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mazeville

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Everything posted by mazeville

  1. I agree Greinke probably comes back. But I don't like either his or Scherzer's contract. Those are $200 million deals for 30-something pitchers. No way those deals are worth it at the end ...
  2. They overpaid badly for two pitchers. They sent too many prospects to Atlanta for Shelby Miller and signed Greinke to a contract that was far too big for a 32-year-old pitcher. Worse, the team could have traded Miller for prospects at the deadline and didn't to save face, and could have traded Greinke back to the Dodgers. They didn't. Not saying they deserve this. But they sort of deserve this.
  3. I think Dozier's second half is proof positive why one single player cannot a great team make. Dozier is having one of the best seasons any second baseman has ever had, and yet the Twins are on pace to lose 100 games. This team NEEDS pitchers badly. The good thing is Dozier is at peak value and should command a pretty hefty package in a trade. As much as I'd hate seeing him go, I think you trade him for pitching.
  4. Mike Berardino mentioned 40-man roster constraints in explaining why Garver won't be a Sept. callup. This is a big problem for the Twins, I think. He deserves at least some consideration.
  5. But we're now talking about five years that "just aren't" the Twins' in six years. This is going to be a 100-loss season. That's not bad luck. That's bad everything. Phil Hughes got hurt this year. But he wasn't good last year. Moving Sano to the outfield was a bad idea all around. Signing Park wasn't that bad of a move. But signing Park when you have a logjam of players who would be better off playing DH was an unnecessary expenditure for a team that desperately needed more pitching, more catching and more defense. Trading Hicks and not Trevor Plouffe when Buxton was a giant question mark heading into the season was a bad decision. I'll buy it that bad luck had something to do with the team's run of bad seasons. But this team has also made some really questionable decisions.
  6. You're not reading the same site I am. I've read plenty of criticism here about Sano's work ethic. Regardless, five 90-loss seasons in six years is not simply due to players. It suggests the team is failing to draft well, develop well or manage well, or likely some ugly combination of the three. It also suggests a systematic problem. That BEGS for criticism of the front office and those decisions. This team has not remotely earned the benefit of the doubt. The vast majority -- not just most -- of this team's moves in recent years have totally backfired. * The decision to keep Plouffe: Fail. * Signing Ervin Santana: Fine * Signing Phil Hughes to a three-year deal: Fine * Signing Phil Hughes to an extension: Disaster * Signing Kurt Suzuki to an extension: Fail * Signing Ricky Nolasco: Fail * Signing Byung Ho Park: Fail * Signing Mike Pelfrey: Fail * Signing Kevin Correia: Fail * Putting Sano in the outfield: Fail * Development of Max Kepler: Good * Development of Byron Buxton: Fail * Development of Jose Berrios: Fail I could go on. How on Earth you expect people on this site to somehow give the front office a free pass and simply blame the players is beyond me. It's the GM's job to collect these players. If the vast majority of those players are not doing their jobs, then the problem goes directly to the front office.
  7. Yeah, but that's Boston. BOSTON. That comparison doesn't count ...
  8. Wait. You're complaining about a post complaining about moves made by a team that is well on its way to its fifth 90-loss season in six years -- and quite possibly a 100-loss season? Should people on this site just cheerlead every move they make? Really? In my view, bloggers on this site -- and too many fans -- have been TOO patient with this team. The perfect example of this was Terry Ryan. Many writers on this site gave him a pass when it came to constructing this team, even though he made several questionable free agent signings at a time when the team should have focused on development. They gave him all the credit for building the farm system even as other teams that were big losers at the time the Twins made their freefall have surged into contention behind the emergence of young players. Don't like all the negativity? Root for a winning team.
  9. I can't agree with this post enough. This team doesn't appear to have an identity and the FO doesn't appear to have a plan, or at least a good one. Too many question markets. Too many weird decisions. Too many holes. I'm really hopeful that the new president of baseball operations will fix things. But I've got a sneaking suspicion it will take some time.
  10. No it isn't. The overall point remains valid. It remains to be seen that the Twins' draft picks from 2012 through 2015 will generate the same type of performance as the Cubs' picks from that particular era. I included 2011 because, well, why the hell not. But I'd gladly disregard that year if it would make you happy. And the Twins' 2011 draft was awful, even for their draft position. Most of their drafts from previous years were also awful, even when factoring in their draft position those years. The entire point: The team's run of awfulness is now in its sixth year -- five of six years if you factor out last year's false positive. And NONE of the team's draft picks from those years have have any impact on this year's team, unless it's been a bad impact. Houston, Chicago, Baltimore and others have all at least had some positive impact from kids drafted during their mediocre years. And neither Stewart nor Gordon have exactly blown away the competition in the minors ...
  11. That's a real low bar you're setting there. The Twins have been bad for several years now. When they get these high draft picks, they have to hit on them. Only two players in the team's draft from those four straight 90-loss seasons, Buxton and Berrios, have made the majors. Neither has done particularly well. Meanwhile, EACH of the Chicago Cubs' top draft picks from 2011 through 2014 are currently in the majors, contributing strongly to the big league club. Want to know the difference between the Twins and the Cubs? It's not how much money the teams are spending. Its their respective abilities to hit on draft picks and young players. I understand it's way too early to call either Berrios or Buxton a bust. And I'm certainly not writing off Tyler Jay. But this team cannot afford to have mediocre draft results when it has high draft choices. That is not going to fly. You have to hit on those guys. Period.
