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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    It's a yearly ritual. In July, people holler that the Twins aren't spending international money. By February, they've come close to spending their allotment. Next July, rinse and repeat.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    This puts the Twins up against their international ceiling budget, correct? They can't have much left at this point.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Again, I think the Twins made the right move. They already committed to Nolasco and Hughes. They have a handful of young players coming in the next 12 months. Taking a swing at grabbing Garza for less years and more dollars and walking away if it didn't happen was the smart play. So they didn't get Garza. That's fine. What's important is that they saw a market inefficiency and tried to steal a player in a soft market, even though they don't *really* have roster space for more pitchers. It's exactly the type of attempt at market manipulation many of us have been screaming to see for ages. It didn't work out this time but maybe next time, they'll get their guy. To me, what's important is the mindset change that led to the offer in the first place, not whether it succeeded or not.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see a position player taking a one year contract so they can play in Target Field 81 times.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins did exactly what they should have done in that situation. More money over fewer years, walk away if the player doesn't bite.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. There's a reason that he's not very highly regarded among analysts. That doesn't mean he can't succeed, it just means he has a few things to work on.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    As it turned out, the problem with LeCroy was pretty much everything. He ended his MLB career with an OPS+ of 98. Which is kind of my point... LeCroy had a bat that should have played even at DH but it never came together... Banking on Pinto's bat carrying outside of catcher is a bit of a leap of faith. Again, not down on Pinto, just tempering expectations a bit.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. And again, Joe Mauer had a 1.000 OPS against the Yankees in 2009, despite having a double taken away from him. One player cannot advance a team in the playoffs.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Kirby had better playoff numbers. Of course, EXTREME small sample size needs to be mentioned here. Joe has all of 39 PAs in the playoffs. That's one road trip during the regular season. On the flip side of that coin, Joe has been a better hitter than Kirby in "RISPy" situations, be that what it may. Joe Mauer has a career 136 OPS+. Kirby Puckett had a career 124 OPS+. With RISP, Joe Mauer has a tOPS+ of 115 (OPS+ relative to his baseline performance). With RISP Puckett had a tOPS+ of 110. So really, people are basing all of this Puckett mystique on a handful of playoff at-bats. Sure, it was great to watch and I adore Puckett as a player. But I'm not going to buy into the idea that a handful of ABs magically make Puckett a better player when every other stat says the opposite. If we're going to make silly evaluations based on a few ABs, we may as well start crucifying Puckett for leaving Gladden on third base in the third inning of game seven in 1991.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    LeCroy raked all the way through the minors. The lowest OPS he posted was .867 in A ball. I'm sure his AAA numbers were inflated by the PCL but he didn't spend his entire MiLB career in AAA.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm really not that down on him. Tempered expectations would be a better term. I think he'll be a MLB contributor for at least a few years... How effective? Not sure, but he's a solid prospect if he can stay behind the plate. And while I think he has a pretty good bat, I'm unconvinced that he can post an OPS north of .800 in MLB. I'd love to be wrong, just a bit skeptical is all.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    True, but LeCroy also posted a MiLB OPS close to 100 points higher than Pinto.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    This is why I want to see Pinto on the team out of ST. If his problem is game management, he should be learning that skill from Suzuki, Mauer, and Steinbach. I don't care if he's only playing twice a week, those three could help him tremendously.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    No worries, I wish I could replicate it myself. I can't get the damned ads to generate despite googling all sorts of crazy crap.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    The WAR numbers also heavily favor Mauer. Puckett and Mauer have almost the same career WAR at this point... Except that Joe is 31 and Puckett retired at 36. Barring injury, Joe will surpass Kirby's WAR by a healthy margin.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Marginal might be a bit harsh but I think you're overselling Pinto a bit. Yeah, his bat looks good... for a catcher. If he can't hack it behind the plate, his bat probably won't be enough to hack it at DH. He's a tweener prospect. A great player to have if he can play defense well enough to stick in MLB, not terribly useful if he's not behind the dish.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    There's no one else worth mentioning.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    You just made a pretty convincing argument why Mauer's playoff stats don't matter. Dude hits a double, has it taken away, still draws a walk, and then stands on base for the rest of the half inning. What's he supposed to do at that point? Puckett had a .208 BA and a .538 OPS in his first five playoff games. The Twins still advanced. In the WS, he had a decent but unspectacular .884 OPS. That's Puckett's first 12 playoff games and the Twins won a world series, largely without Kirby's help. Compare that to Mauer, who had a really bad .432 OPS in his first three playoff games. The Twins were swept. Then Joe went and posted a 1.000 OPS in his next three playoff games, despite being robbed of a double by Phil Cuzzi. The Twins were swept. Then Joe had another bad series, posting a .558 OPS in three more games. Again, the Twins were swept. Looking over those series, I draw one conclusion: no matter what Joe did, it couldn't prevent a sweep because nobody else was hitting or pitching. In 2009, he got on base 50% of the time against the Yankees. And, again, the Twins were swept. Not really sure what you expect a guy to do at that point.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    SSS aside, beautiful post. Kirby helped his teams win. Kirby did not win those championships by himself. If Mauer had even half the support Kirby had in 87 and 91, the Twins advance at least once or twice. IMO, Mauer is the better player and it's not even particularly close. Would Mauer hit .360 every season if he got to play in the SuperBall-era Metrodome? It's possible, maybe even likely. With the frequency he puts the ball on the ground, he'd be a hit machine in that stadium.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    It's a tough question. Pinto is a marginal prospect. He sure looked good last season with the bat but his defense is still very much in question, as is his ability to continue swinging a big stick. On the other hand, Suzuki looks pretty broken down and the Twins do not have a third viable MLB catcher on the 40 man roster. My best guess is that Suzuki starts out the season getting 75%+ of the starts. Fryer or some other hack might start the season as his backup but by May, I think Pinto will be the backup (if not immediately out of ST). How much playing time he gets from there is anyone's guess, as it all depends on whether he can hit.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm having a hell of a time tracking this down and replicating it. Do me a favor: Go into an article page and when the message pops up, right click and View Source. Select and copy all of that information into a .txt file and email it to brock.beauchamp@twinsdaily.com. If I can't generate the ad, I simply cannot troubleshoot it. Therefore, I need the underlying code to find the offender and fire off a nasty email to one of our ad networks.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    If you follow my chain of posts, I never talked about trading for MLB players, I was only talking about the inverse; moving established MLB talent for prospects. But yeah, Ryan doesn't really trade prospects for MLB talent often.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    That's why patience is a virtue when trading, something I commend Ryan for having in spades. It's the key trait that Bill Smith completely lacked when moving MLB assets. If the deal isn't there, wait it out. Someone will become available at some point.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    In my opinion, all of those are linked and Denard Span is the rebuttal. One of the easiest things to do in baseball is flip a young, cost-controlled MLB player for a prospect. The Twins had Hicks and Buxton coming so they dished Denard Span, a guy in his late 20s and a decent player, for a guy that looks to be a potential #1 starter, or at the very least, a very good #2 starter. Logjams of too many good, young players is an incredibly easy hurdle to overcome and pays huge dividends, as you often get a player's best years and then dish him off for another stud prospect. That's why you rely on your scouting department to tell you who is the best player on the board and you take that player, position be damned.
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