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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't like the current state of the pitching staff but the prospects will get here at some point. I wish that was now, but the front office disagrees with me on that subject.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    If they don't plan to add a pitcher this offseason, what's the point of playing baseball in Minnesota at all? This team has the youngest lineup in baseball (to my knowledge) and they can flirt with a .500 record this season. If you're not going to buy at that point, there is no time to buy.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I just don't get complaining about the recent acquisitions. When the Twins were good, every year they had an arm come up and perform. That was one of the pillars of those contending teams. They had guys like Slowey, Blackburn, Baker, Silva, et al step up and fill a need at the league minimum. Yeah, those players turned back into pumpkins after a season or three but the Twins getting $500k guys to fill out the back of the rotation helped them into the postseason on a regular basis. I don't see the downside here. The Twins lost Kintzler, sure, but was he a guy we wanted back in the first place? Maybe if he signs for two years, $14m but I don't know if he'll be had for that price (and there's nothing stopping the Twins from offering him that in November). This team badly needs pitching to compete over a full season. If even one of the guys they acquired gives them back of the rotation performance for two seasons, that could be the difference between 82 wins and packing it in on October 1st or 86 wins and a postseason berth. With these guys now in the system, that means the front office might be able to save $7m or so on yet another Correia/Pelfrey type (gag) and put that into a legitimate pitcher who can post 3+ WAR over several seasons. Or it means one of those guys steps up in June and the Twins don't need to acquire another starter at the deadline, allowing them to burn prospects on another position of need. Flexibility is good. Deep farm systems are good.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    That's fair. Maybe Gonsalves can come up and surprise us for ten starts, which would change the landscape quite a bit.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, pretty much all of this. Though I don't believe the Twins need two starters along with Santana. I think one will do. Leave the final spot open for May (likely), Gonsalves (less likely but possible), or Romero (the outsider based building up his arm and IP). At that point, you open the season with two established vets, one very good young arm, one less promising but deserves another shot after a solid rookie season arm, and then a wildcard at the back of the rotation. You also have two ready or near-ready arms behind him. There's also Littel, who may play into Opening Day plans. Is that a great rotation? No, likely not... but it's probably a decent one with enough insurance behind it to not fall apart. But to enact that strategy, Gonsalves and/or Littel need to spend quality time in Minnesota this season. Get an idea what you have and take as much information into the offseason as possible. And that means both Colon and Gibson should be shown the door as soon as possible. If you're going to punt on the season, then punt on the damned season and look to the future.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I generally agree but damn, the starting pitching market last offseason was brutal. That's why I generally give them a pass on the rotation but not the bullpen. There were easily-obtained bullpen options available and there was no reason not to go get at least one of them.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    This is something I'd like to know more about but haven't found any detailed information. Falvey was a key part of Cleveland's front office during the Kluber (and subsequent) acquisitions, but that doesn't mean he was involved in those particular acquisitions. On the other hand, he's been given a lot of credit for the pitching staff Cleveland put on the field in recent years, which leads me to believe he had a hand in those acquisitions. Anyway, I don't have any answers but if someone out there does, I'd love to read them.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm all in favor of half measures, provided the front office starts making sweeping changes this offseason. Add one solid SP and two good bullpen arms at the very least. Put that team on the field in 2018. Good things might happen. Both Dozier and Santana can help the 2018 team win and if this front office makes moves to help that 2018 team, retaining both players could be the difference between contending in 2018 and contending in 2020.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not a terrible return, it's an iffy return. Even Mateo, the centerpiece, has some mixed ratings. BA had him all the way down at 85 before the season. Kaprielian could work out wonderfully but there's enormous risk in a young player already down with TJ surgery. Anyway, my point is that if that's what Gray netted in return, I don't even want to know what teams would have paid for Santana.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not speaking of releasing/replacing Twins players, I'm speaking of the farm system. Garcia cost something. Are we sure the front office was ready and capable of evaluating their farm just one month into their tenure? I'm not sure they were ready at that point. It's one thing to evaluate MLB players. You have loads of data and actual first-hand experience with them. MiLB players are something else entirely. Falvey and Levine would have needed to rely on the internal evaluators already in place. Would you be comfortable doing that, given how the Twins had performed over the previous five years? What if the Cards asked for Thorpe and the internal evaluators signed off on that idea?
