/BB ratio demonstrates that the kid's filthy stuff is playing well against advanced hitters. 7. Eddie Rosario, 2B 2013 Stats (A+/AA): 333 PA, .312/.369/.493, 7 HR, 44 RBI, 59 R, 4/13 SB With all the buzz surrounding Miguel Sano, Rosario's midseason promotion to New Britain slipped under the radar to some degree, but he certainly deserves plenty of recognition. He's the third-youngest second baseman to play in the Eastern League this year and is holding his own (.275/.353/.418) after dominating the Florida State League, where his .903 OPS led his position by nearly 100 points. In an organization that has really struggled to produce middle infielders, Rosario's continued success is hugely encouraging. 6. Kyle Gibson, RHP 2013 Stats (AAA/MLB): 104.1 IP, 3.54 ERA, 86/29 K/BB, 1.21 WHIP Gibson pitched extremely well in Triple-A over the first half before finally getting the call to Minnesota in late June. Since joining the Twins, he has had his ups and downs. So it goes for a rookie getting his first exposure to big-league sluggers. Overall, it's been an extremely positive campaign for the 25-year-old, who has allowed just four home runs in 104 innings while consistently flashing mid-90s velocity. 5. Alex Meyer, RHP 2013 Stats (AA): 61 IP, 3.69 ERA, 73/27 K/BB, 1.31 WHIP Acquired in exchange for Denard Span during the offseason, Meyer has lived up to his "power pitcher" billing by racking up 73 strikeouts in 61 innings at Double-A. His 10.8 K/9 rate ranks second among pitchers in the Eastern League with 60 or more innings. Meyer has also been extremely stingy with the hits, holding the opposition to a .225 average with only three home runs. Unfortunately, Meyer has been sidelined for more than a month due to a shoulder injury, so he's the biggest question mark on this list at the moment. 4. Oswaldo Arcia, OF 2013 Stats (AAA/MLB): 312 PA, .283/.362/.475, 12 HR, 42 RBI, 37 R, 3/4 SB During his brief time in Triple-A, Arcia raked, posting a .930 OPS as a 22-year-old with no prior experience at the level. The reason his time there was so short is that he's been busy building a Rookie of the Year case in the majors, where his powerful swing has provided an unexpected jolt for the Twins lineup. 3. Aaron Hicks, OF 2013 Stats (MLB): 238 PA, .205/.271/.372, 7 HR, 21 RBI, 32 R, 6/8 SB After a breakout season in Double-A last year, Hicks made the jump straight to the majors out of spring training. His first few weeks on the job were as brutal as could be, but the 23-year-old has shown steady progress over the course of the season, which is exactly what you'd hope to see. Since the beginning of May, he has a .787 OPS with seven homers and 18 total extra-base hits in 41 games. Solid production for a rookie center fielder with strong defensive skills. 2. Byron Buxton, OF 2013 Stats (A/A+): 370 PA, .341/.422/.543, 9 HR, 62 RBI, 75 R, 33/45 SB [ATTACH=CONFIG]4762[/ATTACH]What more is there to say at this point? Buxton has firmly established himself as the best prospect in baseball, displaying elite skills across the board while posting monster numbers as a teenager facing more experienced competition. Average, power, discipline, speed, defense... it's all there. Buxton is the total package. 1. Miguel Sano, 3B 2013 Stats (A+/AA): 340 PA, .292/.385/.611, 22 HR, 65 RBI, 64 R, 9/12 SB Not to be outdone, Sano has put up some pretty incredible numbers of his own. He made a mockery of the Florida State League before earning a promotion to Double-A, where he has had some contact issues but is continuing to crush the ball. Sano is the best power-hitting prospect in the minors, and he's backing that up with a full-season home run pace approaching 40.

