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Whammy

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Everything posted by Whammy

  1. Whammy
    What about rather than a team giving it's 1st or 2nd round pick (based on previous year standings) to the team that lost the player, the pick is swapped with the former team's following round draft pick? So, in the case of Drew, the Twins would send their 2nd round pick to Boston and Boston would send their 3rd round pick to MN. In the case of Ervin Santana, the Braves would send their 1st round pick to KC and Atlanta would receive KC's 2nd round pick. A couple contingencies would have to be into place in the case of multiple signings, but that's the framework. There is still a penalty, but one that I think a front office could more easily stomach than completely losing a high pick.
  2. Whammy
    Thanks. At this point, that's what he should be waiting for.
  3. Whammy
    What happens if Stephen Drew is a FA on June 5th (the date of the MLB draft)? Does compensation move to the 2015 draft? If so, does our (or anyone's) top 10 protection apply to 2015 even if we move outside the top 10 picks? Did MLB even bother to consider such a scenario?
  4. Whammy
    Compare it to the stock market. I'm not rich from the yearly or quarterly stock dividends from my 1000 shares of Microsoft stock I purchased in 1984. I'm rich because the stock price is 100x the value it was then.
  5. Whammy
    Anyone complaining about over moderation should go hang out at Rube Chat for a while. It's the Wild effing West over there. Good luck going 4 posts without name calling. After 5 minutes over there, when you are sick of that crap, just come on back to Twins Daily with a greater appreciation of what we have here.
  6. Whammy
    That quote isn't quite right (but it's relatively close), but a) you didn't include the quote that immediately followed which was a canned "we're always looking to improve the team", and more importantly the quote doesn't do justice to what I perceived as a "I know you know that I know that we're talking about Ervin Santana, but I'd prefer not to talk directly about that" undertone
  7. Whammy
    Time to get a Tampa Bay Ray's-size analytics team.
  8. Whammy
    My case in the original Stephen Drew thread (early January).... Thyrlos said: Drew mashed RHP in the rate of .284/.377/.498 last season, but a. do you want to pay $3/35M for a platoon player (even though he will take the majority of PAs) and b. (even more importantly) will the manager platoon him, because he should? I replied: So, you're paying $12M + $0.5M for a kick-ass Shortstop. It's the perfect case for platoons. Pay big money one guy who's going to be really good 75% of the time and pay league minimum to a guy who's going to be just fine the remaining 25%. .850 OPS 75% of the time + .650 OPS 25% of the time = .800 OPS Pay for the 75% and manage the 25% ---------------------------------- I think the price tag has come down a little since my original thoughts So now you're paying $10M + $0.5M to have Drew face all the righty starters (and be a good bench bat on days we face lefties) and have Florimon face all lefty starters Florimon can be used as a defensive replacement on days Drew starts and Drew can be used as a good bench bat on days when Florimon starts.
  9. Whammy
    I think taking a position based on organization needs doesn't make sense, but targeting a position based on what was mentioned above - harder positions to fill in free agency - does make sense sometimes. It become semantics a little bit. Does their scarcity make them the BPA or does their scarcity mean you overlook a player who your scouts have graded slightly higher?
  10. Whammy
    I certainly commend you for sticking to your opinion that differs from many, but if you think about the prospect list in terms of trade value.... If we offered Buxton straight up for David Price the Rays would certainly think about it (and I would guess they would say yes), but if we offered Alex Meyer, they wouldn't be able to hang up the phone because they would be rolling on the floor laughing so hard.
  11. Whammy
    Chris Sale comp?
  12. Whammy
    Buxton actually did have that slump. From his call up to High A thru 7/22 (23 games) his triple slash was 245/292/337 (629 OPS) From 7/23 though the end of the year (36 games) his triple slash was 378/503/559 (1062 OPS) His K% went from 22.6% down to 16.7% SB went from 4 up to 19
  13. Whammy
    Based on that logic, what player isn't an injury risk? Injury history? - The guy can't stay healthy No injury history? - The guy is due for an injury
  14. Whammy
    What's up with the new delay in getting posts posted? At some point, after enough posts, does that go away? I've never gotten into it with anyone here and I'd be surprised if I was ever flagged/reported for any of my posts.