  12. I think he's harsh on Tyler Jay like others here - he was going to take some time to make the transition. Also, some teams promote more aggressively, as the White Sox have demonstrated. But it's also a big concern that two players drafted immediately afterward are already in the majors. Indeed, many of the players drafted during the team's run of awfulness have yet to make the majors, or even AAA, or be effective once they get there (Berrios and Buxton). Meanwhile, teams like the Texas Rangers, the New York Mets and others are thriving with recent draftees. We can't get a new GM and regime fast enough ...
  13. Polanco is the Plan B at third if Dozier is on the team. But as we've been reminded almost constantly in the Trevor Plouffe situation, you can literally find adequate third basemen growing on trees. (Plouffe going into the year was a better than average third baseman and could not fetch squat on the trade market; Chicago got Todd Frazier for pennies on the dollar ...). You can get a third baseman if Sano doesn't work out at third. You can use Beresford or Santana if Polanco doesn't work out at second. But you only get one shot to trade a guy at peak value. Dozier is at peak value. The Twins are not likely to contend before he hits free agency, and even if they are they have more needs than just a power hitting second baseman. You definitely explore the trade market.
  14. Everything is a risk in sports. If the GM can't handle it, he or she should go into knitting.
  15. I agree that if he's a problem because of his inconsistency then other teams might not want him. But I believe he's shown enough for long enough to warrant a strong return on a trade. He's been a consistent performer overall, just inconsistent within the years from one year to the next. I think he could definitely net the team a pretty good haul -- far better than anything the Twins have done in years. Ultimately, the Twins don't have to make the trade. But if they want to shore up multiple positions while trading from an area of strength, they should definitely do it. This isn't a "dump Dozier" situation and anybody who thinks it should be is silly.
  16. Of course you look to trade him. And if the return is strong enough for a player of his caliber, you make the deal. If you don't get a return, you keep him. The Twins have middle infield depth - Polanco could step right in -- and the team has many needs in other areas. I don't get fans who say, "Don't trade that player, he's too good" once guys reach peak value. This team is on its way to its 5th 90-loss season in six years. The Twins' rebuild has failed where teams like the Astros, Rangers, Mets and Cubs -- who were bad in 2012, like the Twins -- are all contenders, having rebuilt their teams with young talent. You have to give up good players in rebuilds to speed the process and the Twins did not do that during their bad years, when they probably should have traded guys at their peak, such as Glen Perkins before he was injured. Dozier is the perfect candidate for a trade. He's the one guy on the team not named Sano who could net a big return.
  17. Nope. We have way too many corner infielders/corner outfielders/DH types. I get that he might be good for the kids. But I'd rather give those at-bats to young players.
  18. Exactly. I think the last thing you want to do is spend a ton on a free agent catcher. This team should start collecting young catchers ...
  19. The Twins are hardly the only team in this predicament. Anybody who plays fantasy baseball knows that it's next to impossible to find decent catchers. I can only imagine it's much harder finding good two-way catchers. The problem, especially now, is that anybody who shows any decency at the plate is converted to some other position early in his career. That said, I'd like to see the Twins trade Suzuki and then call up Garver or Murphy and then the one who didn't get called up in September. I'd then switch both of them the rest of the year - mixing in Centeno every now and then. At the very least, you can get some idea of what you have before you make your offseason free agency plans.
  20. See if you can't find a trade partner for Plouffe in August. The big question is still DH. I like Vargas. I still think Park has a major league bat in him. But I wonder if the Twins see if they can't find a taker for him in the offseason. I'd rather have Vargas over Park. I also wonder if you couldn't give Mauer some time at third. People scoff at this. But you could keep Park and Vargas to give you a big bat off the bench. You could then play Mauer at third one day a week to get both Park and Vargas in the lineup at the same time. In any event, the new GM will have some work to do ...
  21. The Twins and their fans just need to be patient. I think he'll be fine. Will he be as good as some people thought he would when he was in Low A? Maybe not. But keep in mind that some prospects just take a bit. The Carlos Gomez example is a very good one. I have deep concerns about the team's player development. And I'm real hopeful that the new regime will find someone who can work with Buxton to shorten his swing and improve his pitch recognition. He is too talented a player to let this happen to him ...
  22. My mistake. Misread your comment. Still, I'd rather get something in return. Agree to disagree.
  23. You didn't say stud catcher or shortstop. I used that phrase to explain that Alex Meyer would not generate any better of a return than the Twins received. And again, if you think the Twins could have eaten Nolasco's contract to get a "better prospect" then I have that Arizona oceanfront property for you ... They DID eat some of Nolasco's contract to get a better return. They're paying his contract this year and are throwing in $4 million next year. And let's not forget that they also got a hard-throwing reliever who was in AAA this year and throws 100. Give them some credit. I hate what this front office has done over the past several years. HATE. I prefer the Twins make fewer moves to give the next front office the opportunity to do more of the assessment work. But I'm also perfectly willing to give this front office and ownership credit when they deserve it. And they deserve that credit in this case.
  24. So, what, are you missing the "not saying" part of that line or what? And again, he would generate a better return than Tommy Milone given his history. His ERA is better. His strikeout rate is better. And I'd imagine he'll do better in Target Field with an outfield of Rosario-Buxton-Kepler. I am NOT saying he would generate any sort of massive return. He'd generate A return, which is something they could not have done with Nolasco. And the Twins did generate a return for Meyer - getting a hard-throwing reliever and getting rid of the worst free agent signing in Twins history.
  25. And what kind of return are you expecting of Alex Meyer? He is the Twins' 18th best prospect. He has a history of shoulder problems. He is a 26-year-old who has spent three years at AAA for one of the worst teams in baseball. If you think the Twins were going to be able to use Meyer to get a stud catcher or shortstop you are sadly mistaken. This is EXACTLY the type of deal you do for someone like Meyer. You use him to rid yourself of a bad contract and get a serviceable starter with a good track record in return.
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