Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

nicksaviking

Community Moderator
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    25,392

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    126

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Phil's velocity dip occurred in 2015, not last year so I'm not sure if the surgery is going to improve that, but his off speed pitches haven't been terribly good for awhile now either which typically is a problem for starting pitchers. However as he saw with his former teammate Mariano Rivera, a guy can be OK in the pen with a fastball and a cutter. Maybe he can mix his curve in once in awhile or Allen can work with him and he can try the changeup again. Either way, I like him in the pen assuming the move helps increase his velocity as it often, but not always, does. The Twins don't have a closer now anyway, if he's healthy that should be an attainable goal for him. Also, with the sudden frenzy on relief arms, his salary would barely look out of place if he did a decent job back there.
  2. nicksaviking
    I hated the Ramos/Capps trade and I do love getting new prospects. However Capps had a track record of being a pretty solid pitcher previous to the Twins getting him. The chances of him paying off were/are much higher than De Leon alone, who has done nothing but get torched at the MLB level and at least in my opinion has questionable velocity, repertoire and durability.
  3. nicksaviking
    BA had an interview with Hunter Greene. It's too early, but I suppose he's the horse I'm backing presently. http://www.baseballamerica.com/area-code-baseball/area-code-conversation-hunter-greene/#HmDgqo4cxW2JrPPS.97 In his off time he likes to fish, so sounds like a really solid fit for Minnesota.
  4. nicksaviking
    Moderator Note: Keep the discussion away from personal attacks and dismissive insults. I have edited a couple of posts as opposed to hiding them entirely as most of the content is acceptable. However let's not make this debate combative; nearly everyone is on the same side in that most think Dozier should be traded, the disagreement is only on what is an acceptable return. This shouldn't be contentious.
  5. nicksaviking
    That was my belief heading into this offseason and I said as much multiple times. However I don't think that's anywhere close to a stone cold certainty anymore, not because Dozier is going to improve his stature, but because there is no demand now. His value is going to increase or decrease mostly due to demand, not performance. Also, we have so many people saying we have to jump on this offer of De Leon plus nothing/minimal pieces. Why don't we just slow down and wait until March? If Dozier is the Dodgers preferred target, they'll come calling back to the Twins before they do anything else at 2B.
  6. nicksaviking
    No, that is an assumption. De Leon isn't some magic pill, he still has a high probability of busting. That's why the Twins would be doing themselves a disservice by not hedging their bets with additional pieces with a reasonable chance of being useful players.
  7. nicksaviking
    I'm not assuming anything, including what the market will do. I just know the market never stays the same. No one's ignoring risk; those willing to walk away are accepting it, I won't speak for others, but this doesn't appear to be a big risk as the reward isn't very big. If this is the peak, then it's not much different than the valley, I don't see any championships from up here with this return.
  8. nicksaviking
    I wouldn't be happy if they never trade him. However there are plenty more opportunities to do so and I'm OK waiting for the next opportunity if this is the best offer they have now. And I won't be resentful if the Twins never get a better offer for Dozier; the risk of losing this bird-in-the-hand doesn't look all that terrible to me. Even if ensuing offers are less, I'm not inclined to think they'll be significantly less though I'm more than willing to chance that they are.
  9. nicksaviking
    At this point, I strongly lean toward "no deal" and see if we get lucky at the AS break or next off season with full understanding that change in market is beyond the team's control. I'm not as high on De Leon as many others are, but who knows, perhaps my feelings will change and I'd take him straight up come March. But I'm not making that determination in the middle of January, I'd at least wait to consider my options until right before the season starts. If Dozier is the Dodgers preferred target then they'll come back to check in on him before they make any other irrevocable plans.
  10. nicksaviking
    Sure, we have a phone at home. We can still go out to play later, it's only January 13th.
  11. nicksaviking
    No, you're not. You're banking that the market changes for Dozier. We've long ago established that Dozier's value is not derived from his stats but instead demand. Demand is low, which means so is his value. Everyone always complained that Ryan sold off the players at their low point. Well through no fault of his own or the Twins, Dozier is at a low value point.
  12. nicksaviking
    One prospect has NEVER been enough for Dozier. A month ago nobody here would have thought so. Now it seems a lot of people have resigned themselves to accepting whatever the Dodgers deign to bestow upon the Twins. It's January 13th, if the Twins had taken this offer, we would have spent the next three months complaining about how little the team got. Also, if the Dodger fans that come to this site aren't upset about this proposed deal, that's a pretty big heads up that it's a bad deal.
