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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    Wade had a .750 OPS at AAA. Why would you have any reason to believe that a guy who had a .750 OPS at AA would be better?
  2. yarnivek1972
    I realize that you later emphasized “with two outs” but I certainly don’t think it is fair to “charge” them to the reliever. What about a guy who comes into bases loaded, no outs?Say he induces a first pitch run scoring double play and then gets a strike out. I think any team takes that outcome. Is it really fair to “charge” him with that run? That’s what the IR/IS stats are for.
  3. yarnivek1972
    Umm, it kinda is.
  4. yarnivek1972
    I don’t think anyone is suggesting 600 PA for Garver. Frankly, 450-475 sounds about right. That’s 80-100 more than he will get this year. Even if he hadn’t missed two weeks, he likely would have only gotten 30 or so more PA than he will.
  5. yarnivek1972
    idk, it seems to me that MLB is going to have to do something. The big home run totals in the late 90s put fans back in the seats after the strike/lockout of 1994/5. But it isn’t playing out that way now. MLB attendance and ratings continue to trend down.
  6. yarnivek1972
    They don’t????
  7. yarnivek1972
    Garver missed two weeks in May but has otherwise been healthy. He’s going to finish the year with fewer than 375 PA. Keep in mind that when he does start, he is most likely to bat 1st, 2nd or 5th. Miguel Sano missed the first six weeks of the season, rarely bats higher than 5th and already has more than 375 PA. If Garver isn’t comfortable at first base, that is on the Twins, because he needs to play there a lot on days when he isn’t catching. Garver has a 159 w/RC, which would be 4th in the AL if he had the PA to qualify, just ahead of Nelson Cruz snd a .410 w/OBA, which would be 3rd, also ahead of Cruz. With more PA he would likely be in serious consideration for league MVP given the position he plays. He is putting up Piazza type numbers and is considerably better defensively than Piazza ever was.
  8. yarnivek1972
    How does he not start given the rest of the lineup?
  9. yarnivek1972
    Jack Morris was a big name guy.
  10. yarnivek1972
    I’m looking at the “hourly” forecasts. It shows 60% chance of rain starting at 7 tonight and it doesn’t drop below that percentage until 9 pm Thursday night. And while I realize the potential importance of getting the games in, I’m pretty sure the last thing the Twins want to do is risk MORE injuries playing in rain or on a soaked field. Keep in mind, until the first pitch is thrown, the decision to play belongs to the Twins.
  11. yarnivek1972
    If the Twins get rained out tonight and tomorrow and the games don’t need to be made up, the Twins would only have 160 regular season games. It’s possible, the Nationals have a 2 1/2 game lead for the top wild card spot. If it is at least that after the 29th, they won’t play the games. Of course, that also assumes that the Twins clinch the Central before then without those two games.
  12. yarnivek1972
    One thing missing in your series preview: weather forecast. Which calls for rain and more rain for today and tomorrow. Unless the Nats can wrap up the top wild card spot without them, the teams will have to play make up games after the regular season.
  13. yarnivek1972
    So, looking out my window (and at the weather.com forecast), I see zero chance of a game today or tomorrow in Minneapolis. While it is pretty likely that the Twins will be able to clinch the division without the games, Washington is currently 2 1/2 games up for the first wild card. Thus, it is pretty likely that the games will matter for the Nationals. So, it seems pretty likely that the two teams will have to make both games up after the end of the regular season. Both teams one more scheduled off day, but it is not the same day. My guess is they will have to play a double header on Monday, September 30. Gonna suck big time monkey n**ts. The only way they wouldn’t make them up is if the Nat’s clinch the top wild card spot without them.
  14. yarnivek1972
    So far Buxton’s career is based on three good months of play (August and September of 2017 and May of this year). Take those out and you’re talking about a guy with a career OPS+ in the low 70s.
  15. yarnivek1972
    All I’m saying is that the decision doesn’t need to be made today and it is foolish to attempt to do so given all the unknowns of the pitching staff right now.
  16. yarnivek1972
    Until Dyson actually pitches again, I’d say Hildenberger is ahead of him. Neither Smeltzer or Thorpe are particularly effective vs LHB. Either at the MLB or milb levels. It should also be noted that it is entirely possible that one (or both) may be needed to START a playoff game. There is no timetable for Gibson and Berrios is a mess. Also, without Pineda I think the Twins are going to have to carry 12 pitchers. They literally can count on more than 3 effective innings from Odorizzi against playoff caliber teams and that’s it right now.
  17. yarnivek1972
    Yet many were prepared to give a spot to Graterol before he threw his first MLB pitch. Maybe see how it plays out before making snap decisions.
  18. yarnivek1972
    The Twins (and pretty much every pro sports franchise) play in taxpayer funded stadiums. If what has been reported is true, it sounds as if the Twins knew nothing until after Pineda pitched Friday. I have a big problem with that. IMO the Twins have every right to know that one of their players failed a drug test and is facing suspension. The team needs that time to prepare. I’m pretty sure teams are capable of keeping the info private until MLB is ready to announce. So, I think the CBA needs to be changed to give teams notice and if that information is leaked, a hefty fine should be imposed on the team (presumably no one from the player’s camp would leak it). Hefty, as in 7 figures.
  19. yarnivek1972
    The help in sight is Nelson Cruz. Of course, his impact may be negligible in Washington. Would it be worth it to “start” him in the OF, let him hit in the first and then lift him for Miller or LaMarre right away? Obviously, the downside is having a terrible hitter in the 3 hole for most of the game. They have just barely enough bodies that they could pinch hit a couple times, but the choices aren’t real strong either at present. FWIW, Cruz has 10 HR in the first inning this year, double any other inning. His biggest impact might be right away. Why wait for a “key” spot that may never happen?
  20. yarnivek1972
    Joe Mauer had a .641 career postseason OPS. Almost all of that was before he developed his concussion issues.
  21. yarnivek1972
    It’s worth noting that decisions like playing LaMarre are why Paul Molitor is the Twins FORMER manager.
  22. yarnivek1972
    I don’t think it is at all likely a MLB player would be actively trying to lose weight DURING the season. The 162 game, 6 month season is such a grind that players lose weight easily without “help”. Even a starting pitcher who only toes the rubber every fifth day. On their “days off” they are running, they do some throwing and other exercise and weight training.
  23. yarnivek1972
    The Twins (or any other team) wouldn’t have to “pro-rate” his salary. He doesn’t get paid for games (or collect MLB service time) while he’s suspended.
  24. yarnivek1972
    If I read the rules correctly, if Pineda serves part of his suspension next season (which he will), he is also ineligible for postseason in 2020. That seriously limits his negotiating leverage.
  25. yarnivek1972
    Pineda isn’t injured. I’d say the chances of a petition to replace him succeeding are nil.
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