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d-mac

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Everything posted by d-mac

  1. d-mac
    What team is dumb enough to trade for Pelfrey?
  2. d-mac
    I think you are vastly overestimating Pelfrey's value.
  3. d-mac
    Pshhh! I use fangraphs. And you're right about not* being Hicks. Switch hitting is a b***.
  4. d-mac
    But he was a negative fWAR player in his first taste in the majors. So I'd disagree about "not having to hit to make a difference." I'm just worried that he'll struggle so much because he's not ready with the bat that it will ultimately harm his development and we end up with Aaron Hicks, part deux. Plus, this team isn't a real contender this year- so there's no reason to throw Buxton to the wolves just yet when we have Hicks (granted he's healthy), Rosario, and Robinson to fill in in center for a few months while Buxton develops in AAA.
  5. d-mac
    You are absolutely right, it is a small sample size. But the eye test matches the data set at this point. And it's disconcerting.
  6. d-mac
    Probably the same people that told him Aaron Hicks was ready after the 2012 season. Or that Brian Duensing should have been tendered a contract. Or advised Bill Smith to trade for Matt Crapps and give away J.J. Hardy in order to sign Nishioka. I could do this all day.
  7. d-mac
    I don't think CF defense was his problem. He always had major league ready defense when he was drafted. However, I wouldn't consider an OPS of .501 with a 38.5% strikeout rate to be ready. I don't care how good of a prospect he is- no major leaguer can be successful with that kind of batting line. And for that matter nearly every ball he put in play was hit weakly on the ground- evidenced by his 61.9% groundball and 18.2% hard hit rates. Major League infielders are much better than the ones he saw in the minors, he isn't going to get by using his elite speed to beat out everything hit to the left side of the infield up here. His bat needs more time in AAA. It is abundantly clear.
  8. d-mac
    Yeah, what exactly is the harm with that? It's a good problem to have.
  9. d-mac
    I am being reasonable. I'm not saying Berrios is going to come out and dominate out of the gate. The odds are always that the transition will be bumpy. But he's a better pitcher than May or Gibson were in their careers at the same point. And being better than Pelfrey is a very low bar. Pelfrey has a xFIP of 4.51 this year. He had a xFIP of 4.54 in 2013 with the Twins. In today's run scoring environment that is a bad pitcher. The projections over at fangraphs have him throwing up and ERA between 4.67 and 5.10 the rest of the year. He has no business starting on a team in the AL.
  10. d-mac
    Or may not make a difference. No team is omnipotent when it comes to predicting which player (especially at 16) will make it in the majors. It's a numbers game. The more talent you can acquire, the better. Always. One player won't make a team.
  11. d-mac
    There is no reason Sano, Kepler, and Polanco shouldn't be in AAA today. I'd leave ABW in AA for a full season. I'm glad they moved up Berrios to AAA. Here's how I'd play it: I would have Sano getting reps at 1st and in RF in addition to his time at 3rd. I would also like to see Mauer and Plouffe get time in RF. Mauer isn't going anywhere with that contract and there is no reason to trade away Plouffe yet- he's an established, productive player and we don't have enough of those on this team. I would like to see what Sano's bat would do against more experienced AAA pitching, before I'd bring him up. He's going to strike-out at the ML level, but Sano has shown the ability to reduce his K rate the more experience he gets at each level- so I'd wait for that point where he starts to reduce his K% in AAA before bringing him up to make that jump as easy as possible. I think Polanco can come up and play SS at anytime- from what little I've seen he looks ready with the bat- and he's probably no more error prone than Santana, who has no bat. Kepler, is likely almost ready to- that BB/K ratio is a thing of beauty. But he likely needs to stay in AAA until September to round off some of those rough edges. When Buxton is healthy, he needs to go to AAA. He clearly wasn't ready. Leave him there until September.
  12. d-mac
    I agree on both parts. I think that is likely the best strategy, however, I'd consider moving Plouffe or Sano to a different position first. And Terry Ryan would have made a great politician in a different life. He's rarely truthful, only speaks in half-truths and platitudes.
  13. d-mac
    And what? I mean Mike Pelfrey is a bad pitcher. He could probably be a good bullpen arm, though. Even if Berrios struggles he's not likely to go 2 1/3 innings and give up 8 runs in his first start.
  14. d-mac
    Sorry, that's one of my biggest pet peeves. Calling the DL the IR or people assuming that there is a salary cap in baseball. The NFL doesn't rule everything.
  15. d-mac
    Remember, that was before international bonuses were limited. Due to the Twins' unwillingness to go over the limit, this would assuredly never happen today.
  16. d-mac
    There is no way he will be worse than Pelfrey was last night.
  17. d-mac
    This isn't football. It's called the Disabled List in baseball.
  18. d-mac
    Couldn't have said it better myself.
  19. d-mac
    We all knew the Ranos for Capps trade was bad from day one. But that Span for Meyer trade is looking worse by the day. Span was a quality CF'er and we've had a revolving door in CF since we traded him.
  20. d-mac
    Typical.
  21. d-mac
    Meanwhile, Phil Hughes allows 1.55 HR/9. So, .60 is good- it's 39% of what Hughes has allowed this year.
  22. d-mac
    Come'on! An outfield of Arcia/Rosario/Hunter doesn't sound like a disaster to you?
  23. d-mac
    Agreed. From what I've seen so far it looks like he doesn't have the ability to drive the ball well; he has to create much of his slugging percentage with his feet. Thus, so much of his value is tied up in being able to stretch singles into doubles, doubles into triples, and stealing bases. Making outs on the basepaths is one of the cardinal sins of run scoring.
  24. d-mac
    Yeah, he's awful at sliding. Didn't take me long to see that.
  25. d-mac
    Properly executed head first slides are only marginally more dangerous than feet first slides. I was never the most athletic person, but when I played, I exclusively slide head first and never once got even remotely hurt.
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