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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. The Silver Slugger, like all baseball awards, likely doesn't go by any advanced metrics. So we're talking average, on base %, slugging, and dingers here. Certainly nothing more advanced than OPS. Historically, hitting lots of dingers and having high batting averages have been heavily favored. Dozier has the HR side covered, but Altuve looks more valuable as a hitter with his shiny batting average and higher OPS. As this is decided by voting, remember it's also a popularity contest. So if you plan to start a nasty rumor about Jose Altuve, now's the time.
  2. I emailed a question to John asking him if he is surprised by Alex Meyer's trajectory. I will let you know when he responds. As his articles only talk about Meyer's ceiling, we'll soon find out his real opinion.
  3. Re-read what you just posted. "He COULD be a #2 guy IF he performs better." Other scouts spent fewer words on his ceiling and more on his tendencies. Sickels is being positive there. I commend him for that. Sickels is fairly accessible. Let's reach out to him and ask about Meyer's trajectory and if he is surprised by it. Chances are he says he isn't surprised.
  4. Nope. As I said, I picked the reports on baseball prospectus published immediately before the trades. That's not cherry picking. You, however, are going out of your way to find reports that say otherwise. That's cherry picking. I have already addressed why I purposely avoided 2014 and 2015 reports. Both of them were projected to be in the majors by 2014 by the early scouting reports, so rosy reports from those years are downright silly. You can't get away from citing later reports, I can't help that.
  5. Hey now. I did my best not to cherry pick. I summarized two reputable scouting reports from the seasons before the trades -- the first ones I found. I purposely avoided looking at scouting reports from later on because I didn't want to post anything clouded by hype (in either direction). All the Sickels article shows is that he bought into the hype too. The criticisms of Meyer are the same in both reports, but one report says he's marginal and another says he's guaranteed. What changed in between except for some hype?
  6. Start searching Baseball Prospectus. Scouting reports this old are all free to look at. That's actually where I paraphrased from when writing my post.
  7. Yeah. I thought of editing that to say #2, but I thought people may have read it by then and I didn't want to seem snarky by editing a post after people might already be reacting to it.
  8. That article is specific to the Twins. Look at stuff that isn't.
  9. Independent scouting reports on Meyer said stuff like this: His ceiling is a middle-of-rotation guy if he can figure out his control problems. However his strange delivery makes that unlikely. He struggled in college. He could end up being a closer, but likely he's a good set up man. Twins fans on Meyer: He's an ace. Independent scouting reports on May said stuff like this: He has a good fastball but his secondary pitches suffer from control issues. He struggled in college. He has a ceiling of being an above-average starter but his delivery needs correction. If he can figure out his control issues he could be a guy who can go deep into games, though he may never have spectacular numbers. Twins fans on May: He's an ace.
  10. Pittsburgh demoted and cut him in spite of him playing well for them due to his odd behavior. I can see the Twins not knowing how to deal with a bipolar personality. The Phillies probably knew this when they traded him to the Twins.
  11. I'm not sure how different offseason prepration is for relievers v. starters. If the sin here was "stretch yourself out during the offseason" I think that's probably good advice for any young pitcher.
  12. Being "hindsight based" doesn't matter. Some people were right about those trades. There is a lot of volume from some fans regarding May and Meyer both, volume that has been unwarranted.
  13. I would call that pretty minor. If he's upset about that -- and bear in mind I doubt he actually is upset about it -- baseball is probably not for him. At the time of the May and Meyer trades, I read several scouting reports on both of them and what I read made it look like both of them were going to be relievers. Twins fans seem to be the only people around hoping for more, seeing more than what is really there. Maybe that's because the Twins gave up so much to get them, maybe that's because the franchise needed both of them to be better than what the scouts saw. I don't know. But at the end of the day, neither of them have worked out to be starters, and it's not surprising to me at all based on what analysts not tied to the Twins have been saying since day one. For what it's worth, I always pegged May as the better of the two. And so far that's right. But he's a bullpen arm, and hopefully someday a decent one.
  14. How are they jerking him around? He's been in the same role for more than a year. In his first appearance in 2016, he took a loss on a walk-off wild pitch. He never got better from there. I don't remember him having control problems before this year. Are his control problems on the Twins?
  15. OK. But at least you can concede that those of us who criticized those trades all along were right.
  16. I was all for trading him and his streaky, barely-good-enough ways until his recent power surge. At this point I say keep him another year to see if he can keep it up. And if he can't keep it up, we know his floor is "not a minus" which is a step up from many of the others on the team.
  17. None of these guys will. Possibly Polanco will, depending on what happens in the offseason.
  18. At that level, what does it matter? The Twins are on pace to destroy his arm by having him field (poorly) so he flames out early anyway.
  19. It actually does look a bit like a deliberate tank, doesn't it? Beresford? Come on....
  20. MacPhail would be the first to tell you that you need a mix of young guys and veterans. You need free agents to field a competitive team. Shannon Stewart was seasoned when he came in. He wasn't a core player? The Twins players of that era might disagree with that. Mauer isn't a core player? The current Twins will disagree. "Core players" are guys you build around, sure, but their ages should be a mixture of young guys and veterans. With your philosophy the Twins would be rebuilding every year. Kind of like what they have been doing....
  21. Even your good examples have ugly facets. Kepler was held in the minors the maximum amount of time possible in spite of him performing well enough to receive promotions along the way that he didn't get. Polanco has shown brilliance in the majors but has been sent down time after time so that worse players can play. As for Berrios and Buxton being a part of a core -- first they need to learn how to play. And that's the gist of this conversation. Players are coming up who are not ready while other prospects sit in the minors too long. In the meantime we have Beresford and Albers who will never amount to anything for this team. Every possible mistake, the Twins have made it and are still making it.
  22. This year was refreshing. It was like being able to exhale for the first time in six years. The people who would utterly lose it and start attacking straw men when someone suggested the Twins (or really, Terry Ryan) made a mistake very quickly this year realized that, yes, the Twins have been making mistakes. There is something to be said for being able to freely express an opinion without people going ballistic and being unreasonable.
  23. He's not trying to win games. Beresford is in the majors simply because he's a nice guy and the Twins want to give him a taste of the big leagues before the next GM comes in. Albers is playing with the team for the same reason, I'm guessing. I have no clue what this team is doing right now, but trying to win isn't it. It seems like they are clinging tight to their "Minnesota Nice/We're a Famly, GoshDarnit" philosophy until the very end.
  24. The Twins lost confidence in Milone, a soft-tossing lefty. So they brought up Albers, who is another soft tossing lefty. This team simply makes odd decisions. But it's not just pitching -- they also play position players out of position (for guys who clearly can't handle it), bounce players between the majors and minors (before they are finished walking of the field at the end of the game), and call up position players who have no business being on the roster. They're lost. Plain and simple. Somehow the people running this team forgot what baseball is.
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