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Alex

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Everything posted by Alex

  1. Alex
    It might seem like he grounds out a lot because of this :Joe Mauer Hates Pop-Ups - Blogs - Minnesota Twins News & Rumors Forum
  2. Alex
    A spot opens up for Arcia when they trade Morneau....or Willingham....
  3. Alex
    This is the tact that would have made sense I think. But, since we're at this point, the Twins are going to have to let it ride, at least for awhile. The biggest issue with Hicks will be if these Ks are for real and how well he'll adjust, and, hopefully, avoid them. He struck out a lot in the minors especially considering the numbers were from A and AA, and that's my biggest concern for him being in the majors because it would be a victory if those numbers don't increase and astounding if they actually decreased.
  4. Alex
    My point was John specifically asks Aaron to quantify it, which Aaron avoided doing until asked. When John replies that the number insignificant, Aaron tries to use other numbers to put it in perspective. At which point John gets high and mighty says the number doesn't matter and rips Aaaron for quantifying it. It's hilarious! As many have pointed out, it's less about an exact number than about a more specific way to evaluate the value of doing something in baseball. Is it perfect? No, but it can be useful as a reference point. Furthermore, missed in the discussion was that John quoted chance happenings as being more useful to a team, but a manager can't control that, but he can control how many ABs a bad player gets.
  5. Alex
    Thanks for pointing this out. It's very rare for catchers to catch as much as other players play their positions. I'd be in the camp that says this season he should catch 80 games. Why waste his body this season? I don't think his number of games at catcher should be a measuring stick for anything this season.
  6. Alex
    Classic Gleeman and the Geek: @27:15 John starts asking, "What is the sabermetric impact, though, of having ....Dozier take those at bats...." Then @ 27:40 "Do we have any idea what the number of runs and or wins on this?" Keep this in mind when John goes on his monologue around 39:00. You can't script this stuff!
  7. Alex
    This is bordering on preposterous. Chances of a double, followed by another single are actually better than a HR. I don't remember where the pitch was, but I'd guess if it's inside he would have pulled it. Additionally, did you consider the weather at all? How many balls even made it to the to the track? Stuff, especially up was dying out there.
  8. Alex
    Mauer can't win with some people. You are dead on when you said people would have complained if he rolled over trying to turn on one and they would have complained if he would have let it go. It's ridiculous.
  9. Alex
    This narrative certainly can make us feel good about our struggles, but can you reference specific instances the Twins made offers to pitchers that were better and the player then signed elsewhere? Dave St. Peter himself said it's "dollars and years, dollars and years."
  10. Alex
    The differences in the philosophy of the managers (and broadcast teams, for that matter) were pretty clear in those two half innings of interviews. I especially loved it Maddon was giving the rundown on the contact play, too. It would should have been clear to anyone watching, IMO, who was a more current student of the game.
  11. Alex
    Different era, but yeah, a career OPS at marks like Puck and Hrbeck would still put him as one of the greatest Twins ever. However, he's young and should be hitting for higher OPS now than he will 6 or 7 years from now (assuming he's still in the league.) Bruno was roughly a league average hitter for his era with an OPS+ of 106. Parmelee is a starter, and I'd hope that league average wouldn't be too much to ask (especially as he only brings his bat and doesn't add much in terms of defense or speed). League average can be misleading. For example of 25 1B who hit the "qualified" PA mark, 15 had an OPS of .800 or above. 13 RF (of 23) did so. So, more than half of the players playing these positions full time yield a production over .800 OPS. My guess is that some of those that didn't reach that mark bring more to the table than Pamelee does (Ben Revere, for example). If he's in the neighborhood of .800 OPS, but a bit short in his full season, I think we should live with that, though.
  12. Alex
    Mauer took a massive cut at a 3-1 fastball in the 8th iirc. He wasn't just sitting with the bat on his shoulder. Also, walking to load the bases gives the next hitter a far better chance to score a run and to, as a team, score more runs in the inning.