  15. Whammy
    In all reality, I would prefer that he not play ping pong. I play a decent amount of ping pong and I have intermittent shoulder problems, as do some of the people that I play with.
  16. Whammy
    A severe case of Buxton Priapism
  17. Whammy
    I think that you don't need to look any further than one of our 2015 first ballot hall-of-famers to find optimism in Trevor May and his career path. Randy Johnson: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/johnsra05.shtml (make sure to unhide his minor league stats) I bring up Johnson, not as a ceiling, but only as a comp in terms of height. Johnson finished his minor league career with 6+ BB/9, to go with about 9.5K/9. His first 4 real major league seasons were at ages 25-28 and he led the league in walks 3 of those years, with about a 1.6K/BB those 4 years. Then, magically, at age 29 he seemed to have figured it out and he went on a 9 year run of dominance.
  18. Whammy
    Can he play short?
  19. Whammy
    This isn't totally what you're looking for, but interesting none the less http://www.thespread.com/mlb-baseball-umpire-stats#.UtK_Tp5dXNl
  20. Whammy
    Jack Morris is the Troy Aikman of baseball. Aikman's stats are, for all practical purposes, pretty bad. But, Troy got in on the first ballot. I'm not saying that Morris should have been first ballot, but if Morris would have pitched in NY, Boston, St Louis, for the Cubs, or in LA, I'm pretty sure he wouldn't have lasted more than a couple ballots before getting in.
  21. Whammy
    If Josh Willingham can hit 35 HR in 2012 (21 of those at Target field), then I wouldn't put any sort of limitation on Sano's HR total potential because half of his games will be at Target Field
  22. Whammy
    The problem with options for high priced players on short contracts is that it does away with the opportunity to make a qualifying offer.... or am I making that up?
  23. Whammy
    If you're Boston, why in the world would you extend him mid-season? (I'm assuming that's what you mean by "would not have let him go." Because they did give him a qualifying offer.) That's the key for Boston, they wouldn't mind having him back for 1 year and $14M. The finances aren't an issue and worst case (for Boston) is that he accepts. Even if they didn't want him, they've got the money to deal with it. But that $14M gamble nets them someone's 1st or 2nd round pick. This is why I have been advocating short-term, high average annual contracts for players. Garza - throw a 2/40 offer at him. We've got the money to a) handle that contract, and give him a qualifying offer that he will probably not accept in the Winter of 2015. Drew - 1/16. Make him feel all warm and fuzzy about making a good decision to not accept the QO and puts us in the catbird seat next winter, when we will either a) walk away if he underperforms, have him accept a $14M QO, c) recoup the pick we lost by signing him this year, d) get him on the cheap because teams don't want to give up a draft pick. Edited to Add: Also, it keeps their trade values high and keeps them inspired to put up to put up numbers to earn their next contract.
  24. Whammy
    Losing the 45th pick (as a prospect) isn't ideal. I think we'd all agree on that. The degree to which it hurts is where there is a disagreement. Long term vs short term.... Twins 2nd round pick history.... Historic "hit rate" with the 41st - 50th picks. They point me towards Stephen Drew being more valuable than the 2nd round pick (as a prospect) The reason I keep adding "as a prospect" is because of another reason that I haven't seen anyone mention.... Losing that 2nd round pick costs us the pick's slot money. Maybe that doesn't allow us to go over slot on our 1st round pick and we are "forced" to pick an inferior prospect. That could hurt. Also it might diminish our flexibility in future rounds and mean we are not able to sign a prospect. It also costs us $60,000 (5% of the $1,230,000), in potential over slot bonus money before we get penalized for going over our total pool of money.
  25. Whammy
    Auburn was 500/1 to win the national championship. Just saying.
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