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stringer bell

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Everything posted by stringer bell

  1. Gotta catch that ball Eddie.
  2. Battle of Lockdown bullpens.
  3. Plate discipline from Rosario!
  4. Bremer: "Popped up, center field", Buxton catches the ball a step from the track.
  5. That was strike three to Morales.
  6. C'mon Cotts, show us why the Twins traded for you.
  7. Short leash for Pelf from here on out.
  8. Smart baseball by both middle infielders. Knowing Morales was "running" made all the difference.
  9. I do pretty much agree with what Jimbo said above. Pelfrey's fastball is OK, but it isn't dominant. His breaking ball isn't a plus pitch, so he went with the split-finger. However, he's never had command of the split, he got a lot of people to swing at it, but not many were in the strike zone. The key here is that in order for the split to be at all effective, Pelfrey needs to be ahead in the count. It seems he has been 2-0, 2-1 almost all the time. Both control and command of his fastball have been issues in the second half of the season.
  10. I see that the Twins will use the off-day to skip Duffey's next start. To the point of the OP, Pelfrey absolutely has to pitch well tonight or they will go with other alternatives. I don't see May starting any more games while the Twins have a chance to make postseason, especially with the injury to Perkins. They need him in the bullpen. Darnell did not impress me when he pitched for the Twins last year. He started shaky at AAA, but was very good the last couple months, including about a month as a starter. To me, he is a AAAA guy, as are Dean and Bowden, and perhaps also Rogers, although I think Rogers can be a solid bullpen option.
  11. Fine job Always33. Brevity can be a good thing!
  12. There was a thread about a month ago when Rosario was going pretty well and the overwhelming consensus was that Rosario might regress, but his performance wasn't fueled by an out-of-this-world BABIB, as Santana's was. I don't expect Rosario to ever be a patient hitter, but I expect his discipline will increase after he has seen most of the pitchers in the league. He's already been a good player for the team as a rookie. A little fine-tuning could make him better, but not a superstar. Rosario's defense undoubtedly has value, not only for the extra outs he generates by throwing out runners, but for runners not taking an extra base, respecting his strong accurate arm. Not all assists are the same and I would say Rosario has had more than his share of "wow!" throws, rather than getting an assist by hitting the cutoff man who catches a runner wandering too far or trying to catch the Twins napping.
  13. Can't do it. He has used his last option this year. If he doesn't make the Twins, they would have to DFA him to get him to Rochester and with the success he had the last two years, someone would claim him.
  14. My very preliminary 2016 roster has Arcia as the fourth OF, getting at-bats as a DH as well to start the season. If Plouffe isn't moved, there is really no place for Vargas. I am pretty sure Kepler won't make the team out of spring training, but I do expect him to make his debut early in 2016, if not when the Southern League playoffs are over this fall.
  15. With the teams tied in the loss column, it would be the worst case for one team to only win four, while the other wins three. Absolutely the best case is for one team to dominate the other. I like the Rangers to catch the 'Stros because Houston has been dreadful away from home, worse than the Twins. Houston still has a majority of their games on the road-14 of 23. The Rangers lead the season series 8-4 and play four of those remaining seven games in Arlington.
  16. I see numbers like ERA (for starters, not relievers) as showing what players have done. FIP and xFIP are predictors, sometimes on the button, sometimes way off. FIP and xFIP predict the Twins starters to be pretty lousy going forward. Given the composition of the rotation, I can't dispute that. Through the All-Star break, the pitching staff (and starters in particular) had overperformed their predictors considerably. Regression has occurred and stung Pelfrey and Gibson particularly hard. There are 24 games remaining, each one (I hope) will be crucial. The manager has to determine which guys will give him the best chance of winning. He's giving the ball to Pelfrey tonight, a pitch-to-contact pitcher against a pitch-to-contact lineup. I hope Pelf holds them down and the Twins can score a half dozen again tonight.
  17. Buxton has one trip to AAA, he was sent there for rehab and then optioned. If he were optioned to start (wouldn't surprise me), that would be his second trip to Rochester. Buxton goes back far better than Hicks in center, and seems to get better jumps, so with his speed he is a pretty terrific center fielder. The hitting will take awhile, but I fully expect him to be an offensive weapon sometime in 2016. BTW, comparing Hicks to Buxton isn't apples to apples because Buxton is still just 21 years old, Hicks didn't make his debut until he was 23 and was optioned the last time at age 25.
  18. Texas has closed to one game behind the Astros and the two teams are tied in the loss column. It looks to me like the Rangers have a real good chance to overtake Houston and claim the AL West crown. It means that the Twins would have to catch the Astros for the final playoff position (second Wild Card). Houston and Texas play each seven times the rest of the way and the good news is that someone will lose each one of those games. I have a playoff related question as well: if Houston, Texas and Minnesota all finish the regular season with the same record, do the Twins automatically get the second Wild Card? My thought is that is the case because Texas and Houston would play a Game 163 to determine the winner of their division and the loser would be a half game worse than the team they were tied with after 162 games. Still not sure on that, though.
  19. Rosario has had a fine year in the outfield. He has played a lot of right field as well as left, so his total number of games in left is pretty low--only 65 coming into today. That he is a rookie and didn't play the whole season most likely dooms his candidacy, but I think he's been very good.
  20. I expect Texas to overtake Houston. The question is will Houston lose enough for the Twins to overtake them? The Twins are 3.5 behind the Astros who have to play Texas seven times yet.
  21. Overtaking the Twins? Or just beating them several times now in crunch time? Absolutely Cleveland is playing its best ball now and they'll be a tough test in all seven games remaining with the Twins. I can't see the Tribe sneaking into the playoff picture, but I do expect they will be real trouble for the Twins.
  22. What's his strikeout limit?
  23. To add on, comparisons have been made to Buehrle and Jamie Moyer, but probable Cy Young Dallas Kuechel doesn't throw 100 either. Command with all your pitches, a plan to get hitters out and fast outfielders seems to be enough to be a good pitcher.
  24. There are four games in October that look like they are going to be very important. Add one road game against Cleveland and three home games against the Royals.
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