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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    It should have been the strategy in 2011-13. Pelfrey and Harden were both good lotto tickets, the Twins just made the mistake of doubling (tripling) down on Pelfrey. Why would we want to sign more guys for 2-3 years now though? We don't need 2-3 year bridges, we need 1 year bridges, maybe two month bridges. The prospects might not pan out, but we at least have to find out. Pitchers on guaranteed multi year deals aren't going to get benched or released. Pitchers on one year deals may though. Which pitchers would you even need to offer 3 year deals to anyway? Jason Hammel, Brandon McCarthy, Francisco Liriano, Jake Peavy and Edinson Volquez look like the only guys who might demand three but won't be able to get more. Not much there I want.
  2. nicksaviking
    Well Cleveland got a pretty good prospect for him despite his down season. If he's looking for a make good deal, I'd love to take the chance that the Twins get an improved performance and get an even better return for him mid-season.
  3. nicksaviking
    Good stuff Parker. I like Masterson, largely based on the belief that he'll get a short term deal. I love ceiling and could care less about floor as should the Twins considering there is some credible pitching depth in May, Meyer, Milone, Gilmartin, et al.
  4. nicksaviking
    Not to mention that if he didn't have the injury concerns, he likely would cost more than the Twins would be willing to pay.
  5. nicksaviking
    Sano, Meyer, Rosario, Gilmartin, Michael, Wheeler and they'll surprise us with one, I'll say Tyler Jones. Thompson, Fryer, Herrmann and Colabello lose their spots.
  6. nicksaviking
    Jerry Crasnick says Masterson is finding a very active market for his services. https://twitter.com/jcrasnick/status/534361908334587905 Mark Polishuk at MLBTR extrapolates a bit about the known suitors: http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2014/11/multiple-teams-interested-in-justin-masterson.html My favorite line: "The six teams Crasnick lists present an interesting array of suitors, incorporating the two pennant winners, three teams looking to return to contention in 2015 and the rebuilding Twins..." For the record, one of the "three teams looking to return to contention in 2015" is the Cubs. The Twins can't even keep company with the Cubs these days!
  7. nicksaviking
    Well the assumption is that Masterson will only get/request a 1-year deal. That says two things. First, Ryan has had no problem cutting bait on players on the final year of their deals, so if he stinks, I don't think he'll block anyone, he'll go to the pen, get released or traded. Second, it says that Masterson and his camp don't believe his damage is irreversable. A truely damaged goods pitcher would probably take even a low AAV in exchange for multiple years. Otherwise I agree with you. I don't want any more back of the rotation, multi-year contracts blocking May or Meyer.
  8. nicksaviking
    I like Masterson, as I'm a "high ceiling, I don't give a damn about the floor" kind of guy. I actually think Hunter may have been a good sign the previous years under Gardy. There seemed to be a leadership void, and I would have taken him just for his clubhouse presence. Some may argue that his leadership skills tend toward the selfish side, but hey, Hitler sure as hell made a fine army out of those Germans. I don't think there is as much of a leadership void now though. Dozier seems to have taken the reigns and who knows what the dynamic will be with a new manager. I liked seeing the young Latin players at the top of the dugout most of the games, I think Vargas, Santana and/or Arcia may turn into a field general. I hope it's not Rommel, but he did get results.
  9. nicksaviking
    No need to get antsy, I'm sure the Twins are considering bringing back Tyner.
  10. nicksaviking
    It's safe to say the Royals are one of the "unlikely" teams that are going after Tomas. They are currently working him out at a number of positions. After they beat the A's in the play-in game I said I was torn. I wanted to cheer for the underdog, but I was also jealous that a team that has historically been a doormat was going to put my favorite team's futility in an even brighter light. If they gave out a large contract to an external player, that light would shine even brighter.
  11. nicksaviking
    How about a Delmon?
  12. nicksaviking
    If Tomas and the rest of the Cubans that follow turn out to not be as good as their predecessors, then the Twins need to look themselves in the mirror and finally decide they can no longer afford to follow trends but instead create them. At minimum, Oakland was instrumental in these transactions, there should be nothing Oakland can do that the Twins cannot unless resistance to innovation is insurmountable.
