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ken

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Everything posted by ken

  1. ken
    http://www.seattletimes.com/sports/mariners/jesus-monterorsquos-season-over-after-altercation-with-scout-in-boise/ Sorry - it was ice cream. There are a lot of reason for a prospect to fail and fitness can be a factor in the failure. Nobody is saying Sano is going to fail, just that staying in peak physical condition is good for all players and at 270lbs, it's hard to say that an ideal playing weight.
  2. ken
    Another would be Jesus Montero, was once rated the third best prospect behind Trout and Harper. Wasn't it last year that a scout was throwing donuts at him? Just go cut by Seattle.
  3. ken
    If Sano struggles in the outfield, my bet is many people on this site will blame the front office for moving him to the outfield. But the blame could also be lack of commitment to learning the position. We've had hundreds of post about what a bad idea it was moving him to the outfield and it's trash if someone writes that it looks like he didn't fully commit to working the position move. He didn't reduce his weight and he didn't spend extra time in spring training learning his new position. Reusse isn't trashing Sano, but in comparing him to Killebrew he saying he has HOF talent. But getting there takes work and he didn't see Sano making that commitment.
  4. ken
    Is that like drawing the conclusion made by many people here that it's a bad idea to put Sano in the outfield? We don't know it until we see what happens. I think we have a lot of double standards going on here. Reusse is a sport columnist, so I think some speculations is part of his job requirement. Both might be reasonable, but it's funny how the local sports columnist are hated for doing their job. I guess everyone is a better GM and columnist than our actual ones.
  5. ken
    I think the steroid era might be supportive of maintaining peak health and strength will increase production and increase the length of a players career. There is no guareentee, but I think it's pretty reasonable that being in better shape is helpful in an athletic career.
  6. ken
    This quote sadden me, Hrbek decided not to give his best, because if he did, he would feel underpaid or have to go to a bigger market. I'd rather have Sano become a HOF player and leave, then play down to lower expectations and stay.
  7. ken
    The concern that a 22 year old can't handle the running required to be an OF'er should be a worry of a bigger problem - his current weight. I think a little extra running would be good for him. Big Papi's comments in Reusse''s column today is also good for Sano to hear.
  8. ken
    This is interesting and disappointing - he always said he had no concussion issues and then he changes the story and doesn't follow up on what he said was the problem. It's beginning to get hard to believe what Mauer is saying.
  9. ken
    That's the beauty of Mauer, every year he comes into camp in the "best shape of his life" but some way his off season conditioning is the reason for down years. He's going to make a great politician one of these days.
  10. ken
    Wouldn't that also explain the drop off from 2013 to 2014?
  11. ken
    Nobody should downplay concussion, but also nobody should make assumption about how serious a person concussion is or is not. If it's so bad, it's time to move on. If he continues to step on the field, let's not use it as an excuse. And since none of us know where he is on his concussion and he has gone back and forth on whether he has any symptoms, I'll just have to judge him on his on field performance.
  12. ken
    My problem is one this site, I see a lot of people talking about advance metric but with Mauer it's let's not look beyond the batting average. Even in this forum, the decrease in average didn't happen until last year, not after the concussion. HIs contract rate dropped the year before the concussion, his strike out rate been increasing for years. When he said he had no concussion issues, people wouldn't believe it but when he changes his story to match what you want to hear we jump all over it. When it comes to Mauer, the arguments are based on emotions and not logic.
  13. ken
    I'm glad he has finally came around to blame the concussions. That way we can ignore the increased strike outs and reduced contact rate before the concussions.
  14. ken
    Today, it is true that he has played the most games as a catcher. But it's likely it will not be true when his career is over. I don't think draft position is going to be a factor in the HOF voting, nobody classifying Craig Biggio as catcher because he started his MLB career as a catcher. I think Mauer HOF problem is that they are going to look at his whole career, not just the catching part. I'm not trying to hate on Mauer and time will tell which one of us is right, but I don't see him getting 75% of the votes. Tony Oliva was a first ballot HOF talent who career was upended by injuries. Even if you believe concussions are the reason for Mauer's downward trend, I doubt they will factor that in considering he'll play at least 5 years after the concussions.
