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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    No team averages 4-5 players from every draft. None. Not even close. If you get two, you're doing really well for yourself. Three is outstanding.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know if they lose 90 but they probably come close to it. Really, the Garza move was the most disastrous thing Smith did in his tenure as GM. The Twins went from a solid pitching franchise to losing Radke, Santana, and Garza in the span of 12 months. To boot, Liriano was out with TJ surgery. So much hope for the future dashed on the rocks with two bad moves. One was forced (Santana), the other was not. We'll just have to agree to disagree on the severity of the Twins' mid-2000s draft screwups. My only real point going into this is with the emergence of Plouffe, the possibility of Parmelee turning into a decent player (which looks more like a hope and a wish than it did a month ago), and Perkins turning into a dominant reliever, those drafts weren't as bad as they initially looked.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Still, that player was called up before another player so there are always worse options available.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd be interested to see the people who didn't make the majors as a "nil" ranking. By default, the guy with the negative WAR should be ranked higher than a "nil" seeing as he actually made it to MLB while the other did not.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not sure why you don't believe Swarzak has been valuable... He posted a negative WAR in 2012, during which he was terrible. In 2011 and this season, he has been a useful player. As for Parmelee and Hicks, they are works in progress. That WAR should rise in the case of Hicks and as for Parmelee... Future Uncertain. Try Again Later. Agreed completely on the Twins ability to draft past the first round. Again, I'm not saying they did a good enough job with those drafts. They didn't.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    After this season, Lee should be in the top 100. He's a 21 year old in AA, striking out 8.2/9 and giving up less than one hit per inning. Given that his projection is often seen as a #3 starter, he won't be too far up the list but I think he should be an 80-99 on several lists next year.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    How different is this team if they didn't trade away the one very good starter they've drafted in the past decade? I'm not arguing that the drafts were good; they were anything but good... But as time passes and some of the guys we thought were washouts turn into productive every day players, I don't see how the drafts can be considered "OMG TERRIBLE". Yeah, they've screwed up pretty badly in some drafts, particularly when it comes to pitching (I mean, really... what does it take to get more than one decent starter in 5+ drafts?)... But even just keeping Garza would have made a huge difference through 2010, 11, and 12 (not to mention he probably means a playoff appearance in 08 as well). From 2004-2008, the Twins drafted eight 1.0+ WAR players according to BB-Ref (and that's not including Plouffe, who currently sits at 0.8). The Cubs drafted four. The Astros drafted four. I'm not saying the Twins drafts were good. The front office did not do a good enough job during those years. I'm only saying that they weren't complete busts.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    The interview afterward was pure comedy gold. Thick Accent + Incredible Excitement = Millions of Confused Viewers
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Great in theory but incredibly difficult to accomplish in reality for whatever reason.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Ramos was in the middle of a down year, not the Twins. I didn't make that very clear.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    No way should the Twins be pursuing two decent prospects for Perkins. This system is flush with decent prospects like Vargas, Kepler, etc. What this team needs are impact players in the rotation and at shortstop. With that said, I want a top 50 prospect for Perkins. If it's a pitcher, I'll consider a top 100 guy, especially one who is putting together an impressive season (such as Zach Lee). Bottom line, one marquee prospect has to be involved in the deal or it's a waste of time and a bad trade.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd call it lazy, honestly. And I don't even like Rick Anderson that much. I think, at best, he's a mediocre-to-decent pitching coach who hasn't evolved enough as the years progressed. There are plenty of reasons to get irritated with the coaching staff on this team. I cannot see how Liriano is one of those reasons. The guy appears to be an emotional rollercoaster and after trying to get the best out of him for half a decade (and even succeeding a couple of times), it was time for both parties to move on. There is simply no need for every organizational move to turn into a finger-pointing contest.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    This is totally different and something I think more teams should explore. You can really expand your options if you try to get a third team in on the deal. Agreed. While Ryan is a pretty shrewd trade partner, I don't see him actively pursuing a three-way trade.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Very true. I'm not advocating that the Twins trade Perkins for any offer that comes along. He's a very good pitcher under a stupid-cheap contract and you demand a good return for such a player. But if such an offer comes along, you don't hesitate to upgrade that player to someone who has more of an impact on the team (ie. a starting pitcher). Closers are nice to have if you're a good team vying for the World Series because every win pushes you closer to that goal. At that point, it stops being an "overrated" situation because the difference between 91 and 92 wins can be huge. But on a bad team, closers are mostly useless, especially given how they're used in modern MLB.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I can think of Garza/Young and Montero/Pineda. Am I missing others? It's still pretty rare to trade prospect-for-prospect, especially good ones. I'm not a fan of getting cute and crafting elaborate plans. You go after a guy you need when you need him, end of story. Trying to plot out ten moves in advance often ends up in disaster because something unpredictable happened after move two.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    More importantly than that, closers are overvalued for the production they bring a team. If they were used correctly (based on leverage and in multiple innings), their value would be higher but using the current baseball mindset, a closer will bring far more in return than the value he brings the team in wins. It simply isn't that hard to enter the ninth inning with a two run lead and get three outs. Even a bad reliever will accomplish that 75% of the time. Therefore, if you have a good bullpen, a great closer, and are a bad team, you trade that guy if someone offers enough talent back for him. Then you slide your eighth inning guy into the closer role. Rinse, repeat.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Neither Jon Rausch nor Matt Capps were particularly good relievers, if only because they couldn't strike out enough batters. But both were capable closers when healthy. The Capps/Ramos trade was awful at the time and it's still awful today. You don't give up top 100 talent during a down year and you certainly don't give it up for a reliever that isn't dominant.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that Liriano wouldn't have success under Rick Anderson, except for that time when he had success under Rick Anderson in 2010. If this was Anderson's fault, Don Cooper would have gotten something out of Liriano last season but he was awful for the White Sox. Is it really so hard to admit that the pitcher himself might be responsible for his performance, both good and bad? Pitching coaches can certainly try to tweak things but they can't go out to the mound and throw for the guy. I will never understand why people have to lay blame for. every. single. thing. that. happens.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    That's more likely, in my opinion. If you package Perkins with another guy of marginal value, that might be something a team would be interested in doing.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Adding more fertilizer to the pile won't net a brick of gold in return. GMs may do stupid things sometimes but they're not stupid. No team is going to give up a blue chipper for a bunch of marginal players.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not exactly news that the Rays drafted better than the Twins. I don't think anyone is arguing that point.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Ryan left Smith in a very difficult situation. Then, thinking that bad situation wasn't bad enough, Smith went and shot himself in the foot by decimating the pitching staff in one offseason. Those mid-2000s drafts are a good example why a draft can't accurately be judged for so long. Yeah, those drafts looked terrible until 18 months ago. Now, a few of them look okay. But in the short-term (Smith's tenure), those drafts turned out virtually nothing useful for the franchise. Ultimately, they paid dividends but it took a long time.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Plouffe looks to be a pretty decent player. Revere is a decent stopgap type player. Garza is obviously a good player. Perkins is very good. I'm not sure what you can expect from a team that picked in the bottom half of the draft almost every year of the 2000s. If you're getting a productive player out of every draft, you're doing moderately well for yourself. Smith caused his own demise. Add Matt Garza to those late 2000s Twins teams and it's an entirely different scenario.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I didn't expect the number to be double digits but a ~5% shift is pretty significant.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Really easy. All it takes is for the user to type "SPOILER" in really big letters in the title of the post.
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