  13. nicksaviking
    It would be great it he developed like Brady Anderson, however in today's MLB, that production would be accompanied by an ensuing 50 game suspension. Schafer looks an awful lot like Alex Presley to me.
  14. nicksaviking
    Well that's not the majority of the scouts. Abreu wasn't supposed to be anywhere near the hitter than Puig was and Puig wasn't supposed to have talent anywhere near what Cespedes had. It's all a leap of faith at this point. Someone's going to have mud on their face eventually with these Cubans, and with the Twins luck, it will be them if they finally take the plunge, but so far, the success rate of these guys is leaps and bounds ahead of every other means of procuring talent.
  15. nicksaviking
    Tim Dierkes Tweeted that Yasmany Thomas is meeting with four teams and that three of those teams would typically be considered "very unlikely" to sign him. https://twitter.com/timdierkes/status/533010714697666560 Logic would say that the fourth team, or the non-unlikely suitor will win out, but I say it's time to get our hopes up unreasonably high and open ourselves up to the possibility that he's coming to Minnesota. Screw our internal defense mechanisms built to protect us from crushed dreams! Let's get the rampant speculation machine rolling!
  16. nicksaviking
    Who's got the most trade value in July? That's who I want on a 1-2 year deal. And I don't want to sign anyone to platoon with Schaffer. If you can't find someone who can push Schaffer to the 4th OF spot completely, you might as well stay out of free agency all together.
  17. nicksaviking
    Great stuff Parker, I'll bet this one gets picked up by national sites that enjoy knowledgable baseball analysis. This kind of research shows why analytics are important. Not so much because of the data they produce, but more so to demonstrate that traditional long-standing philosophies are not always accurate or no longer accurate. This game is always evolving, every assumption made earlier than a week ago should be re-evaluated.
  18. nicksaviking
    Yeah, well people here last year were saying the same thing when the Twins would have virtuallly been trading Nick Burdi for a washed up and useless Stephen Drew.
  19. nicksaviking
    So far it's looking like the Twins are batting 0-1 with those. Looks like I'm in the minority, but I love the list. Those are exactly the kinds of guys I'm interested in, I love playing the pitcher lottory even if the odds are stacked. Last I did the math, the three big named pitchers have something like 2 million innings pitched on their arms (though my math could be slightly off). I wouldn't want a single one of them for more than a few years and you'll be getting them for at least a half decade. The only pitcher worth a long term deal is a young pitcher and you generally only get those in-house. So get these upisde types, hope they come through for you this year and either flip them or cross the QO/extension bridge next offseason. Ryan has shown the willingness to eat the contract of a player on a one year deal. No way will he do it for a guy on a 3-4 year deal.
  20. nicksaviking
    I don't believe that is insular to people's opinion of Joe Mauer's toughness. My first thought is to go on a "back in the day" bit about how people are more stubborn now and think changing one's opinion is a weakness, though it sounds wildly inaccurate to credit past generations open-mindedness, so I guess we just have to leave it up to classic human nature/lack of education debates.
  21. nicksaviking
    I don't know that Mauer is all that tough of an athlete, however to be fair, it's probably not something that should be determined by weighing pro/con voices in the media or fandom. After all, the media get more hits the more critical they are of local athletes, and of course the fans opinions are (sadly) all too often formed by what guys like Souhan says.
  22. nicksaviking
    If so, she should start texting us some interesting pics.
  23. nicksaviking
    Ha, yes I was wondering how this conversation took such a u turn. What happened to blaming the trainer for not keeping these guys healty? Who knows what's going on here. One minute we're blaming Ryan and Gardy for criticizing Baker for not playing through what turned out to be an injury that would require TJ surgery, the next we're blaming them for coddeling Mauer. It's possible after the team misses something like Baker's injury they over-react and play it cautious with the next guy. Or it's possible every situation is different and simply put, you'll never get them all right.
  24. nicksaviking
    Wow how time flies. I can't believe it's been so long since he famously helped Santana turn the corner.
  25. nicksaviking
    My post was only half in jest. I was serious in suggesting that if Molitor actually did pick up flaws with pitchers on the staff last year, perhaps he would have done the same with the pitchers whom the Pirates corrected flaws.
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