Buyers or Sellers? The Reds have all the makings of an aggressive deadline buyer. They entered the season with high expectations and a large payroll, and as we move into mid-July they are within four games of first place in a division that looks winnable. They also have some clear needs that ought to be addressed if they hope to overcome the Pirates and Cardinals in the final months. [ATTACH=CONFIG]4731[/ATTACH] What They Need Unfortunately, the most glaring of those needs is a right-handed masher. The best hitters in Cincy's lineup -- Joey Votto, Jay Bruce and Shin-Soo Choo -- all bat from the left side. Ryan Ludwick was expected to add punch from the opposite side but he suffered a major shoulder injury in April and won't return until at least mid-August. With Ludwick absent most the year, the Reds have gotten an ugly .234/.305/.354 hitting line from their left fielders. Clearly, Josh Willingham would have been a potential fit here, so the timing of his injury is unfortunate. Trevor Plouffe's right-handed pop could be of some interest, but the Reds already have a fairly similar third baseman in Todd Frazier. Another area where Cincinnati might be looking for deadline help, like most contenders, is the bullpen. The closer spot is already anchored by Aroldis Chapman, who might be the only left-handed reliever in baseball more dominant than Glen Perkins, but the Reds could use some help in the middle innings. Setup men Jonathan Broxton and Sean Marshall have been mired on the disabled list, and with Tony Cingrani's return to the rotation, Manny Parra is now the only southpaw available beyond Chapman. What Might Work Cincinnati's clearest need (that the Twins can help with) is a reliever who can be counted in high-leverage innings, preferably a lefty. The Reds probably won't pay the price for Perkins since they already have a closer, but Brian Duensing might make sense. Jared Burton or Casey Fien may also hold some appeal, as GM Walt Jocketty would likely welcome impact bullpen help in any form. Sleeper Targets J.J. Hoover - RHP - MLB - 25 years old If the Reds are willing to swap young promise for certified experience, Hoover could be in play. He's a rising young relief star with big stuff, but he's got some command problems and is mostly unproven. If the Reds were to try and make a play for Perkins, you'd have to imagine that Hoover -- a potential closer down the road -- would be involved. Daniel Corcino - RHP - Triple-A - 22 years old Corcino was viewed as a fringe Top 100 prospect coming into this year but he has come off the tracks in Triple-A, where he holds a 6.72 ERA, 1.78 WHIP and 56/43 K/BB ratio in 83 innings. He definitely looks like a fixer-upper project, and he's young enough that it might be worthwhile. Jon Moscot - RHP - High-A - 21 years old A fourth-round pick out of Pepperdine University in the 2012 draft, Moscot impressed in his rookie-ball debut last year but has seemingly stalled out in Single-A, with a 1-11 record and 5.10 ERA. However, his solid peripherals (1.36 WHIP, 83/30 K/BB in 85 IP) tell a much different story. He's known as a strike-throwing ground ball guy in the Twins' mold, so he'd be a logical buy-low target. Ismael Guillon - LHP - Low-A - 21 years old Interesting upside, major control problems. Over 69 2/3 innings in Low-A this season, Guillon has piled up 84 strikeouts along with 67 walks. That's nearly a walk per inning. Dream Target Robert Stephenson - RHP - Low-A - 20 years old Stephenson was taken three picks ahead of Levi Michael in the 2011 draft. He emerged as a prominent pitching prospect with a strong pro debut last year, and has continued to build his stock by dominating the Midwest League this season, with a 2.97 ERA and 85/17 K/BB ratio in 66 2/3 frames. Among pitchers with 60 or more innings in the MWL, Stephenson's 11.5 K/9 rate leads the way (J.O. Berrios, at 10.7, ranks third). With Billy Hamilton scuffling in Triple-A, Stephenson might be Cincinnati's top prospect. That means he won't be going anywhere for less than a king's ransom.

