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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd probably sign another middling veteran for 1-2 years (this time, pursue more of a defense-first guy) and just run with it. I'm becoming increasingly convinced that sinking big money into the catching position is a fool's errand. The Twins have enough potency around the diamond where they can live with a bad offensive catcher, provided he gives the team solid defense behind the dish. I don't think a big-money catcher fits into the Twins' plans well at all. If you buy a big-name catcher, you want that guy playing 150-ish games, sliding into DH when he's not behind the plate. The problem there is the Twins already have Vargas, Mauer, Sano, Park, etc. consuming those offense-first positions. If you sign Wieters to a big deal (let's ignore his underwhelming 2016 for now), is he really good enough to supplant those others guys at DH or first on occasion? It seems a bit like throwing bad money at a problem to me. I'd rather see the Twins sink money into pitcher and just hold their nose when the catcher is at the plate.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought it was a mildly interesting trade but not likely to be a long-term solution. I thought Suzuki would get the majority of PAs to start the season and Murphy would transition into a larger role as the season progressed. I felt it was a short- to mid-term "fix" that didn't really *fix* the problem, just kicked the can down the road. Unfortunately, even that didn't happen. I imagine the Yankees feel very similarly about the trade.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think that's true at all. The Twins and Yankees swapped flawed players in hopes it would work out for both teams. It has failed miserably for both teams. I wasn't fond of the trade but saw why it was made. Murphy's ceiling was/is "competent starter". His likely landing spot is "competent backup". The same can be said for Aaron Hicks. After 110+ games in 2016, neither player has even hit his likely landing spot.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Nick, while I agree with the overall message of the article, this made me chuckle. Garver is a few months older than Murphy.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. If Plouffe played a full season with a 2-3 WAR, I figured he'd top out around $11m in 2017, more likely $10m. But given his underwhelming season (not just due to injury), I think that number is more like $9m now.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    None whatsoever. If a guy routinely says outrageous and and dangerous things, he doesn't get the benefit of the doubt when he claims he meant something else. Because if someone so regularly steps over the line with his/her comments, then it's that person's responsibility to monitor their speech. It's not our responsibility to parse what we think he thinks we think he means.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    It's kind of amazing, isn't it?
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    But that's not true at all. Justin Morneau and I are approximately the same height and weight. Therefore, we have the same BMI. I look nothing like Justin Morneau. Another good example is one of my best friends and me in high school. We were the exact same size. Height, waist size, everything. We wore the same size in everything. I weighed 20 lbs. more than him, sometimes as much as 25 lbs more. My bones were denser or I had hidden muscle packed in somewhere unknown (we were both rail skinny). But we had wildly different BMI. Read the article I posted. BMI was created by a mathematician, not a physician. It was meant to measure body type in the aggregate, not on an individual basis. BMI is garbage "science". The word "science" shouldn't even appear alongside BMI.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not necessarily convinced, just keeping myself open to the idea. And there's enough of a question buried in there that I'd give Miguel a year at third to see what happens.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    But it's not only rust. All those missed games were also missed development time.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    BMI should never be used for anything ever. It's the RBI of health statistics, measuring a result but not tracking the cause. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106268439
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Wait, what? No. Park has 244 MLB plate appearances and 119 MiLB plate appearances. That's a touch over 1/2 of a season. He also makes $3m a year. Why give up on that guy? (never mind that his Rochester OPS is .862)
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, I quoted one just two responses ago: Fangraphs: "Stewart sits 91-94 and hits 95 mph often with a fluid, simple delivery and a short stride, though some scouts think he’ll settle with a 55 fastball at maturity." From Bleacher Report: "Most natural arm strength among 2013 prep prospects; plus velocity; consistently registers in the 91-95 mph range on a downhill plane; has touched 97" From Keith Law: "He hit 96 mph and sat 92-94 consistently, showing a plus slider at 85-88, a hard curveball at 79-82, and even a few changeups at 83-84 with decent arm speed." I'm not just making this stuff up. Stewart sits low to mid 90s, edges toward upper 90s on occasion.