  15. ken
    How long do we consider Mauer a catcher? Is it fair to continue to compare him to catchers who caught twice as many games? Ernie Banks played more games as a shortstop and I don't think anyone is putting him in the top ten all-time shortstops. Why does Mauer get the special treatment? Also on the WAR, if you adjust it more to favor catchers, and Mauer is 50% catcher wouldn't you then have a negative adjustment for the other 50%? You would just end up back where you started. I think in trying to make the case for Mauer as a HOF, you have to ignore a lot of other questions. The HOF doesn't need to fill a team, just enshrine the greatest players. Mauer had a great start, but the finish isn't looking pretty and you can't just skip the part's that you don't like.
  16. ken
    Is 1981-1988 considered a long enough time? Fernando #1 And I don't think we can rewrite the 2006 MVP voting for the HOF. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=1988&month=0&season1=1981&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
  17. ken
    I agree on Puckett, 2 World Series rings are a big plus for the HOF. Which I also think give the additional nod to Bill Dickey (8 rings) and Koufax for the HOF. The Fernando reference is to your general rule about being the best pitcher over 5 years and getting into the HOF. Santana doesn't have any big moments that voters are going to remember to vote him in, I don't think there is much of a chance he would get 75% of the voters. I think we'll be able to add Mauer to the outcry for Simmons and Freehan. Based on there vote totals, the outcry wasn't too loud.
  18. ken
    I'm a huge Santana fan, but he'll not going into the HOF. Koufax is a World Series hero which has a big impact voters and in a major market, big difference. Fernando Valenzula was a dominate pichers from 1981-85 and only lasted 2 years on the ballot. I think you need a longer run than 5-8 years of great regular season play to get into the hall. Mauer was a great catcher, but when you compare his career WAR to other catchers at the same level - Gene Tenace, Brian Downing, Ted Simmons, Bill Freehan - nobody's too upset than they didn't even make it to a second year on the HOF ballot. So to think Mauer is going to make it, seems to be a long shot.
  19. ken
    So not believing Mauer is a HOF player makes you a "Mauer-hater"? WAR should be the only measurement of players for HOF? And I get accused of coming out of the woodwork?
  20. ken
    Yes, in the Twins HOF, but not in MLB's
  21. ken
    According to fangraphs, from 2002 to 2008, the Twins bullpen was ranked 3rd. Relief pitchers are up and down, but looking at a longer time period, they have an overall excellent ranking. With relief pitching, I think going young is the best way. Develop your own talent and if you have to sign veterans, either be a star closer or 1 year contacts. Otherwise you are wasting roster space and money. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2008&month=0&season1=2002&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
  22. ken
    I think you have to have Dozier in one of the top 2 positions. What he does best is score runs - his scoring % when on base in 2014 was 41% and 39% in 2015 (Mauer was 31% in 2014 and 27% in 2015). He has speed and he has shown the ability to be a high on base player. Then the question is if you believe Buxton is ready to be your leadoff hitter. If he is, than Mauer is your #3 hitter at best, if not then he your #2 hitter. But if he doesn't hit better than he did last year, I would drop him lower in the lineup.
  23. ken
    What Mauer has been doing well is hitting with runner on base, but not very well when the bases are empty. His OBP with nobody on in 2014 was .310 & in 2015 it was .284. Along with his lack of speed, he's better suited down in the order.
  24. ken
    This maybe more of a perception than reality, after the all-star break Dozier scored 34 runs (with an OBP of .280) and Mauer scored 31 runs (with an OBP of .341). One thing Dozier is very good at is producing runs. Like all players, it's a game of adjustments and Dozier will have to make some to continue to be productive. But I have confidence that he'll be able to make the necessary adjustments.
  25. ken
    Houston turns down a $3.5 option on Qualls and he gets 2-$12? And we debated giving Fien an qualifying offer, six years younger and better pitcher the last couple years. The market has gone crazy - time to wait it out awhile.
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