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LaBombo

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Everything posted by LaBombo

  1. LaBombo
    Next you're going to be talking crazy, pessimistic talk like 'Correia regression likely'.
  2. LaBombo
    My money would be on Hicksie to whiffsie, had he not been pinch-K'ed for by Buck Ninetyseven....
  3. LaBombo
    Ultimately mlb is bound to get wind of the loss, if not all the actual boring details...
  4. LaBombo
    Oh, c'mon. The thin veneer of competence could last for several more days. Weeks even.
  5. LaBombo
    Guess that's a 'not'.
  6. LaBombo
    I forget... is Mauer "clutch" or not this year?
  7. LaBombo
    You know you're scuffling when you get pinch hit for by a guy hitting .197...
  8. LaBombo
    At least we won't have to watch them flail or freeze in the face of Lackey's baffling stuff any more.
  9. LaBombo
    We'll probably hear that from Harry too many times this season...
  10. LaBombo
    Good thing they're on the road this week. Otherwise, with 4 straight days of rain, by Friday this would be Florimon ranging deep in the hole to misplay another grounder... http://www.rybo.tv/storage/images/blog/graduate_benwater.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1274139087848
  11. LaBombo
    Play resumed and Hicksie batting?
  12. LaBombo
    Troll.
  13. LaBombo
    After that shot, only if he already has some...
  14. LaBombo
    If you assume that the Twins medical and training staff are infallible in their judgement of such matters, then yes. There are several long threads in which quite a few convincing arguments to the contrary are made, and the only counter-arguments are basically just different flavors of 'your (sic) not a doctor, so STFU!'
  15. LaBombo
    There is an argument to be made that he is Boston's most exciting player, if you allow that excitement is not a universal positive...
  16. LaBombo
    Another huge win looming for the pitch to contact wizards in the FO.
  17. LaBombo
    It would explain a couple of issues....
  18. LaBombo
    How many players are consistently, significantly better or worse hitters "in the clutch" over their careers than in non-clutch situations? Hardly any, which is why OBA and OPS are almost universally accepted yardsticks of hitter performance, while useless stats like RISP and L&C are obscure numbers relegated to the bottom of the ESPN splits page and DickBert talking points during the game's 8th pitching change.
  19. LaBombo
    How often does a player drive in over 100 runs while hitting fewer than 20 home runs? Or over 80 runs, for that matter? Morneau is the poster child for RISP not being a repeatable skill. Yes, he's 'clutch', and batting .298 with risp so far in 2013. But last year he batted .196 with risp because... why? He forgot how to 'clutch hit'? Is that how you account for a 100 point difference that is 3 times the difference in batting average year over year? OPS isn't perfect, but pretty close. It correlates more closely to runs scored than any other commonly used stat, and it generally gives about a 95% accurate picture of run-scoring performance.
  20. LaBombo
    The Twins are currently out-OPSing only the Astros and blacksox in the AL. I think it's safe to say that the "beast" is still asleep. That, or awake but not a beast at all; something fuzzy and harmless along the lines of a chinchilla or newborn kitten... http://perpetuallypets.com/wp-content/gallery/small_furry/2536074132_1bafedb078.jpg http://www.petco.com/assets/product_images/live_animal/chinchilla_C.jpg
  21. LaBombo
    And yet he's flat-out raking fastballs compared to Hicks, who is completely helpless when facing them left-handed. It will be interesting to see if the Twins admit to themselves that the ingenious idea of evaluating a player based on a handful of good exhibition at bats against lefties and Chunichi Dragon castoffs instead of a 5 year minor league track record isn't working out so well. Given Ryan's absurd, almost surreal rhetoric regarding Hicks during spring training, I'm guessing the answer is no.
  22. LaBombo
    Yes, if another franchise hires Bill Smith away from the Twins and makes him a GM again.
  23. LaBombo
    Agreed, and that's a good argument for the Twins "experts" not to roll the dice on avoiding Outcome #1 when their pitchers face TTO hitters. On second thought, maybe it's a better argument for the Twins to try a little harder to find pitchers who can generate Outcome #2.
  24. LaBombo
    Yup. Didn't realize it, but it looks like his ISO and BB% have cratered at about the same-ish rate from last year. Still, it doesn't seem like excessive hindsight to wonder why the bleeeep you pitch to him with two outs and Konerko scuffling, especially the first situation with first open behind Rios. If a pitcher needed a tie breaker on whether to pitch to Dunn or around him, maybe it would be the fact that he's so slow that it usually takes what would normally be a double from a hitter behind him to move Dunn from 1st to 2nd...
  25. LaBombo
    Yeah, at the moment it's too early to sort out Willingham's possible regression from a career 2012 (expected), possible early decline (unexpected and unlikely), and the statistical noise of a what is likely a typical slump. Good point about some of the upward-trending trade value factors. Then there are some of the other variables, like market supply and demand at the deadline and the constantly fluctuating values that a given Willi 'buyer' and competing sellers place on the prospects that potential Willi buyers may offer. But as much of a crapshoot as it looks like even without the fluctuation in his 2013 stat line, the factors you point out do seem to be in the Twins' favor. Then again, Willingham may be staying put, especially if the Twins (+1 run differential) are nipping at the Tigers' (+60, #1 in MLB) heels at the deadline...
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