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    We're in complete agreement on that. My point was that it's hard to get a guy to change his approach when he's dominating the opposition. Which, to an extent, Rosario did in the minors. Now that he's facing tougher competition, it may be easier to get him to adjust his approach and adopt something more suitable to long-term success. I have the same concerns about Buxton, only moreso. I remain unconvinced he will learn anything by playing tee-ball in Rochester. And if he could, then he should have done it three months ago.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    So essentially he had one bad run in AA. His AA numbers were split between a decent .750 OPS year and a bad .670 OPS year. I noticed that trend, BTW, and I didn't bring it up because it seemed irrelevant. He's 24 years old. He had an .800 OPS in AAA. In 180 MLB games, he has a .750 OPS. Remember that in no way am I arguing he can maintain success with his current approach, I'm only stating he had success with his approach. And I don't see how that can be denied.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    That's fair. I'm not sure he'll continue to hit enough to be a part of the core, either. But he *has* had success with this approach throughout his career. The guy has a MiLB OPS of .825. Sure, he's up and down yearly and his OBP sucks but the guy has hit.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, I'd rather trade Dozier but if a team is looking to deal a cost-controlled pitcher, it's possibly (probably likely) they will only consider Polanco. But there are other players (mainly MiLB) I'd try to push out the door before Polanco. I think he can be part of the core of the team for a while.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    It would take quite a bit to pry Polanco away from me but if he's part of a package to return a good #2 pitcher, that's a move you have to consider. The Twins have Dozier and Escobar on the team. They have Gordon in the upper minors next season. I don't *want* to trade Polanco but if it improves the team, I give it a lot of thought.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Buxton should be able to bunt at this point in his career but some guys are just allergic to walking. It's not an uncommon problem, particularly with Latin players. I don't ever expect Rosario to take a walk and I can live with that. I don't like it but I can live with it. What bothers me about Rosario is his control (or complete lack thereof) of the strike zone. Is that coaching? Eh, maybe. But some guys just aren't interested in taking pitches. Eddie might be one of those guys. And to be fair to Eddie, he's showing minor improvement. His overall swing rate has dropped 1% and his outside zone swing rate has dropped 4.5%. Yeah, he still has a lot of room for improvement but maybe that will come with experience and constant nudging in the right direction. Some guys just swing at everything in the minors because they can hit everything in the minors. It's hard to stop a guy from doing something when he's been successful with that approach his entire career. Give him a dose of failure and see how he adjusts.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, ask the A's how they feel about Sonny Gray or the Diamondbacks how they feel about Shelby Miller. And those guys are "healthy". Pitching is too fickle compared to positional players. Never mind the risk of injury or Tommy John surgery but how common is it to see a pitcher lose just that "little something" and turn a great pitcher into a mediocre pitcher or a good pitcher into a bad pitcher? We see it throughout baseball every year. I'm all on board with the Twins pursuing a good starter. I'm probably not on board with them auctioning the farm for an "ace". Too much can go wrong there.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I just don't see it. Sano is a cornerstone piece. You're swapping cornerstone pieces at that point. If you can pull from the minors and deal a combination of Jay, Polanco, Gordon, etc. to get a pitcher, maybe... But not Sano. Never Sano. And I still don't get why people are so hung up on "ace=success". There are plenty of teams that get by without Clayton Kershaw, who has zero World Series rings himself. Yeah, any time you improve at a position, your team gets better. That's great. But with Berrios already on the roster, the Twins *may* not need an "ace". If Berrios turns into a #2, pick up another #2 and then your pitching staff is suddenly pretty good. If your offense is bonkers (which the Twins might have next year), that's a very good team.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, sure. I'm not faulting you for putting on the list, I'm only taking issue with the concept of him being a "sell high" candidate right now. If someone calls about him and is willing to offer something of value, you jump on that.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Whooaaaaaaa. 1. Trading a position player for a pitcher is a risky game, as pitchers collapse into oblivion much more regularly. Plus, they only play every fifth day. 2. Sano and Gibson for Matz? No. NONONONONONO. On his own, Sano is a more valuable player than Matz. I wouldn't even do that trade straight-up, much less throw in another player. The Mets would be certifiably insane not to jump on that trade before you even finished the sentence, which means your offer is askew.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure. My point is there were multiple options available to avoid Sano playing games in right field. Obviously, none of them were explored.
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