Article: 2016 Twins Roster Projections: The Starting Pitchers

[tobi0040]

 

Gibson, Santana, Hughes are the only real locks in the rotation IMO, May should be one, but they seem to prefer getting 80 innings from him instead of 200.  

 

Hopefully I'm wrong on Duffey, but he's far from a sure thing.  They should have cut bait with Nolasco by now.  Milone could've been moved.  

 

Plenty of ways to get a potential steal of a Free Agent into this rotation, and still have room for Berrios.  

 

I think we are 95% on the same page.  But what we would do is different than what the Twins will do.

 

I would have May in the rotation, without question.  They won't though.  And Milone should not be a lock, but I don't see them tendering him for almost $5M and not putting him in the rotation.  So I think we have four locks with a heavy preference for Duffey being #5.

 

 

[Otto von Ballpark]

 

That is a quality signing by the Astros.  His ERA+ was 96 last year.  So he wasn't horrible.  This would have made sense for us prior to tendering Milone (Milone career ERA+ is 99, Fister is 117).

To be fair, some of his work last year was as a reliever.

 

Fangraphs has him at a 117 ERA- as a starter last year (with the FIP and xFIP to match), versus 54 as a reliever.  (Lower is better for ERA-.)  Maybe still not horrible, but closer to Kevin Correia 2014 than Kevin Correia 2013.

 

Although one year at $7 mil for a reliever might have been nice too.

[tobi0040]

 

To be fair, some of his work last year was as a reliever.

 

Fangraphs has him at a 117 ERA- as a starter last year (with the FIP and xFIP to match), versus 54 as a reliever.  (Lower is better for ERA-.)  Maybe still not horrible, but closer to Kevin Correia 2014 than Kevin Correia 2013.

 

Although one year at $7 mil for a reliever might have been nice too.

 

Good call. I would still rather have him than Milone.  Much better career thus far.

 

 

[Bob Sacamento]

 

I think Seth is pretty much right on in his predictions. I hope they don't wait long on the FTM guys moving up, if they have success.

Yeah Fort Myers rotation almost has me getting season tickets (and writing it off as a business expense).  I think my goal this spring is to get a picture of that rotation all together...before they're all gone to AA by July