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Nine of twelve

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Everything posted by Nine of twelve

  1. Nine of twelve
    If Graterol turns out to have a physical problem that invalidates his trade from the Dodgers to Boston, the Dodgers would have reason to turn around and invalidate his trade from Minnesota. It seems to me that the Twins will wind up on the hook if further compensation is required. Or, of course, if it cancels the whole trade we keep Graterol.
  2. Nine of twelve
    I don't have time to read all the posts now, so this will probably be a repeat of what someone else has said. I was really hoping Graterol would be a blow-everyone-away closer. If he stays in that role and he stays healthy he could be the career saves leader when he retires. I don't have enough insider info or talent-evaluating ability to have an opinion on whether he should be starting. As with any trade, we won't know for many years who comes out ahead. I always think about Detroit trading for Doyle Alexander in 1987, who helped them win the AL East. To get him they gave up a prospect named John Smoltz. Detroit got the help they wanted in 1987 but Atlanta clearly won the trade. Time will tell.
  3. Nine of twelve
    Two comments: One: using the total OPS+ instead of ranking each position improves the accuracy of this analysis, and I think including stadium and cheating factors would move this total this even more in the Twins' favor. Two: I will henceforth refer to the Houston MLB team using this name.
  4. Nine of twelve
    As someone wrote on another thread, counting stats are dumb. Rather than guessing how many we'll hit I think it would be better to speculate on whether we lead the majors again and on the bomba total of the second leading team expressed as a percentage of ours. (In 2019 the Yankees bomba total was 99.67% of ours.)
  5. Nine of twelve
    This thread reads like a medical journal, and that is meant as a compliment. Many thanks to Lucas and heezy for sharing your expertise with us.
  6. Nine of twelve
    This can serve as a game thread. Who’s here?
  7. Nine of twelve
    That was definitely not unique to the Twins organization. What is different is the rule change from the 15-day minimum to the 10-day minimum for the injured list that took place before the 2017 season. That rule has been modified for the 2020 season. The minimum for pitchers on the IL will be 15 days so there won't be as much use of the IL to manipulate the pitching staff in the future. Adding the 7-day concussion IL also has come into play.
  8. Nine of twelve
    There's more going on in downtown Minneapolis this weekend than TwinsFest and the Meltdown. Just thought I'd give everyone a heads-up. http://www.startribune.com/e-sports-weekend-event-to-launch-friday-at-the-armory-in-minneapolis/567236642/
  9. Nine of twelve
    As I said in my previous post I don't know who it was. I had been flipping channels and I only caught about 5 minutes of the interview before I arrived at my destination and stopped listening. That said, I did not get any sense whatsoever of your guess that the player may have held disdain for metrics.
  10. Nine of twelve
    I caught a bit of an interview with a player or former player, don't know who, on the SirusXM MLB channel the other day. He stated that the advantage gained by knowing which pitch was coming during half the games of a season is far greater than the advantage gained by using PED's.
  11. Nine of twelve
    WAR is purported to be a good measure of a player's value. However, it is somewhat situational, especially in terms of translating it to dollars. If he had signed this contract with, say, the Marlins, a 12-WAR player might move them out of fifth place in the NL East during the course of the contract. Maybe. Money poorly spent. If he had signed this contract with, say, the Yankees, it would improve their already high likelihood of postseason contention only a little. Again, one could argue money poorly spent, although if there's a lot of money available, so what? A team will get much more bang for the buck if a player moves it from the edge of contention to strong contention, especially when the team has budget constraints. The Twins fall into this in-between category. Yes, it's unfortunate a high-WAR starting pitcher isn't coming here, but if Donaldson produces not only will his signing be good in and of itself it will make Minnesota a more desirable destination for that type of pitcher in the future.
  12. Nine of twelve
    This is a reflection of how baseball is different from the other 3 major team sports (OK, 4, I suppose, if you include soccer). It takes much longer on average for players to develop their skills to the point where they succeed at the sport's highest level. It's extremely rare for a player in one of the other sports to make his debut at or after age 25 but that happens a lot in baseball.
  13. Nine of twelve
    A batting order assembled completely at random would still be fearsome.
  14. Nine of twelve
    Concur. I would even consider taking the over on 100 for the next two years.
  15. Nine of twelve
    FTFY. (IMHO, of course.)
  16. Nine of twelve
    This is true, but it's still more important than outfield defense.
  17. Nine of twelve
    Pffft. Drinking in the evening. Anyone can do that.
  18. Nine of twelve
    Keep in mind that most valuable player is not the same thing as best player. Beyond just stats it also factors in how much your team benefits from your performance.
  19. Nine of twelve
    To expand on that, he was put on the Twins roster with almost no preparation. He was quite rusty and was at the point that most players would be at in early March. That was compounded with the fact that he was going up against players in mid-season form. Once he shook off the rust he was a monster.
  20. Nine of twelve
    It's my understanding that the primary factor in the increase in the number of home runs last year was due not to changes in average exit velocity or in average launch angle or in the hardness of the ball, but rather to the decreased air resistance of the ball. This means that the distances of home runs hit would be the most important variable to consider. A player who hit a lot of dingers less than 400 feet will probably see a large regression. A player who hit a lot of them more than 400 feet will probably regress very little.
  21. Nine of twelve
    That's the thing about the free agent market. It's the anti-draft. Instead of the team choosing a player the player chooses a team. If a player doesn't want to play for a team it doesn't matter how much he's offered. In spite of 101 wins I would guess that many players still view the Twins as perennial non-contenders. I think we're going to have to prove ourselves by putting together a few more years of high-level performance before players consider Minneapolis to be a worthwhile destination.
  22. Nine of twelve
    Since your second sentence is an insult of others with a different vantage point you should be able to answer the question you ask in the third sentence. Were you aware of the extreme irony here? Did you intentionally use that for the purpose of making a point? Or are you being hypocritical? I honestly can't tell.
  23. Nine of twelve
    Your point is well taken. I have to admit that the 2015 Toronto team came about 1% closer than the 2002 Twins team.
  24. Nine of twelve
    I think we all remember Jim Pohlad's famous comment about total system failure after the 2016 season. That was not just an idle comment. He took seriously the need to make changes, and so he initiated a complete restructuring of the entire franchise. It is easy to become impatient, but keep in mind that it takes a number of years to implement a top-to-bottom change in personnel and philosophy in a franchise and even longer for the results to be seen at the major league level. We are only three years in so it's still early. Even though I don't know the inner workings of the organization I get the strong feeling that Derek Falvey knows what he is doing. I share Mr. Schwerzler's optimism and snide remarks such as those above do not dissuade me.
  25. Nine of twelve
    Who has said a team should shoot for sustained mediocrity? It certainly wasn't me. I said a team should shoot for sustained contention for the postseason. And BTW the Twins lost the ALCS to the eventual WS champs in 2002. The BJ's did it in 2015, an interval of 13 years. Is 13 almost 30?
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