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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Wait, so you want the Twins to sign a reliever to a multiple year contract? Why? Relievers are terribly volatile. If you can get a guy for one year, you do that nearly 100% of the time unless he's Mariano Rivera in his prime. I'm not thrilled with the Rodney signing but he's a decent reliever on a one year deal. Now go get another one of those, please.
  2. It looked forward, not back. I badly wanted to see a Star Wars movie do that because it's been a LONG time since I saw it happen in a good movie. While both TFA and Rogue One were pretty good films, they had their heads up the original trilogy's ass a lot of the time. The Last Jedi felt like it was trying to actually advance the mythology, not mire itself in homage to what came before.
  3. The first hour should have been 40 minutes so they could just get it out of the way because the following 90 minutes are some of the best Star Wars ever put on screen.
  4. What?!?!?! You mean the offseason didn't end the moment the Twins signed Rodney? This is a solid, though slightly underwhelming, move. And I'm okay with that halfway into December.
  5. I cannot wrap my head around why he chose the Angels. If I had my choice of teams to join, the Angels wouldn't be higher than mid-pack, tops. They don't have anything going for them past Mike Trout, really. They're not a bad team but they are the type of team that will be extremely hard to improve because there's very little internal help on the horizon. Every improvement made to the team will come via bloated free agency contracts.
  6. That would require some serious pessimism and intentional negativity to draw that conclusion. 1. They didn't somehow lose Marte, the dude failed a physical. 2. Ohtani gets to go wherever he pleases. We shouldn't be even the least bit surprised that location is not Minnesota. 3. The Maitan thing stinks but when you have a legit top 100 SS prospect in the high minors, recently drafted another SS at #1 overall, it's not really surprising a young foreign kid looks at that and says "no thanks, ima just gonna go over here to the team with the absolutely atrocious farm system so i can be in the majors in three years". The front office took their shots and rolled with it as each punch failed to land. In the end, they ended up with a couple of interesting prospects without giving up anything except their own time.
  7. I think this is a fair take from Law. What I like most about these moves are not necessarily the prospects they returned but the thinking that led to the moves in the first place. It shows an adaptability on the part of the front office. That money was originally slated for Marte. That didn't work out so they made a run at Ohtani. That didn't work out so they shuffled the money off to other teams in trade for prospects. All of this happened in a span of just three months. Working in the margins like that is how mid-market teams get and stay competitive. The front office hasn't brought back a single "wow" player dating back to last deadline but they're consistently bringing in marginal guys who sometimes turn out to be long-term MLB contributors. If you find a way to acquire a dozen marginal prospects over a few years, a couple of those guys will turn into quality MLB players and you've given up virtually nothing to acquire any of them (in this case, a couple of expiring contracts and fake money).
  8. Combined, the two players have ~400 professional plate appearances. Both were/are pretty highly regarded in some respects (Pearson was a mid 2nd round pick on some boards, Banuelos' defense is a plus). There's no need to put a positive or negative spin on either of them. They're both so inexperienced that no conclusion can be drawn from a stat sheet.
  9. Yeah, but that kid actually had a vision problem. He floundered in the low minors and bombed out of baseball. The rumors being bandied about in this thread are suggesting Marte's vision problem isn't that big of a deal. And if it's not the big of a deal, it would require very little money to go get an independent physical and send it to 29 MLB teams, attached with a note "I'll sign for half what the Twins offered me". There are literally hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of dollars at stake here. If the Twins are dealing dirty, it'd be very easy to prove otherwise and make a boatload of money (while the acquiring team still saves millions). This seems like a pretty clear cut example of Occam's Razor. The Twins said he has a vision problem that will hamper his baseball career, he probably has a vision problem that will hamper his baseball career.
  10. The thing is that there are teams with more than high six figures in international money. If the Twins screwed him over, he would have plenty of other suitors. He was a $3m signing. If nothing is wrong with him, he could easily find another team to give him 1/3rd that money or more. Remember that the Twins just dealt $2m to other teams, at least one of which won't get Ohtani and will be sitting on a pile of cash. If Marte is just fine and everything is no big deal, that org would be insane not to offer him everything they have and get him in the organization.
  11. Given that Marte claims there's no hard feelings over the voiding of the contract, this seems unlikely. If the Twins were pulling a fast one and trying to get away with something, it seems to me Marte would have a lot of ill will toward the organization, not brush off the voided contract and say he's open to signing at a reduced amount.
  12. My understanding is that pretty much all of these contracts have a "pending a physical" stipulation. They get the contract done because that's the hard part. They worry about the physical later because it's a formality the overwhelming majority of the time.
  13. They literally traded a $1m 2017 draftee for $1m in fake money. Not sure what you think they could have received that would be more significant than that.
  14. LA and SF need to be on this list. LA has the largest Japanese population in the mainland US and San Francisco is one of the greatest cities in the country.
  15. Honestly take a look at the Angels' roster and farm system, then tell me you want to play for that team.
  16. If this team and its sub-$100m commitment needs to move Santana to acquire another good pitcher, we should all be furious at ownership. They easily have the wiggle room to move to $120m and even $130m based on previous promises to the fanbase.
  17. Sure, if that's what you meant, I'm not going to argue with you about your intent but "poor” can easily be interpreted as "bad".
  18. You said this, which is what I rebutted: "Even severe regression and a poor 18' campaign" If "poor" isn't synonymous with "bad"... *shrugs*
  19. Oh no, not at all. It was a good catch. I had a dozen tabs open and could easily have missed Porcello or flipped him with Cole.
  20. Ah, right. And Porcello. He also had an ERA+ of 98. Or maybe I accidentally flipped Cole and Porcello. I don't care enough to go back and double-check. The overall point is still the same.
  21. Thanks, you as well. The defense thing was an edit. Over time, those things will balance in the modern game. Given how we're talking almost exclusively about pitchers with 1000+ IP, it's likely they not only changed teams but that the defenses behind them rotated several players as well. It's not as if Nolasco's 2006 season with the Marlins had much in common with his Twins stint in front of bad OF defenses or his Angels time with Trout roaming center.
  22. Yeah, this. At a glance, the only pitchers who crossed 200 IP with an ERA+ under 100 were Samardzija and Cole. Samardzija had a 94 ERA+ while Cole had a 98 ERA+. Given how ERA+ works, Cole is smack-dap at "average starting pitcher". If you want to argue it, Samardzija is close enough to count as well (though I'd consider him just a hair below average). No one with 200 IP came anywhere near "bad" and most were way above average on the season.
  23. How many bad pitchers do you believe reach the 200 IP mark in the modern game?
  24. True, but it measures actual runs allowed and all pitchers play under the same rules regarding ERA. The run scores or it doesn't. You get the out or you don't. Factors can influence those things over the short term (defense, bullpen) but in the long run, it should balance out in time. Now, in the olden days when a pitcher would play most or all of his career for the same team and (mostly) in front of the same defense, I can see more wiggle room to debate the validity of ERA. But when a modern player plays for four teams in both leagues in front of an ever-changing defense every season, the measurement that tracks actual runs allowed has more validity in my eyes.* *in no way am I defending the use of aberrant ERA numbers year-over-year, I'm speaking only in terms of player career
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