[ATTACH=CONFIG]4669[/ATTACH]Buyers or Sellers In July of 2012, the Phillies found themselves in a position to sell for the first time in a decade. Running on a string of nine straight 85-plus win seasons, the Phils were 12 games out of first place in the NL East at this time last year, and they ended up unloading Shane Victorino, Joe Blanton and Hunter Pence in the days leading up to the deadline. By comparison, Philadelphia's current 9-game deficit in the standings doesn't look quite as daunting, but with the clearly superior Braves and Nationals well out front in the East, it looks like it is once again time to sell, sell, sell. What They Need Well, salary relief would probably be welcome. The Phillies are currently going nowhere with a $165 million payroll that ranks as the third-highest in the majors. They are saddled by the hefty price tags of aging vets like Cliff Lee ($25M), Ryan Howard ($25M), Roy Halladay ($20M), Michael Young ($16M), Chase Utley ($15M), Jonathan Papelbon ($13M) and Jimmy Rollins ($11M). Cole Hamels was signed to a $144 million extension last summer, so he'll be a centerpiece as they move forward, but you have to imagine that general manager Ruben Amaro would be open to moving pretty much any of the names listed above in return for younger talents that might be able to factor into the next wave. Papelbon, in particular, is likely to be a hot commodity; since the Twins aren't expected to make Glen Perkins available, Paps figures to be the premier closer on the market. What Might Work Since both teams are pretty well locked into "Sell Mode," there really isn't a great match here. The Twins have plenty of payroll flexibility but they're not necessarily close enough to contention to justify taking on one of Philly's bloated contracts, particularly one that is set to expire like Utley or Young. If the Phils were to take an interest in any player in Minnesota's organization, it would probably be a young, somewhat established player that could become a long-term staple, a la Ben Revere. With the veteran Young ready to hit free agency at year's end, and no clear replacement at the hot corner, Trevor Plouffe comes to mind. As was the case with Revere, Terry Ryan's price will likely be young pitching. Sleeper Targets John Sickels of SB Nation's Minor League Ball blog ranked Philadelphia's system No. 20 in baseball before this season, and the top prospects by and large haven't had very good years, so this isn't a premium group to rummage. Then again, that might increase the likelihood that some players could be pried away. Adam Morgan - LHP - Triple-A - 23 years old After raising his stock with a fine 2012 campaign, the southpaw has struggled in his first turn at Triple-A. He was 1-4 with a 4.97 ERA before being shut down with shoulder discomfort in mid-May. If he's able to return before the deadline, he could emerge as an intriguing buy-low candidate, but do the Twins really want to take on another iffy shoulder when they've already got one in Alex Meyer? Roman Quinn - SS - High A - 21 years old Another one of Philly's top prospects who is having a down year, Quinn has seen his OPS drop from .778 in Low-A last season to .669 in High-A this season. He has also committed a whopping 31 errors in 66 games, so his future at shortstop is very much in question. Nevertheless, the kid has some legit wheels. He stole 30 bases on 36 attempts last year and is already 32-for-41 in Lakewood. Ethan Martin - RHP - Triple-A - 24 years old Much like Trevor May, whom the Twins acquired from the Phillies in the Revere trade, Martin is a right-handed pitcher with good stuff that comes coupled with significant command problems. This year at Triple-A, he has averaged 5.4 BB/9 and his mediocre overall numbers make it tough to overlook the shoddy walk rate. Still, he was ranked by Baseball America prior to the season as the No. 80 prospect in baseball. Darin Ruf - 1B - Triple-A - 26 years old Ruf had never been much of a prospect until last year's power explosion in Double-A, where the right-handed slugger launched 38 homers and drove in 104 runs in 139 games, posting a 1.028 OPS. Even for a 25-year-old former 20th-round pick without much of a track record, those numbers cannot be ignored. He hasn't enjoyed nearly the same kind of success in Triple-A this year, with a .266/.343/.408 line to go along with seven homers in 77 games, but he has also reportedly been dealing with a sore hand. Dream Target Cliff Lee - LHP - MLB - 34 years old Normally we'll use this space to highlight a premier prospect who would be a tantalizing addition to Minnesota's system, but I'm going a different route. Lee's contract has become a major burden on the Phillies; he's set to make $25 million in each of the next two seasons and he has a $27.5 million option in 2016 that will become guaranteed as long as he stays healthy. Seeing as how the lefty has logged 200-plus innings in seven of the past eight years, that's a pretty safe bet (even if the option doesn't become guaranteed, it would cost a whopping $12.5 million to decline). The Twins, of course, have no major salary commitments beyond this year outside of Joe Mauer. With young, low-cost players likely to fill the majority of the roles in the next few years, the Twins could take on Lee's enormous contract and still probably fall below their recent payroll caps. Even though he's aging into his mid-30s, Lee is showing no signs of slowing down, as he's currently one of the National League's finest starters with a 9-2 record, 2.59 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Because he's pitching so well, the Phillies won't give Lee away for nothing, even with the massive salary attached. But if the Twins were willing to stomach the cost, he would add an elite veteran ace to the front of a young rotation, putting the club in position to be an instant contender in 2014. Of course, there is nothing in the history of the Twins or Terry Ryan to suggest that this kind of deal has any chance of materializing, and Lee's partial no-trade clause would probably rule out Minnesota anyway. Still, it's fun to dream on...

