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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Encouraging. All we have to do is get guys like him out of the echo chamber and eventually they'll listen to reason. We just need another ten million or so, of 800-student colleges like New, to place them in. / and yeah, for some who read but don't post here, I realize we have our own little left-of-center echo chamber going on here. Whatevs.
  2. ashbury
    That's what I meant when I used the word 'routine'. Still, I don't see a hint of a flinch away from the contact, just a preparation for the contact. And he held on to the damn ball. Neither of those is a given, on a play like that. And then he pops up and holds the ball aloft. Heroic.
  3. ashbury
    You can't discuss Harper's contribution to the team without mentioning Lonnie Smith. It was a routine play in many respects, but reflected the essence of the job, and for a guy maligned for his defense, you have to give him props for laying it all on the line.
  4. ashbury
    I'm a longtime SABR member, but sadly am no longer local to the Halsey Hall Chapter. I count several of the members as lifelong friends, as we cross paths periodically at the national convention. I do plan to go to the Boston chapter meeting the first weekend in November, if you'd like to meet up.
  5. ashbury
    Doesn't electing a black man, and now a white woman, aid in this goal? Future elections will turn on these questions less and less, as a result. I don't recall Catholicism being an issue in any election since 1960. Race and gender are a little thornier, but JFK's religion was a HUGE deal breaker for many, at the time. We got it over with, and the country is better, in that specific dimension, for having done so. Jimmy Carter's born-again evangelism, likewise. This is what I was getting at when I said I want the candidate who is not simply the "best" in some antiseptic sense, but best for the country. IMO it's an intrinsically good thing going forward, in many ways that are hard to pin down, to have had a black president, given that it was almost a century and a half after Emancipation, when it finally happened. I have the same kind of opinion about 1920, the 19th Amendment, and finally electing a woman. No, I would not vote for Ben Carson, nor Carly Fiorina. It's a tie-breaker, or something close to that. One among many tie breaks, I'm sure. Calling it single-issue distorts things for me, and for the vast majority of Hillary voters. Given the current state of our country, where race and gender stand out a mile in the minds of voters, where Obama's blackness infiltrated so much of the commentary from his opponents and Hillary's gender does now, getting that first breakthrough candidate elected is of value. Not to the exclusion of all else, and not with rosy ideas that it will cure all, but of intrinsic value among all the other things also of value.
  6. ashbury
    For starters, because race and gender are two of the most vexing problems our country still faces, so you can't take those out of the equation even if you tried. Race and gender will shape each candidate.
  7. ashbury
    You're still falling into the trap of thinking it's a fair and balanced world. I'll put it another way. If Hillary wins, it will be despite her gender, not because of it. You are focusing your outrage in 180 degrees the wrong direction. Finally, I don't vote for who I think is the best candidate, "period". That is far too black and white. I vote for who I think is best for the country. That's a distinction worth pondering.
  8. ashbury
    The Houston Astros and their legendary 0-rating for one of their ballgames on TV during their "back up the truck" rebuild would like to have a word with you.
  9. ashbury
    Womanhood having been such a huge advantage in all previous presidential elections, I'm with you.
  10. ashbury
    How do you like the Browns' chances to make it a trifecta?
  11. ashbury
    Perhaps not here but you don't have to look far. http://i3.cpcache.com/product/768217786/hillary_clinton_2016_michelle_obama_2024_bumper_bumper_sticker.jpg
  12. ashbury
    Does Todd have enough pro years under his belt to declare free agency and see whether he can latch on with a different team that will give him a try at AAA? I'm not sure I see the Twins' plan for this guy; is it as a feel-good story in 2021 as a 30-year-old rookie?
  13. ashbury
    Cleveland fans will hate that the Jinxmeister is about to say this, but I'm on board with Cleveland too.
  14. ashbury
    I guess that's one way of defining the risk the Twins were willing to take on. Maybe they were uniquely positioned to do so.
  15. ashbury
    This is one of the scions that Hillary praised in the most recent debate? I can't vote for her, her judgement is too sketchy.
  16. ashbury
    You grade generously, you big softy.
  17. ashbury
    That's certainly the common perception about him. I wonder, though, if anyone has come up with a way to quantify streakiness. Because, over the somewhat arbitrary start/end points of a full season, Brian Dozier's 2013-15 was practically a model of consistency. 2013 / 2014 / 2015 BA: .244 / .242 / .236 OBP: .312 / .345 / .307 SLG: .414 / .416 / .444 OPS: .726 / .762 / .751 A little fluctuation in on-base and slugging, that balanced out somewhat. Then this year, he started out worse than these, got incredibly hot, and finished far better than ever, with an OPS of .886. This makes his inconsistency, if anything, on the high side and a positive thing. Pretty much any good hitter will have months where he hits .200 and other months where he hits .320, with similar fluctuation in walks and power. Even supposing he reverts back to previous levels, is it possible that watching him day after day, we over-estimate the natural fluctuation? I don't know the answer - it's not a rhetorical question.
  18. ashbury
    I agree it's a reasonable risk on an 11th-rounder. But it's still a risk, in the sense of "there are known knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns." This guy has a known known, the injury, and a known unknown, namely whether he will bounce back from his surgery. Not all pitchers do. Even the attitude that "well, every pitcher gets surgery eventually, so get it out of the way" is to me questionable. A second TJ surgery has less to work with than the first, as I understand it. (I'd better go and re-read Jeff Passan's The Arm now. ) That makes for a bigger risk later on in his career. Again, our consensus seems to be it's completely acceptable in the 11th round. But, by definition, it means that no other team saw it as the right decision in the 10th round. That makes it a debatable topic.
  19. ashbury
    The Kennedys lived in a fancier neighborhood than I did, then.
  20. ashbury
    I try hard not to pounce on every speeling errur, but yeah, that one sounds yuck.
  21. ashbury
    In memory of my brother: Shrimp Cocktail. At this one buffet our family went to now and then, that's what Bob and I filled up on (again) after the main courses. I enjoyed some last night, at this charity fundraiser event where I probably wiped out the profits single-handed.
  22. ashbury
    Sometimes I'll start a sentence and I don't even know where I'm going to move to if Trump wins.
  23. ashbury
    Interesting gamble by the team. Joc Pederson was an 11th rounder for the Dodgers a few years ago - maybe we'll have the same kind of return. In any case, good luck to Tyler and his rehab.
  24. ashbury
    Moderator's note: All right. That's enough* of the personal sniping, on all sides. Not to mention, the sub-thread about draft strategies has gone pretty far afield from the question of ranking our prospects. Stick to the topic, please; start another thread if you want to revisit the past. * Too much, actually. But you know what I mean.
  25. ashbury
    He'll be very rusty. Not a risk I'm willing to take, in the 7th game of the World Series.
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