At this point the OP is accurate, but a six-month major league season has lots of twists and turns. What is conventional wisdom in May is not necessarily the same in September.
i do think Falvey has done a good job putting together a major league pitching staff without breaking the bank and it appears there is help available in the minors. Good health on the pitching side has helped. Baltimore hasn’t had good luck this year and it might be a lost season for the Birds.