Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

jay

Provisional Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,544

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by jay

  1. jay
    Fascinating subject -- thanks. First post is likely true. Even though, I doubt they'll look back on it with regret knowing it helped them get by during the lean MiLB years.
  2. jay
    Fairly easy path to make it happen if Milone struggles. O'Rourke gets sent back down, Milone to the pen as the second lefty and long reliever, Berrios to the rotation. Not sure who comes off the 40 man though. Don't forget about the ever looming possibility of injury either. These scenarios usually all depend on everyone staying healthy when, in reality, it's probably just as (or more) likely that someone goes down.
  3. jay
    While I agree his arm value is probably not sustainable at 2015 numbers, do note that both DRS and UZR account for runners not taking bases. If that part happens, it'd benefit his value... although probably not as much as throwing everyone out.
  4. jay
    I don't think a one-to-one comparison to Jim Thome is anything to prove it's not true. That's like saying that comparing Ortiz to Bonds makes Ortiz a bad power hitter. In the last 20 years, you can find 338 players who went to the opposite field at least 500 times. Jim Thome is #2 in wRC+ from that list. Ortiz is #25. Despite his whining, success hitting to the opposite field has been essential for Papi. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=500&type=1&season=2015&month=23&season1=1995&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
  5. jay
    With the exit speed he generates and his approach, I don't see any reason why he can't be .350+ as we've seen from the likes of Votto, Harper, Goldschmidt, Freeman, Cabrera and Trout over the last 3 years.
  6. jay
    I hate to even ask this, but... If there is some wavering on Buxton as the Opening Day CF, how long would he have to be in AAA to gain another year of control? Late July-ish?
  7. jay
    It communicates a desire for the wonderful TD staff to promote content on the front page that will be something more than a catchy, clickable headline with some vague reference to a BP book but contain a bunch of the same old storylines without any real analysis on the subject.
  8. jay
    Storylines like that are one of the many reasons I love this game.
  9. jay
    I've supported keeping Plouffe unless the offer was extremely attractive, but this is pretty telling. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/finding-a-landing-spot-for-david-freese.html Freese STILL on the market. Not to mention lackluster trade returns on both Lawrie and Frazier.
  10. jay
    Relevant to what? If you don't think that provides a more fair comparison, I'm sure not going to bother with more "data".
  11. jay
    Sure, except there's a well known difference between home and road splits for MLB. If you're making a comparison, why would you use one player's road splits but not do the same for the others? MLB 2015: Home .740 OPS / Road .702 OPS
  12. jay
    If you're going to only use road splits for one, at least do that for all of them.Dickerson, 695 OPS Arcia, 707 Rosario, 595
  13. jay
    More.
  14. jay
    The Royals are an interesting example to use. Yes, the pen needs to be better. Signing a LOOGY or LH pitchers isn't the only way to do it, as evidenced by their top lefty being still available and on this list...
  15. jay
    Yes, please. Defined enough describes it perfectly.
  16. jay
    That's not very true. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/relationship-between-spending-winning-remains-low/ And, hi.
  17. jay
    In direct response to the false binary question about the FO as a whole based solely on May and Meyer, maybe this part got missed..."The ability to evaluate talent is quite obviously based on a lot more than two prospects. Not starting the year with them on the MLB roster says little about their development capability either." And the rest of that argument is shifting further and further toward just stating the FO is inept. That's great. It'd be an even bigger mischaracterization of my position and colossal waste of time "defending" them or trying to convince some folks here of anything different.
  18. jay
    I've seen this false binary statement elsewhere here and it's a load of complete garbage. There's plenty of middle ground on both sides of that question. The ability to evaluate talent is quite obviously based on a lot more than two prospects. Not starting the year with them on the MLB roster says little about their development capability either. I don't understand the idea some have that zero is gained by having them in AAA -- there's absolutely benefit to both the player and the team. I'd personally prefer they be on the MLB team now, but they aren't going to fail by starting 2015 in AAA. Either they'll be successful and get promoted (while also continuing to develop) or they won't. If they aren't successful in AAA, it's crazy to say they would have been successful in MLB by any fashion.
  19. jay
    It's a sample size of 1, but I was pleasantly surprised by the HR he pulled down the line the other day. Only 4 of his 25 HRs the last 3 years have landed in that area (45-65 degrees on ESPN's home run tracker site). With most outfields shading him to LF, it'd be a great change in approach if he can generate more pull power.
  20. jay
    The consistency "excuse" looks to be plenty valid based on the results. Consistency is still exactly what we're waiting to see from Gibson and is still talked about. May sure didn't show it last summer and Meyer is the furthest from it. If Gibson is the best case to disbelieve a "we'll see them in 2 months" viewpoint, I don't buy that there's an appreciable difference between calling a guy up in 2 months vs 3 months.
  21. jay
    The case that I can see made is that the Twins haven't gone full head-first committal rebuild like the Astros and Marlins did. That's the far-end, extreme approach and it has positive and negative traits just the same as the local approach. There was a lot wrong by 2012 and I'd think reasonable folks both understand and believe that it takes some combination of time and luck to work back from that. It's also hard to believe the front office is full of the idiots they're made out to be every day with no plan, strategy, direction or concept of what they're doing. I still haven't seen anyone make a believeable case that real-life prospects with promotable MiLB performance have been blocked from MLB by these old guys that are still around.
  22. jay
    Oh, add Stauffer to that last paragraph... and maybe make it four less instead of three.
  23. jay
    This is precisely what I believe that study captures. I'm not foolish enough to think the Twins are hyper-aggressive, but I don't think anyone is saying that either. I see a case-by-case basis. I can't say I've seen prospects tearing it up in the minors for any remotely extended period of time that didn't get the shot they deserved. Yes, I'm frustrated that Milone, Pelfrey, Nunez, Boyer and Duensing are all on the roster. I could do with some combination of about three less. I also don't think it matters all that much and it will work itself out within a couple months. That feels like an eternity on the interwebs, but it really isn't...
  24. jay
    And it has been used many a time before as the damning proof of the Twins inability to promote prospects. I personally think there's missing context in the study's timeframe, but I also wouldn't say the Twins are like the Mets. More importantly, the study also makes it extremely clear that no advantage has been found by using any one approach over the other.
  25. jay
    I love me a good prospect, but this is another example of where the expectation level for our prospects is FAR too high. Penciling in any of our M-IF prospects to be better than Dozier is dangerous. The "no financial incentive" bit is ridiculous. Players don't get big, fat, long FA deals on the one season they had before FA. He has every financial incentive in the world to keep playing well.
×
×
  • Create New...