  13. Alex
    Thanks for this post. That's my perspective on Hicks, too, not to mention what also frustrates me about posts like cmathewson's where honest analysis/criticism is taken as such a negative. People on this board who are critical of some of the team's moves don't follow the team and just read fangraphs? Ridiculous. As for Reusse's article, it takes the same tact, arguing to a perspective that is on the fringes. Most people don't fall into those categories at all. I would say that there are parts of 1-3 that are true, but that there are incredibly few people who actually fall into those categories. One other thing I think Reusse missed in his article is that not only is it easier to be heard via social media. It's also easier to get information. This allows people to be more aware of what other perspectives are out there besides the information the Twins are feeding the news reporters. A great example of this is the perspective we saw last season from media outlets and the Twins on players like Dozier (I think he was called the Next Big Thing) and Marquis (called a "control" pitcher with similar BB/9 to Liriano). Most people looking and listening beyond what the Twins predicted (perhaps we even looked at some statistics on fangraphs!) that their transitions would not go well.
  14. Alex
    Both of those guys have some skill as hitters.
  15. Alex
    And I would have had no problems if he'd not been in the majors 4 years until after he was drafted. I'm fine with the idea that his ceiling is as a major league regular, and would love it if that occurs. But, people take the idea that those of us that have a more realistic expectation of him "don't like him." That realistic idea being that he's more likely a utility man and shouldn't be the Twins answer at a MI.
  16. Alex
    Not to nitpick, but Baseball Reference has him at 23 in Fort Myers and Beloit (2010) and then 24 in Fort Myers and New Britain (2011). He's a May birthday andturned 23 in 2010 and 24 in 2011, but since he didn't move straight to AA in 2011, he was more likely 24, or was only 23 for days at most, so most of his time in AA was as a 24 year old. While he might only be "older than average," if we compare his age to Florimon and Escobar, our other two uninspiring middle infielders, competing for the same spots,both were younger in AA. Meanwhile, Aaron Hicks did his mashing at AA at 22. Parmelee was 22. Joe Benson, 22. So, while Dozier may have been "only above average" the players I listed aren't expected to be much more than ML regulars/starters (except maybe Hicks) and all these guys were in AA before Dozier and hitting as well or better. My point, ultimately, is that his AA numbers at age 24 were used to evaluate him, so it's not a surprise that those numbers wouldn't be representative of what he could do in the majors and why most people thought he was rushed, or at least should have been better evaluated in AAA.
  17. Alex
    What does it mean, to not like him or to "love" him? I think most of us believe that he's shown nothing beyond glimpses of success (and even that came when playing against players mostly younger than him) to warrant the hype he got last year (much of which came from the organization) or to even show he could be an ML regular for an extended period of time. Obviously it would be great if he somehow figured something out in the offseason that would change that expectation for a likeable, hard-working guy like Dozier.
  18. Alex
    Carroll was the answer to the best offensive numbers in 2013. He'll get plenty of time to put up numbers.
  19. Alex
    The answer to #1 is Carroll. I think the answer to #2 is none of the above. The MI needs to be the next issue they address, imo, while continuing to improve starting rotation, but at least there's something in the minors with regard to starters.
  20. Alex
    My hunch is that none of the Twin's current MI will be starting anywhere in two years, and if one of them is still consistently in the majors four years from now, they should out themselves fortunate. I hope I'm wrong about Dozier, or heck, all of them, but these guys have a body of work that is just not impressive and not one of them has a sure starting spot in what is one of the worst MI in the league. It's really amazing when you think about it. I think Carroll is the best and could start this year, but for reasons other posters mentioned, he should probably be playing as a utility player.
  21. Alex
    Fangraphs has him as 6th highest (not good) of 128 pitchers (qualified) in ERA- at 127 for 2010-12. At #1 and #2, Nick Blackburn and Jason Marquis....
  22. Alex
    Wimmers threw one game at AA.... Thoughts on Anthony Slama? Any chance he ends up in this bullpen or is he doomed to AAA Purgatory?
  23. Alex
    If he has an MVP type season, the Twins won't be able to offer him the money to stay and would probably be wise not to. Frankly, I don't see a scenario where Morneau stays with the Twins, even though I'd love it if he did. If he hits well, he'll be too expensive. If he doesn't hit well, there'd be no reason to sign him.
  24. Alex
    I think it's a relatively telling state that the worst pitching staff in the league has one pitcher go down and has no clear answer to this question despite having a full offseason I've predicted Worley, but I could see the Twins giving it to someone like Correia.
  25. Alex
    The flaw in this argument is that the Twins actually have the money to pay two hypothetical starters $10M this year AND had it last year but chose not to. They will also have that money over the next five years and more. So, Mauer's contract hasn't kept them from your hypothetical at all. They could, in fact, have had their cake and eat it, too with Ramos, Mauer, and two $10M dollar pitchers. Mauer's salary isn't what's keeping them from being competitive.
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