  13. nicksaviking
    Then look at who may have been included by checking out their prospect lists: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-21-prospects-los-angeles-dodgers/ Aside from De Leon the Dodgers had three other starting pitchers in their top ten, Alvarez, Buehler and Stewart, all of whom are not currently being offered. One other guy, who is ranked 10th by Fangraphs, is going to be a relief pitcher. The Dodgers have four other arms in the 15-21 range but only one of them is above A ball. It doesn't matter if the offer was 1:1 or if the offer is De Leon and various other players, the other players either aren't starting pitchers, or are much, much lower quality starting pitchers. Which means the Twins aren't upgrading their rotation now or in the future by any more than De Leon. If that's fine by you, great, but please stop insisting that there's a big difference between a 1:1 deal or De Leon plus parts.
  14. nicksaviking
    He throws in the low 90's without a strong breaking pitch and he's a flyball pitcher. That doesn't look like a high ceiling guy to me. He looks like he's a high floor guy due to his control.
  15. nicksaviking
    I must not have been paying attention, I hadn't heard about this event. Not that I would have been able to go, but I would have been able to feel sorry for myself that I couldn't. If someone starts a thread about the event here on TD if it occurs again, I'd bet there'd be some pretty strong TD attendance. Not sure if that's a good thing though, you guys are pretty rowdy.
  16. nicksaviking
    Right, I don't want the Twins turning down a fair deal (which really, we probably all have different definitions of fair). My thinking has just always been that the Twins would almost certainly get less for him at the deadline, let's throw out 75% of his value as it stands now as a hypothetical. Well if the Dodgers are at this moment only offering 75% of his current value, then it doesn't bother me to try again later this summer and hope for better. If the Dodgers are currently offering 100% of Dozier's value and the Twins are holding out for 125%, well then they're just nuts.
  17. nicksaviking
    Tom Thibodeau = ???
  18. nicksaviking
    I agree that his value likely will not be higher at the deadline, however it appears at this point that his value is not going to dictate the return; there simply isn't enough demand. If the Dodgers deal is truly a slap in the face I'd keep him and see if demand bumps up his return this summer, it very well may even if he isn't playing nearly as well as last year. At this point I'm not feeling inclined to do the Dodgers any favors.
  19. nicksaviking
    I couldn't handle that frenetic atmosphere and I would find it annoying and likely condescending, but I wouldn't be shocked if the kids ate it up. I'd also have a hard time being around the smug arrogance oozing from Urban Meyer, Nick Saban and Jim Harbaugh.
  20. nicksaviking
    Definitely, however it probably starts with making sure they choose the best in-state players. NDSU isn't winning any recruiting races with the U, but the U has overlooked far too many Minnesota kids that NDSU has been happy pick up and send along to the NFL.
  21. nicksaviking
    I guess I don't see the similarities between Fleck and Brewster unless people are just thinking of the energy. Brewster hadn't been a head coach, in fact he was basically just a recruiter for Mack Brown who left for one year to go to the NFL for the sole purpose of learning the game. Fleck got a HC job at the age of 32 and did something with it. Plenty of head coaches are fiery and energetic so I think the only reason to compare him to Brewster would be because the Gophers tend to pick conservative Midwest demeanors. Fleck seems to have substance while Brewster clearly didn't. The first thing this guy did when he got the WM was piss a lot of people off by rescinding a ton of scholarship offers, it didn't sit well but it meant he knew how he wanted his team to look; he had a vision, Brewster never had a vision or any kind of organizational plan. I think you guys might have got lucky with this one, this guy looks like he knows what he's doing to me.
  22. nicksaviking
    The team has different talent evaluators now. And for the record, I think a lot of May still. Either way, just because you struck out last at bat it doesn't mean you should keep it on your shoulder the rest of your career. You got to keep taking hacks, it'll payoff eventually.
  23. nicksaviking
    Just pretend you don't see the ensuing edits to the posts previous to yours.
  24. nicksaviking
    Had Mussina wanted the 300 wins he would have gotten it. He was only 30 shy and only 39-years-old. I think the baseball community pretty rightfully recognized that Blyleven had been an overlooked pitcher so I don't know why you would look at either of these pitchers and say they shouldn't be in because they weren't as good as Blyleven. After Clemens, Mussina and Schilling are the highest pitchers in terms of WAR that aren't in the HOF. I think Mussina is pretty close to a lock to get in eventually, he was top 6 in Cy Young voting 9 times and one of the best fielding pitchers ever. If Schilling doesn't make it, it likely will have more to do with him being a lunatic. Not that I think that should necessarily keep him out, but it's not going to help him.
  25. nicksaviking
    I $%^& you not, I simply googled ChiTownTwinsFan and Marcos. This was the third option from the top. I was pretty sure I remembered something about you and a shoe issue. http://twinsdaily.com/topic/11880-article-welcome-to-the-new-twins-daily/page-9
×
×
  • Create New...