Baseball is weird. Lester is a good pitcher, and can throw the 60 ft to home plate with precision over and over, at over 90 MPH. But he develops some sort of inexplicable inability to throw the ball to first base, and teams run wild on him. Baseball is weird.
Grienke has almost exactly the same IP as Kershaw. He has a better ERA by a run and a half, a better W-L record, and a better WHIP. But his FIP is worse by a half run. Is it your contention that Kershaw has out pitched Grienke this year to date? That Kershaw has been better?
I am going to predict Buxton breaks out today, big time. He'll get an infield single. In all seriousness, I think he should look for a first pitch "get me over" curve and rip it. He gets that pitch almost every AB, it seems.