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alarp33

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Everything posted by alarp33

  1. alarp33
    On the surface I don't think there's anything wrong with this statement. But in reality, trading your top assets for a Catcher does not "build a window". It makes a 72 win team a 76 win team. Way more moves need to be done to "build a window"
  2. alarp33
    He could get hit by a car tomorrow crossing the street. Of course there's no guarantee to health. But why are people pretending he IS going to have an effect? Catchers have arthroscopic surgery all the time. They come back perfectly fine all the time. People are confusing him being out for this season as having had a major surgery and that's simply not the case
  3. alarp33
    It will be around 4 months of pretty easy rehab, it's a very minor surgery. He'll be totally cleared by doctors a solid 5-6 months before Spring Training. No, it's not a major surgery. - someone who had the same surgery last October (and has had 6 other knee surgeries)
  4. alarp33
    He had arthroscopic surgery in May. He will be fully recovered by Sept or Oct. No, his health will not be a factor (in regards to this surgery). People here clearly con't understand the type of injury / surgery he had, and that's fine. But let's not make stuff up like his return is a question next year
  5. alarp33
    He didn't tear his ACL, are we predicting that is going to happen? I've written on here multiple times, Castro did not have a major injury, I don't get why people continue this narrative that he is completely cooked. Yes he is aging, yes he's missing most of this year. But his health is not a factor in 2019
  6. alarp33
    Not even close.
  7. alarp33
    Falvey and Levine's responsibility is to win baseball games. Winning baseball games "build the fan base". If you are looking for a marketing cheerleader I think it's Dave St. Peter you are looking for.
  8. alarp33
    Fernando Romero who hadn’t made a start in AA yet was a better option to start 2017 in the rotation?
  9. alarp33
    Falvey / Levine were not here in 2016. Also, Hughes was owed $39 million entering 2017 (thanks Terry Ryan). There was 0 chance he was going to be cut prior to the season.
  10. alarp33
    I'm as confused as anyone why Belisle is on the active roster right now, but some of these examples? Phil Hughes spent like 6 weeks in the rotation from april to mid may last year, who were the other options at the time? He then spent like 5 more weeks for the rest of the season on the active roster. He had a bloated contract and was given a chance. They cut bait fairly early on this year - earlier than I expected this cheap ownership to allow. Haley was on the active roster for like 4 weeks. 19 games for Kinley. Bad pitching staffs (historically bad is what they inherited) are going to have bad pitchers on it. Also, I don't think we should be penalizing them for the roster 3 years ago considering this is the 2nd season they've led the Twins.
  11. alarp33
    "too much drama after 37 games" - same poster who suggested cutting ties with Buxton late July last year in favor of Zach Granite
  12. alarp33
    Oh ok so when you said he’s been better this year and every year of his career you just meant he has overall offensive numbers that are superior. I agree, from 2015 to today Sano has been a better offensive player. Unfortunately for the Twins the Sano of 2015 and other brief periods, hasn’t been seen in over a year. And he has a negative defensive and base running value *2015 is the only year he’s been more valuable than Buxton by WAR. I’d recommend using that stat because baseball is also played in the field and on the bases
  13. alarp33
    June 27 2017 - June 27 2018 Miguel Sano .226/.294/.425 Byron Buxton .262/.307/.435 Which one of those 2 has a value solely tied to his bat? If you need more. fWAR since start of 2016. Miguel Sano 3.3 Byron Buxton 4.6 So when you say matter of factly Sano has constantly outperformed Buxton, when exactly are you talking about? The 80 games Sano had 3 years ago?
  14. alarp33
    Shifts I assume?
  15. alarp33
    30 games is absolutely still a small sample size. Also in that 30 day period his K rate and BB rate are nearly perfectly in line with career averages, but his BABIP is around .100 points lower
  16. alarp33
    Kepler does not belong with Sano/Buxton on hype level. It is so so early to call Kepler a bust. He was always projected to be a solid to above avg regular. Which I still think he is, minus the current brutal slump he's in Rooker does not belong with Lewis / Kiriloff.
  17. alarp33
    I was always very anti - Reusse and this notion Sano was fat. He's always been just a big human and it didn't seem to be negatively affecting his play. And then this Spring came around and I saw Sano in a game for the 1st time and well... he's fat now. I have no idea what his attitude is like, if he still wants to be great or not. But an athlete has a job that is primarily based around their physical abilities and stature. If he doesn't care enough to not be 30 pounds overweight its hard to draw any logical conclusion other than, he doesn't care about his craft. I think/hope its not too late for him to wake up
  18. alarp33
    Good summary. Also worth pointing out, OBP and SLG don't even use the same denominator. OBP uses plate appearances and SLG uses at bats.
  19. alarp33
    I don't think you understand. No one has said slugging is not a very important part of baseball. Your Barry Bonds example proves exactly nothing, except that Barry Bonds was really frickin' good and lots of times managers would prefer him on 1st than rounding the bases. No one is denying a HR is more important than a walk in an isolated at bat Bonds was .582/.799/ 1.381 in 2002. It is a proven fact that line is more important to a team than if someone was .400/.981/1.381
  20. alarp33
    Who leads off between Mauer and Dozier in the long run wouldn't make a huge difference. But you are incorrect in thinking SLG > OBP
  21. alarp33
    There are actual math studies that prove this, it's not really an opinion thing. OBP is worth about twice as much as SLG, like the other poster stated As another example, take one team with a .300/.500 split, and one with a .400/.400 split. Though both teams have an OPS of .800, the first team is expected to score 4.9 runs per game while the second should score about 5.8. This suggests that, in many situations, trading slugging for OBP could be a good idea. https://sportsstatsanalysis.wordpress.com/2009/06/10/whats-more-important-obp-slugging-or-ops/
  22. alarp33
    You are really correlating his fit for lead off because of his runs total? Dozier's MLB Ranks by Year 2017 - Plate Appearances: 6th Runs: T-8 2016 - PA: 17th Runs: 16th 2015 - PA: 3rd Runs: 11th 2014 - PA: T-7th Runs: 2nd It also helps that he hits a lot of home runs... which would happen in any spot in the lineup..
  23. alarp33
    He's thrown out 1 base runner this year.
  24. alarp33
    But does he have a cannon? I haven't seen any evidence of that
  25. alarp33
    Is this a consensus? Honestly asking, don't know much about Wilson's background at all. From the games I've seen, I've been pretty unimpressed with his arm/ pop time, and the stats back that up. 1 CS in 9 attempts. Garver has caught 3 runners on 14 attempts for what its worth. Garver has caught roughly twice as many games, so teams are running more often on Wilson
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