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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    http://atheisthobos.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/128957852061370286.jpg
  2. ashbury
    The moderators are mindful of most mixed metaphors and make many measured moves. Although, alliterations are always acceptable.
  3. ashbury
    To the extent that a Colabello type is needed....
  4. ashbury
    You'll buy respected, but want honest specified too? OK, consider it added. Anyway, Ryan has been known to slip the needle, or at least damn with faint praise, so I'm inclined to take him at face value here. I'm certainly not enough of a fundamentals scout, to try to dispute his words.
  5. ashbury
    Anyone? An experienced and respected scout, albeit one who has an incentive to try to shore up whatever remaining trade value there may be?
  6. ashbury
    In this context Sam Fuld, who you didn't mention, winds up being just a footnote. But still a perplexing one. Though just a waiver wire pickup, he represents a third CF traded for a young starting pitcher. Unless Milone winds up being one of the 8 starting pitchers to lock up a spot in the opening day rotation, which IMO he is not an extreme long-shot to do, the Twins overall situation would seem a lot more settled if we still had Fuld instead. It seems as though the front office can't turn down an offer of starting pitching for center field; I wonder what offers Terry Ryan is mulling right now, in exchange for Byron Buxton.
  7. ashbury
    While I generally agree, it depends on whether the Braves would prefer Graham, the $25,000 it would take to get him back, or what's behind Door #3.
  8. ashbury
    This is basically the exact batting order for the final game of the season in Detroit, shut out by Price and the bullpen. Guess where we start the season next April, and against what likely starter? Do Hunter, Plouffe, Suzuki in place of Pinto, Escobar and Herrmann change the outcome?
  9. ashbury
    As ChiTown said, this thread has reached agree-to-disagree time, as points are being re-made. I am closing the thread now.
  10. ashbury
    For now I am fine with having 8 candidates for the rotation. I'm not focusing on which slots are currently "taken". This will likely sort itself out in a first phase by the end of spring training (and without having to give excessive weight to pitching records in spring games either), and completely sorted out in a second phase by late May. A guy or two or three will have to bide some time in the bullpen (if not the DL), and by June it is very unlikely someone both healthy and deserving still hasn't gotten his chance. The bigger challenge IMO is that only 7 out of 21 pitchers on the 40-man throw lefty, and at least two of those seem clearly destined for Rochester. That's going to force more decisions than who starts. My solution would be to tell a righty who's temporarily in the pen, "you want to be a big league starter? We can start with you getting this one lefty out today, and go from there. You're going to have to get guys like that out anyway."
  11. ashbury
    Age and league is pretty fundamental to how I project a prospect's progress, but only in the context of their performance. Age does serve as a proxy for having a complete scouting report on a guy, though. I'm letting them do my homework for me, if I say a guy has a chance to be a star. "He's in Ft Myers at age 20? Guess the team thinks a lot of him. Could be in the majors in a couple of years. That other guy there, he's 25; even though he's hitting better, it could be hard for him to get a cup of coffee." Ya think? Number of years of pro experience also matters. I'm more lenient waiting for a struggling 24 year old who came out of college than if he was signed as a free agent from the Dominican Republic at 16. And outliers like Colabello, who didn't face tough competition in his early twenties, throws off such gauges as well. I was once 20 years old, and it wouldn't have done a team's prospect list any good to put me at AAA.
  12. ashbury
    I don't think it works that way. Molitor isn't going to hold a team meeting, "OK guys, nice job with the clutch hits on offense and the timely GIDP on defense yesterday. Today, we need to stay in sync as well. Hitters, take a few more fat pitches for strikes. Pitchers, let's try to be a little too fine, OK? Let's see if we can lose 9-0, and really screw up that Pythag projection the poindexters love so much." IMO it's up to Molitor to get the Twins to play well.
  13. ashbury
    They worked something out.
  14. ashbury
    Minor quibble, I believe the teams still have the choice to work something out. That's how Scott Diamond wound up pitching a lot for Rochester in 2011, for example.
  15. ashbury
    I guess commentators like to be dismissive of certain teams and heap praise on others. The group of teams changes with time of course - so I'm basically calling such writers front-runners. The Fangraphs writeup when Ervin signed with the Braves last March said, "Where the Braves are on the win curve, it was vital for them to replace Medlen with someone at least close to as talented." Santana's basically the same pitcher as last time, but now (and it's a different writer, I realize) it's the Twins signing him, so the "praise" must be snide and dismissive.
  16. ashbury
    #54 in honor of Matt Guerrier?
  17. ashbury
    Or... enjoy some baseball.
  18. ashbury
    And yet, teams have to make decisions all the time - this player or that player, how much to offer, etc. Maybe you use some different word than projections, to describe how they do it. And I might add, semi-donning my moderator's cap, that this digression probably deserves a thread of its own if someone wants to carry it further, especially given that the topic of the thread itself remains active and of interest.
  19. ashbury
    Displaying digits after the decimal point: shame on them. Paying any attention to digits after the decimal point: shame on you. If they think there is any value in what they do, it's not what comes after the decimal point. Judge them on that. (Which, I assume, is actually what you are doing - just not saying.)
  20. ashbury
    Here's a list someone came up with a while back: https://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20090118165605AAb4hf8 Gene Bearden comes closest to "famous", after the two you named.
  21. ashbury
    Yeah, but in fairness, that's how he always did it.
  22. ashbury
    Twins have 20 pitchers and 20 hitters on the 40-man, after adding rule-5 pitcher Graham. I assume a pitcher will go, to make room. A trade in the offing? (Duensing, Nolasco?) If not, someone is exposed to waivers - maybe Thompson? With teams' 40-man rosters filling up, maybe it's easier to get someone cleared now.
  23. ashbury
    Please. Go on....
  24. ashbury
    Either that bar table is on a slant, or else I've already had too much to drink and it's not even 1 pm my time!
  25. ashbury
    And 'to'.
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