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iastfan112

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Everything posted by iastfan112

  1. Pretty sure it's Dozier, also leads in HR(even if you count Morneau).
  2. I'd add field the position well to things he needs to prove, most of the negatives I've read about him are pointed at being poor to middling defensively. I don't know that you want Ryan Doumit 2.0 as a full time catcher.
  3. Retire tomorrow and he's borderline. 2 more years behind the plate or 3-4 years at 1B and he should be a lock though.
  4. Just a reminder, its almost a given that the Twins have some sort of insurance on Mauer's contract so its not as if he's knocked out that they won't recoup at least some of that 115 million.
  5. I ridiculed an argument not a poster. Very fairly I feel as well, none of the winners of the central in the past 5 years have averaged 20 QS a month. Including things like assists that just measure defenders touching a ball on outs is also flawed, strikeouts decrease that number yet clearly doesn't make for a worse defensive team. I expect if someone is going to list criteria that the Twins must accomplish to succeed that they have a solid, well reasoned argument behind it. I welcome TheGrin refuting my arguments with data supporting his. Perhaps the use of ridiculous was a bit of hyperbole on my part but I stand by my assessment that a number of the criteria presented seemed based on whim rather than a statistical or historical basis.
  6. Exactly this. If Pinto proves he can handle the position adequately both offensively and defensively I'd be perfectly fine with moving Mauer, as it is moving him now leaves the position in a pretty precarious spot, behind Pinto there isn't anyone I'd feel comfortable leaving the position to within the organization.
  7. Your methodology seems ridiculously arbitrary.
  8. I don't understand why people want to move Rosario again, this season there's been nothing but positive reports about his progress at 2B. Florimon only hit .249 in his minor league career with a .675 OPS. While he may match or exceed those numbers I wouldn't bet on it happening.
  9. C- Mauer/Pinto 1B- Mauer/Parmelee 2B- Rosario SS- Dozier 3B- Sano LF- Arcia CF- Hicks RF- Presley/Colabello/Parmelee DH- Pinto/Colabello/Parmelee Bench: Herrmann Colabello Florimon Meyer Correia Deduno Pick 2: Diamond/Hendriks/Albers/Worley/May Edit: Don't know how I forgot about Gibson As a midseason lineup after trading guys like Willingham and Doumit. If the Twins don't have confidence in Dozier being able to switch back to SS I'd signing Stephen Drew, while somewhat costly, probably wouldn't require a hideously long deal. Lots of interesting SP FA options as well, tend to be a little old for my tastes so I actually wouldn't hate holding off and seeing if guys like Hendriks and Diamond are useful going forward.
  10. I think Pinto ends up getting called up in June and Doumit is traded then as well. I think Mauer still catches 50% or more of the time.
  11. If its Presley and cash I'm apathetic, if there's an actual prospect in this deal I'll be pretty pleased. I just don't see a place for Morneau on the next successful Twins team.
  12. Baseball Prospectus | How Do Baseball Players Age? Hitters Age Like Wine ? Power Like Cheese? | FanGraphs Baseball Both indicate that the 28-29 season is part of the peak, admittedly the latter half. Given from what I've read the most valuable seasons to have control of are 24-29. Peak is actually around 29-30 for hitters if the player stays healthy but that's hardly a given.
  13. Stasburg, Harper, Trout, Stanton, and Heyward(among others) all passed through the AFL all in positions, in the prospect rankings, as Buxton is now. I could see the justification behind not sending him but to say that prospects with nothing to prove(I would argue all prospects have something to prove) don't go there is demonstrably false. It's a great place to send him because so much talent goes down there, most the pitchers Buxton sees at Fort Myers won't make the majors, a significantly higher proportion in the AFL will.
  14. If Dozier continues to play good defense he'll stand a good chance of winning one.....in a couple of years. Takes a few years for a good defensive reputation to spread around if you're not an all star type hitter.
  15. Guys like Brandon Crawford and Carlos Gomez are other examples of guys who's been pretty lost at the plate and turned it around. Hick's value lies mostly in his defensive ability, he wasn't great in his first taste of the majors in that area either but I'm not going to let a few months of struggle outweigh years and years of universally positive defensive reports.
  16. He had a .600 OPS, that's not historically bad, certainly not good but a number of Minnesota Twins players do that each year. Writing a player off because of half a season of poor production in his first taste of major league action. Its been Hick's general modus operandi to struggle a bit in his first year of a league and then adjust and improvement with time. As I mentioned before, Dozier had similar struggles last year. Another example of a guy who struggled significantly in his early career as well and has put together a very fine last couple is Chris Davis, he had negative WAR's(both f and 3/4 of his seasons in the majors. Raw guys with tools sometimes take awhile to put everything together, giving up on them, especially when your team is already bad is extremely foolish.
  17. Lohse was thoroughly a number 4 starter at best until 5 years after he left the Twins, not to mention he decided to take a bat to his managers door. Dickey is a poor example as well, a number of teams tried him before the Twins and also failed, the success he enjoyed wasn't something that anyone was predicting. I remember no great outcry among the fanbase when the Twins let him go.
  18. Aaron Hicks struggled there's no denying that but I tend to agree with statement that it seems the very opposite of "the Twins way" to have a guy like Hicks skip AAA if he wasn't a hard worker. It's not shocking that he struggled in his first taste of the majors either, that happens, it's the toughest jump and he skipped a step along the way. I remember Dozier looking very similar last season yet this year he's rebounded both offensively and defensively(excluding the circus that was last night). I still think Aaron Hicks will be a useful major league player and though admittedly more for his defense than his bat.
  19. GM and pitching coaches both need to be held accountable to the fact the last internally developed starting pitcher with any sort of sustained success was Matt Garza.
  20. Ortiz, Liriano and ? JJ Hardy really isn't an example, he's hit about as well the past two seasons as he would've back in his season with the Twins if he'd avoided the wrist injury. Carlos Gomez and Kyle Lohse aren't examples as they didn't succeed until a number of years after they left(half a decade in Lohse's case).
  21. Houston had an absolutely barren minor league system, a high payroll from trying to buy victories in FA, and an aging and declining core. They went the complete teardown route got a few decent prospects for trading away those aging player and probably accelerated their rebuild.
  22. I'd be fine with him returning but I'm pretty skeptical he'll successfully come back, the track record for this surgery is short and bad and he's had to have it done twice.
  23. Aging, can't hit lefties 1B with 2 straight years of ~.750 OPS, I'll pass. It's 3 years in, if he's not back to were he was before injury I doubt he'll ever be. Let Parmelee have his shot, maybe he turns out to be ~.700 hitter that he's been in the majors thus far but thats not far off from what Morneau has been producing. Not to mention he's cheaper and still has upside. If Morneau were to come back I'd want it to be 5 million or less per year and only as part of a platoon.
  24. I do blame Anderson at least partially, its not as if Liriano has suddenly found better control, his zone % is actually down again this year its that he's been relying on his fastball. His slider is nasty whereas his fastball is highly erratic. It really seems as if the Twins/Anderson had a hard time letting him pitch in an unorthodox manner compared to the conventional wisdom of using the fastball to set up the slider.
  25. Agreed. I think the people advocating a qualifying offer are nuts, Pelfrey isn't as good as a Burhle or a Sanchez, nor will he have the two excellent back to back seasons Lohse had(and he still had trouble finding a contract. I find the idea of a 3 year 6-7 million contract intriguing. Yes its a gamble but that sort of contract, even if Pelfrey sucks, doesn't hamstring the franchise.
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