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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    Mike, an article that suggests a historic parallel and potential driving force for your future civil war theory. http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/01/29/are-trumpists-simply-the-people-who-are-getting-screwed-by-the-information-age/ I think the country is much more likely to break up than shed significant blood, and I don't think either is all that likely.
  2. drjim
    I would be curious what the exact quote from Ryan was. A GM can parse words pretty well and there is no upside to say they considered shopping him. I imagine they considered it, saw quickly what the market was and thought better of it. I don't think anyone on the team is above trading.
  3. drjim
    And that is a more accurate interpretation of what Law means by ROI in this case. He's not talking about profit, he's talking about production/wins per dollar spent. Law's point, as I see it, is that if the Twins (or other similar market sized teams) are limited in payroll they shouldn't be tying it up in relievers, especially at the prices they are going for this offseason. From my perspective a one year deal wouldn't matter, probably not even two, but if you are starting to tie up payroll three years in advance on good but not elite relievers, that is where you start seeing a very poor ROI over time.
  4. drjim
    Should probably bump him up a couple more points...
  5. drjim
    If you wonder why Buxton is still #1 or #2 in these lists, here is the mlb.com breakdown of tools: http://m.mlb.com/news/article/163089654/best-tools-of-mlbs-top-100-prospects-list?topicid=151437456 Of all prospects, Buxton is #1 defender, #2 hitter, #3 runner, really strong arm and even a little pop. His struggles last season aside, that is a mind boggling collection of tools in one player. For pitchers, Jay has #2 slider and Berrios has best control.
  6. drjim
    Getting close to time to release Plouffe eh? And your second point is no less an opinion than mine, and I think Sano is much more likely to adequate than a disaster.
  7. drjim
    Actually, since they are declaring this before the year and giving him plenty of reps, as opposed to just sticking him out there, I would say they have learned. He's got great speed and a cannon arm, he'll be able to handle part time OF fine.
  8. drjim
    This is a fine quick and dirty way to look at it, but in my mind you would want to think of a better way to capture the elite guys. There probably is a much smaller distance between #30 and #100 than say #1 and #25. Each year will differ of course. The elite are extremely valuable, the balance of the top 100 are nice to have.
  9. drjim
    Twins get 6 on the list: http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2016?list=prospects 2. Buxton 19. Berrios 44. Kepler 60. Jay 91. Gordon 97. Polanco In my opinion this is the best prospect list out there.
  10. drjim
    If he can be a competent OF he really could bring some value to the team - switch hitter, lots of speed, multiple positions. Would obviously have preferred he settled in as the starting SS, but that is a nice guy to have on the bench assuming a little bit of a rebound on his last years numbers, which I do.
  11. drjim
    I never bought into the Bartlett nonsense, so that's meaningless to me and about as relevant to this year as Dozier playing catcher. Plouffe is a better defensive 3B, so it should be Sano who moves. And there are some reports floating out there that Sano has lost noticeable weight, so that is at least one significant positive out of this situation.
  12. drjim
    Having Sano play LF and Dozier play C aren't remotely comparable, sorry. Count me among those happy they kept Plouffe instead of trading him for peanuts and I'm perfectly content with Sano playing LF or RF. He won't be elite defensively but he'll be fine, and it won't impact his development as a hitter. The rest will shake out in due time. Good to have options.
  13. drjim
    Because they probably view Santana as someone who can play CF and other OF positions at least adequately defensively, allowing them to carry a more bat first guy as another OF.
  14. drjim
    So you reference the two clear bench guys. Obviously if they were locked down in a spot they would be starting. I'm not concerned about them one way or the other. I was more thinking of how the Plouffe/Sano/Kepler/Park/Arcia/Mauer/Rosario/etc grouping will play out.
  15. drjim
    I don't know if we can ever know what is offered and when. My impression was that Bastardo had 3/18 on his mind from the beginning and finally accepted his market. I heard the 1/4 from the Twins, but that struck me as unrealistic enough to not even bother mentioning - which is of course possible. FWIW, Ryan keeps mentioning trade over signing, so it does seem unlikely he'll do a 1/2.5 deal for the bottom of the market. I could go either way, but I would probably rather roll with what they got than give a guarantee to the Thortons and Cotts of the world.
  16. drjim
    The article I read was that an interpreter is now required for media interviews. I imagine every team had some sort of internal system.
  17. drjim
    Which thread is that in?
  18. drjim
    My mistake, I don't read all the threads (who has time for that?) I think 2/12 is fine for Bastardo, but I wouldn't have gone more, so I wouldn't have gotten him.
  19. drjim
    Here was a Keith Law answer from his chat yesterday: I know people are upset about the lack of a RP signing, but there is some actual baseball wisdom behind being hesitant. I am with Law on this, which is why I'm not as upset with throwing numbers at the wall.
  20. drjim
    I am not giving up on Arcia, but I also think it is wise that he is not being guaranteed anything. If he hits they'll find a spot for him. I imagine Park will get broken in a little slower than we might think, Mauer will still need the occasional day, and Rosario and Buxton aren't going to play every day. Arcia, if he earns it, will get his ABs. I find it a good thing they've built up this depth and potential versatility. Gives them some options if there are injuries or people don't perform.
  21. drjim
    I think it is hard to separate service time and team control when considering a trade. I would put Arcia clearly 4th, and the other three could probably go in any order. Dickerson, even with inflated home numbers, probably has most bat now, Rosario has the all around game, and Kepler has the upside. I agree with your last point that a trade is probably in order, but I am really hesitant to trade 6 years of control of a good young player for 2 years of a reliever. I don't value relievers that highly. If I'm trading Rosario or Kepler, I want a comparably young solid starter, or a couple of years of a really good starter or maybe a (half) year of an elite starter if that is putting the team over the top (and same for other everyday positions). A reliever doesn't do that, perhaps moreso in the case of McGee because he still has elbow questions.
  22. drjim
    If I wanted to spin this positively, I think it means they are more likely to keep Arcia on the roster.
  23. drjim
    Agree on that. He must have really messed up medicals.
  24. drjim
    You are probably right, I just thought it was funny how it was worded. I think he is prime candidate to have a nice year this year. 4 pitches, misses bats, hopefully stays healthy.
  25. drjim
    He actually has a no trade to the Twins. I don't think it's an accident or easy workaround, a LH power guy might hesitate to play in Target Field if he can avoid it.
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