[ATTACH=CONFIG]4641[/ATTACH]Kyle-a-palooza? Gibsanity? Gibsmas? Whatever you wanted to call it, Kyle Gibson's debut on Saturday generated a palpable buzz throughout Twins Territory. Eagerly awaited and long overdue, the rookie's arrival aids a pitching staff amidst its third straight year of sub-mediocrity. He doesn't profile as one of the league's elite pitchers, but Gibson is likely the best pitching prospect to graduate from the Twins' system since Matt Garza in 2006, and he showed why in his debut. Gibson came as advertised, delivering with high velocity and impressive command from an imposing 6'6" frame. The 25-year-old exhibited no signs of jitters as he fired 64 of 91 pitches for strikes and issued no walks. The Royals managed eight hits in six innings, but few of them were hit hard and Gibson limited the damage to two runs in an easy victory. Some voices have warned that expectations for the right-hander might be getting out of hand. Even his ardent supporters would admit that Gibson probably doesn't have the upside of a top-tier pitcher in the major leagues. But so what? There was an awful lot to like in Saturday's performance. Gibson displayed poise that was, in light of all he has gone through to get to this point, shocking. He peppered the lower regions of the strike zone with a heavy fastball that routinely whizzed in at 92-93 MPH and occasionally touched 95. That's a number Twins fans aren't accustomed to seeing with anyone other than Glen Perkins on the hill. It might be that "so overrated he's underrated" phenomenon, but I get the sense that some are actually underselling Gibson's ability to an extent. In his first big-league game, he was constantly locating a power sinker around knee level, mixing in breaking balls that made people miss. He's done those things throughout his career, when healthy. Guys with that kind of stuff/command combo often excel in the majors, and if Saturday was any indication, Gibson has the makeup to match. Will he ever be Stephen Strasburg? No. But can he be the No. 1 starter in a quality rotation? I'd say so. Keep in mind that the Twins haven't had a true "ace" since Johan Santana's departure, and have still made the playoffs twice since then. Of course, it's not Gibson that the Twins are eyeing as the next potential arm to earn that vaunted ace label. That would be Alex Meyer, who was acquired in return for Denard Span during the offseason. When he came over from Washington, Meyer instantly became the highest-upside pitcher in the system. The ideal scenario was that Meyer and Gibson (and perhaps Trevor May, if he ever refined his control enough) could join forces atop the embattled Minnesota rotation, helping usher in a return to contention sooner rather than later. Unfortunately, as well as things are currently going for Gibson, the developments surrounding Meyer have been far more troubling. The 24-year-old hasn't pitched in a month due to shoulder soreness, and now there appears to be some doubt over whether he'll pitch again this year at all. Asked earlier this month about the prospect's status, Ryan said that MRI results had come back clean and that Meyer was fine, adding, "I don't think anybody thought it was that serious." Twins fans breathed a sigh of relief. And yet, three weeks later, Meyer still has not pitched competitively. It doesn't look like he's especially close to doing so. Over the weekend, New Britain manager Jeff Smith had this to say about the righty: "Hopefully by the end of the season, really just later in the season, he'll be able to pitch in some games." Matt Straub, who covers the Rock Cats for the New Britain Herald, inferred that to mean Meyer would be out for at least the entire month of July. The Twins insist that they're just playing it cautious with Meyer, who is on a throwing program in Ft. Myers, but it's tough not to be alarmed with the indefinite return date. Shoulder problems are always scary for young hurlers, and Meyer -- whose delivery is high-stress in nature as he delivers in the upper-90s from a wiry 6'9" build with a three-quarters arm slot -- has always presented more risk than most. Hopefully, this truly is an instance where the team is taking every possible precaution with a young man who might be the single most important asset in the entire organization at this point. But fans will find little comfort in Ryan's assertions that everything is fine, especially when we know this to be the front office's initial assurance in the case of every injury, even those that prove severe. And hell, maybe we should be worrying a little more about Gibson's shoulders. After all, he's carrying a heavy burden as the brightest hope for the Twins rotation in the foreseeable future. Until Meyer successfully returns to the mound or May takes a step forward, Gibson will remain alone in that designation.