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I think what's more interesting is the underwhelming market for starting pitchers this deadline. Given what their respective teams got for Gray and Darvish, I'm totally fine with holding on to Santana. Given this market in comparison to Gray, would Santana even net a top 100 prospect? Mateo is a nice piece (but hardly world-beating) but Kaprielian is something of a lottery ticket. That's not an impressive return for a guy with 2+ years of control at a reasonable price. At that point, Ervin is far more valuable to the Twins roster than in trade.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I think we can all agree on the bullpen so I'm focusing on this. I have no issues with the front office not making trades last offseason, particularly for Garcia. Three reasons: 1. They were new to the organization. They had more than their fair share of work just to figure out who to trust in evaluations, what to prioritize, and they got a really late start on all of it due to Cleveland's deep run. 2. Garcia was off the block very early in the offseason, even before the winter meetings (December 1st). 3. The front office obviously put a lot of their resources into finding a suitable home for Dozier, unfortunately it did not work out.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. If just one of those guys contributes 3 career WAR for the Twins, it's a win. It's such a low bar to set that I don't understand why people are upset. After seeing Cleveland go on a run, does anyone legitimately expect this team to catch them? Or even the Wild Card, after the Yankees picked up Gray? This was a fun half season. The Twins are still building but have a solid core. This was the right decision. Teams rarely go from 59 wins to the postseason. The Twins are taking their lumps and should end up between 75-82 wins on the season. The front office is acting accordingly and rolling with the punches that a young team delivers.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm skeptical as well but free agency isn't the only way to make that happen. The Twins have some interesting pieces on the farm and few of them are the love children of Falvey/Levine. It will be interesting to see how they mould the organization into their vision. I hope we're surprised this offseason and they trade some of the farm for immediate pitching help.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    What I take away from this is that the Twins should trade "closers" whenever possible because they're mostly fungible. A good reliever somehow becomes more valuable when he pitches the ninth so exploit that.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    That's fair, which is why I called their drafts acceptable (good catch on Stewart and Jay, I always try to lump them together but Gordon was between them). But I have issues with a team that drafts two pitchers near the top of the draft and bombs on both of them. I don't think that's an unreasonable stance to take. If even one of them looked to become a league average starter, my opinion changes drastically. You can miss at the top of the draft. You can't miss more than once. I don't expect every player to become a star but at least half of them need to contribute. And it's not as if the rest of the draft has cranked out superstars to make up that deficit. The Twins got Berrios - 2012 was an excellent draft overall - but it's not as if Gonsalves is expected to step up and be a left-handed version of Jose. He's likely back of the rotation material. Very valuable in the 3rd or 4th round, whenever the Twins got him, but not exactly a replacement for missing on both Jay and Stewart.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Except it's highly unlikely the Twins will win this season and both guys they traded are free agents after the season. I simply don't see much downside here.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. I don't think this is brought up enough, really. I was fine with Kintzler closing and also fine if he would accept a 2/$14m deal but he's not the perfect closer. He's a guy who has gotten the job done but he's not working with much margin for error. A loss of feel and/or velocity and he's cooked.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I mean, maybe... but are the Twins really giving up on an attainable goal in the first place? KC and Cleveland just walked away and I don't think the Twins are good enough (or Cleveland bad enough) to ever close that gap. Secondly, this organization's pitching depth is thin, particularly in the upper minors. Sure, maybe none of those guys work out but if even one of them posts a season or two of decent performance, that could be a difference-maker on this team from 2018-2020. The Twins needed arms and they got some.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I suspect there will be backfilling of lesser guys with that money... which isn't a bad way to operate on the margins of the international market, as the bust rate is so high with those guys.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, I was on board with this trade as a player-for-player swap. And then I saw the $500,000 (!) of international cap space thrown in. Shrewd. Smart. I like the way this front office operates.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I realize that's an overpay. I'm in no rush to trade Santana so my asking price would be steep.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    My favorite post of the day.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    And you were doing so well until the bolded. I have said multiple times I do not expect perfection. But what I do expect is for the team to not miss on two consecutive top six picks, which is an entirely reasonable stance to have.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I'm not super worried about it, just pointing out that he's struggling again this season. He's still only 21 years old and not a big guy.
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