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d-mac

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Everything posted by d-mac

  1. d-mac
    Bingo. Even if we assume that De Leon was the only thing offered to the Twins (I doubt it) and we peg him as only having #3 starter upside (I view him as a future #2) trading Dozier may have been the best move. Yes, you don't want to sell low on your prized asset, but at the same time you can only take what the market will give you. Price or value is determined by what the purchaser willing to pay (sorry Karl Marx, but I'm dropping economic truth bombs up in here). Dozier will not help solve our run prevention problem. He alone cannot return us to contention. But we have a ready replacement for him and getting back a young, cost controlled, #3 starter will go along way to getting us there. It's hard to imagine that anything better will be offered at the deadline or next offseason. The next course of action in this case should be to extend Dozier and trade Polanco. But that proposition is risky for a rebuilding club based on Dozier's age and inconsistency. So I expect the Twins to take the "do nothing and pray for season ending injuries of other team's secondbasemen."
  2. d-mac
    Could you say the Twins whiffed?
  3. d-mac
    Fangraphs has us pegged for 4.61 runs scored per game (9th in AL) and 5.01 runs allowed per game (dead last in the AL) in 2017.
  4. d-mac
    Same logic applies to the stupid and by stupid I mean completely moronic extension of Suzuki in the midst of a career year.
  5. d-mac
    It is certainly possible that what necessitated the surgery was affecting him back in 2015. That to me seems the most likely explanation for his decreased velocity. However, if it is not like Brock mentioned, then he is toast. I too would stick him in the pen to start the year.
  6. d-mac
    Break out the tinfoil hat. It's conspiracy time!
  7. d-mac
    Well it's more intellectually honest than pulling numbers out of your butt based on feels.
  8. d-mac
    Fangraphs has the Dodgers as a 95 win team and the Giants as an 88 win team in 2017. Seven wins is a pretty big gap once you get over 90. The Mets are an 84 win team. Also aren't in the same division. The Cubs right now are the Dodger's only peer in either league. Adding Dozier may push them to 97, 98 wins. But it basically doesn't make much of a difference come playoff time. The playoffs are such a crapshoot.
  9. d-mac
    The Dodgers are the favorite to win their division and are one of the top teams in baseball. The Cubs are going to regress without Chapman and Fowler. How much would Dozier improve their team over a different option? To me Dozier seems like a luxury for them.
  10. d-mac
    Beat me to it!
  11. d-mac
    Well, John Sickels has De Leon as his #5 overall post-2016 prospect (released Sept, 24th). A lot of people are high on De Leon.
  12. d-mac
    The Twins are in between the ultimate rock and a hard place. It's a mistake to hang on to him- very low likelihood of a better deal at the deadline, plus a high risk of Dozier slumping, not to mention one half year less of production. Dozier is worth more than De Leon right now, but there isn't much of a market for him right now. The Twins have zero leverage and the Dodgers know this.
  13. d-mac
    I think LAD offered De Leon and a bunch of s***. The Twins wanted at least another decent prospect or two and the Dodgers said "No way Jose, you've got no demand for Dozier, we hold all the leverage, sucker! Ha Ha Ha!" Unfortunately, De Leon is likely a unanimous top 20 preseason prospect, and the Twins aren't likely to get a top 20 prospect- let alone a top 20 pitcher for Dozier mid season. Then there's the whole risk with Dozier playing like hot garbage for a few months to start the season.
  14. d-mac
    Ditto. I wouldn't have thought twice about going. But alas, I had not heard about this.
  15. d-mac
    Because people are all like "But muh stolen bases!"
  16. d-mac
    Which is why I don't buy the "cheaper to make argument." Doesn't make sense from a basic economics standpoint. Why set up multiple processes to make multiple ball types? Streamlined production of one ball should be cheaper.
  17. d-mac
    Akbar? I hope it's not a trap.
  18. d-mac
    Olney is getting something in return for LAD is really the only logical reasoning here. Access or quid pro quo arrangement for breaking stories out of LA. At worst you could say Dozier is 4th or 5th best second baseman in baseball.
  19. d-mac
    I tend to think that Twins fans overvalue Dozier. But this is criminal. Last year he was 3rd in WAR among 2nd basemen and Steamer projects him to be 6th in WAR for 2017 and that's only because Steamer lists Addison Russell and Trea Turner at second base, when both are going to be starting at SS for their respective clubs.
  20. d-mac
    Honestly, based on 3rd party analysis it sounds like the Twins are the team that's being completely unreasonable with their demands. People are really over valuing Dozier. "But 42 homeruns!!11!1!"
  21. d-mac
    Yeah, I thought that was peculiar too. I assumed it was a tweet until, somebody pointed out it was an article in this morning's Strib.
  22. d-mac
    I personally thing BBRef is less slick than Fangraphs. Fangraphs' website is easier to navigate and is easier on the eyes. Not to mention they have more detailed stats and their articles are top notch, even if their new splits page is a bit clunky. BBRef looks like they haven't updated their format and graphics since the dot com bubble popped. I only use them for draft data and minor league stats pre 2006.
  23. d-mac
    That gets the pitching from historically bad to just merely mediocre and that's if things break right. There is a saying that goes "Put hope in one hand and take a poo in the other and see which one fills up first." I want them to have a good pitching staff and build a team that sustainably wins 90+ games. Holding on to Dozier doesn't get us there. That being said, if the Dodgers best offer is indeed a 1:1 swap of De Leon for Dozier, I'd pass. At minimum I'd trade Dozier for De Leon and Stewart. Unfortunately, with limited demand for second basemen, the Twins are at the Dodgers' mercy.
  24. d-mac
    Then, how would you propose we acquire enough pitching in time to turn this team around before Sano, Buxton, and Kepler hit free agency?
  25. d-mac
    Waiting Room- Fugazi No Sleep till Brooklyn (LA Dodgers)- Beastie Boys Wish You Were Here- Pink Floyd The Lost Art of Keeping A Secret- Queens of the Stone Age Californication- Red Hot Chilli Peppers (When the Dodger's finally offer is a) Big Empty- Stone Temple Pilots (The Twins will say) We Won't Get Fooled Again- The Who (Dozier will be) Among the Living- Anthrax
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