[ATTACH=CONFIG]4605[/ATTACH]On Thurdsay, the Twins and Royals kicked off a four-game series at Target Field. The two teams are nearly even in the standings, although the ways they've reached their present records have been drastically different. Kansas City owns the American League's lowest team ERA by a sizable margin, thanks in large part to the additions of James Shields and Ervin Santana, who have both been fantastic. Meanwhile, Minnesota's staff has been among the league's worst. So, with all their success on the mound, what is preventing the Royals from more fervently challenging the Tigers in the Central? The culprit, to a large extent, is an offense that has proven shockingly incapable of hitting for power. With the season's halfway point approaching, KC has tallied only 43 home runs, pacing them to become the first AL team to fall short of triple-digits in a season since the strike-shortened 1994 campaign. This dearth of dingers can be traced to two young players who the Royals expected to contribute heavily in the middle of the lineup. Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas simply aren't getting the job done, and the duo represents a cautionary tale that Twins fans ought not ignore. Prior to the 2011 season, Hosmer and Moustakas were ranked by Baseball America as the No. 8 and 9 prospects in baseball. Having combined for 56 home runs in the minors in 2010, the pair profiled as two of baseball's best up-and-coming power bats. Yet, while there have certainly been glimpses of greatness -- Hosmer launched 19 homers and finished third in the Rookie of the Year voting in 2011, while Moustakas went deep 20 times at age 23 last year -- the overall results have been mixed at best, and this year both have been key figures in the struggles of the Royals offense. Although each player has been healthy enough to appear in the majority of Kansas City's games, both have hit only four homers. Moustakas sits with a brutal hitting line of .210/.269/.308; Hosmer's .267/.321/.375 line looks far better in contrast, but is obviously well short of expectations. Neither player is yet 25 years old so it's far too soon to brandish the "bust" label, but their tribulations serve as a reminder that no prospect -- no matter how highly regarded -- is fail-safe, and sometimes the transition to a successful big-league career can take time, if it happens at all. Which brings us to the dynamic duo currently tearing up Minnesota's farm system. Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton were ranked by BA before this season as the ninth and 10th best prospects in the nation. Each has fed the hype by performing well enough to earn a midseason promotion, so Twins fans are understandably licking their chops imagining the impact these young hitters can have at Target Field in the not-so-distant future. Sano could appear in the big leagues before this season is over, and Buxton's not terribly far behind. But reaching the majors and succeeding there are two vastly different things. Even for the most talented of prospects, acclimating to the highest level can be a daunting challenge requiring plenty of patience. At this point, both of the Twins' top two prospects appear capable of hitting the ground running and quickly adapting once they take that ultimate step, but to hold that expectation is simply unfair. As a reminder, fans at Target Field this weekend need only look across to the other dugout.

[ATTACH=CONFIG]4550[/ATTACH]The Twins needed a big year from Justin Morneau. Not because it was going to help push them over the top, but because a productive Morneau may have yielded a prospect or two at the trade deadline that would have proven helpful toward the rebuilding effort. Unfortunately, Morneau has done very little this year to make himself an appealing trade chip. While many (including myself) were expecting a return to form of sorts now that the former MVP had seemingly shaken all his injury woes, his performance has only reinforced that he is not the player he once was. Not even close. After going 0-for-4 in Tuesday night's loss to the Marlins, Morneau is hitting .282/.331/.383 on the season. His .714 OPS ranks him 22nd out of 27 qualifying MLB first basemen. That he has managed to hit only three home runs this season is almost hard to believe. That total ranks him ninth on a Twins team that is second-to-last in the AL in homers. I wouldn't say that Morneau has been terrible; after all, he's gotten his hits and has driven in 42 runs, albeit mostly due to hitting behind Joe Mauer. But, while it makes every bit of sense for the Twins to heavily shop Morneau at the deadline in order to shed his salary and create playing time for Chris Parmelee, would any contending team have any interest in acquiring him? Right now, it's tough to see it, even if it meant only taking on Morneau's ~$5 million in remaining salary and giving up a non-prospect. No team that is within range of first place in its respective division has gotten worse production from first base than Morneau has given the Twins. Although a few (such as Baltimore and Cleveland) could have some level of interest in adding him as a DH, there will undoubtedly be several better hitters on the market. At this rate, the only way the Twins are going to be able to unload Morneau is by assuming the majority of his remaining salary and accepting very little in return. It still might be best course of action, all things considered, but it's a heck of an unfortunate turn of events for a 32-year-old who spent many years of his career among baseball's true elite.

We are reminded in the forums here daily that Twins fans have their (sometimes contentious) differences in opinion, but one thing everyone seems to agree on is that this season has been vastly more enjoyable than the last two. In part, that's because the Twins are a far more respectable team. They are only four games below .500, and outside of the notorious 10-game losing streak they've generally played rather well. After so much sinking during the last two seasons, it feels nice to tread water. But staying afloat isn't by itself cause for excitement. What really seems to be keeping fans engaged is that, rather than hearing about the promising future, we're finally seeing it. First, there was Aaron Hicks. The former first-round pick was a spring star and has shown some nice flashes over the first half of his rookie season. Then came the unexpectedly early arrival of Oswaldo Arcia. The club has tried – so, so hard – to do the responsible thing and exercise patience with the exuberant 22-year-old, who last year around this time was playing in Single-A. But they can't help themselves. Any time a roster spot has become available in the outfield, the Twins have taken advantage of the opportunity to get Arcia on the team. And Ron Gardenhire has shown no hesitation plugging the youngster's game-changing bat into the middle of the lineup on a regular basis. The results speak for themselves. (Over the weekend in Cleveland, Arcia doubled, homered and drove in four runs.) [ATTACH=CONFIG]4531[/ATTACH] Now, another key piece of the future arrives with the overdue promotion of Kyle Gibson. While the current rotation consists almost entirely of guys who are long shots to be ongoing fixtures, Gibson is fully expected to be one. Terry Ryan implied recently that when he called the top pitching prospect up from Rochester, it'd be for good. So, barring a meltdown in his first couple starts, Gibson likely won't be the one in danger of losing his job when Mike Pelfrey returns from the disabled list. Right now it looks like P.J. Walters and Scott Diamond would be the ones feeling the heat. That is, if the Twins feel inclined to make room for a veteran with the league's worst qualifying ERA who is signed to a one-year deal. Pelfrey has been better of late, but still not good. Whether we're talking present or future, it is tough to make a case that he's a superior option to any of Walters, Diamond or Gibson.

[ATTACH=CONFIG]4499[/ATTACH]Scott Diamond picked up a win in Thursday’s sweep-clinching victory over the White Sox, but his outing could hardly be described as a strong one. Facing arguably the league’s worst lineup, the lefty made it through five innings with only one run allowed but fell apart in the sixth, coughing up a single and back-to-back homers before getting yanked with one out. It marks the seventh time in his last eight outings that Diamond has failed to complete six innings. During that span, which dates back to May 7, he has a 6.86 ERA and an ugly 16-to-13 K/BB ratio in 42 innings. Diamond has never been anyone’s idea of a strikeout pitcher, but lately nothing has been working for him. His 48.2 percent grounder rate on the season is down significantly from last year’s elite 53.4 percent clip. His command has been noticeably less sharp. Parker noted on Twitter that opposing hitters are teeing off on Diamond’s curveball to the tune of .314/.310/.571, after last year hitting .239/.247/.368 against the heavily featured offering. He was far and away the best starter on Minnesota's staff in 2012, but right now Diamond isn't doing the things he needs to be successful, and that has been the case for weeks. The 26-year-old southpaw clearly isn't right. He's not locating like he was last year, and his pitches aren't moving like they were. Understandably, thoughts turn to his offseason surgery. In December, Diamond had bone chips removed from his left elbow after fading down the stretch. The operation was similar in nature to that of Vance Worley, who had "a loose body and bone spur" removed from his pitching elbow at the end of the season after, also, fading down the stretch. This year, Worley looked like a mere shadow of his former self for two months before being bumped to Rochester. The same has more or less been true of Diamond, who excelled in his first handful of starts but is approaching six weeks of ineffectiveness. A Twins team that has actively preached a "no scholarships" mantra now has Diamond -- with one quality start in his last eight tries -- and Mike Pelfrey -- with the worst ERA in the majors -- comprising two fifths of its rotation. Meanwhile, Kyle Gibson logged another brilliant outing in Rochester Thursday, allowing just one unearned run in seven innings. To quote Terry Ryan… "Are we trying to win, or what are we doing?"